V. Levola
Kapteeni
Tässä erinomaista tutkivaa journalismia aiheesta, kuinka Venäjä manipuloi islamistisia terroristijärjestöjä omaksi edukseen. Esimerkkeinä Tšetšenia, Dagestan, Abhasia ja viimeisimpänä Syyria:
https://kyleorton1991.wordpress.com/2015/09/08/how-russia-manipulates-islamic-terrorism/
Ian Bremmerin mukaan Syyriassa Putinia kiinnostaa todellisuudessa ainoastaan Assadin pitäminen vallassa, ei niinkään taistelu ISIS:iä vastaan. Eikä Venäjän toiminta tule helpottamaan Eurooppaa kohtaavaa pakolaiskriisiä himpun vertaa. Pari lainausta:
"If the West succeeds in turning the tide of the war while Assad is vulnerable, the political outcomes in Syria are more likely to be dictated by the US," Bremmer said. "Which means Putin needs to bolster Assad now."
---
"As the West presses ISIS while Russia provides direct support for Assad, the Syrians are caught in the middle," Bremmer said. "Anyone that can find a way out will. And the Syrian refugee crisis in Europe, four years in the making, is guaranteed to expand for a fifth."
http://finance.yahoo.com/news/bremmer-putin-serious-entering-syria-130027891.html
Business New Europeen suhtaudun lähteenä varauksella, mutta mielstäni Mark Galeotti on kirjoittanut useinmiten asiaa. Hän näkee Venäjän avauksen Syyriassa toisessa valossa. Muutama lainaus:
"For some time, Moscow has hoped that cooperation against IS and terrorism in general could be the leverage point to get the West to relax its tough line over Ukraine."
---
"So the Russians seem to be upping the ante, making Syria a battleground not so much for the preservation of an ally – though they will hardly mind if they also manage to save Assad – but instead the formation of an anti-jihadist coalition. That way Moscow does its best to wipe out IS militants in the Middle East, before they manage also to infiltrate the North Caucasus, and also makes its case to be the West’s ally against a common enemy."
"It is unlikely to work. The West will gladly take what intelligence cooperation Russia offers – even while treating the fruits with a certain skepticism – and will hardly mourn any IS fighters killed by Russian bombs or Russian guns. Just as the US and Iran have an arm’s length understanding in Iraq against IS without becoming friends, so too a Russian role in Syria is not going to create any deep or lasting amity."
"Nonetheless, that this is the Kremlin’s game plan says two things. First, that it is desperate to break out of its current impasse, for all its bullish claims. Second, that it does not understand the West, that it thinks everything is for sale, and that if only it can find the right offer, the sovereignty of Ukraine, the integrity of the global international order and justice for the dead of MH17 are all on the table."
http://www.bne.eu/content/story/stolypin-can-putin-really-be-syrious
edit: lisätty unohtunut linkki BNE:n juttuun
Viimeksi muokattu:
