Isku Iraniin

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Palasia siirrellään:

Going for the gold.

(GOLD31) KC-135R is 63-8878 #AE05B1
(GOLD71) is KC-46A 19-46007 #AE574D
GOLD72 is KC-46A 21-46087 #AE63C3
GOLD81 is KC-46A 20-46076 #AE63B8
GOLD82 is KC-46A 20-46079 #AE63BB
GOLD91 is KC-46A 20-46074 #AE63B6
GOLD92 is KC-46A 20-46075 #AE63B7


1750157317643.webp


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Toisissa kommentoissa on arvailtu että nämä raahaisivat perässään "strike packages" eli kenties hävittäjiä mukana?

Olisihan se loogista että hävittäjät paitsi saattavat ilmatankkauskoneita niin myös hyödyntävät niiden polttoainetta. Kenties hävittäjistä osa olisi sitten pommilastissa, jotta ollaan valmiita toimintaan jos / kun käsky käy?
 
Palasia siirrellään:

Going for the gold.

(GOLD31) KC-135R is 63-8878 #AE05B1
(GOLD71) is KC-46A 19-46007 #AE574D
GOLD72 is KC-46A 21-46087 #AE63C3
GOLD81 is KC-46A 20-46076 #AE63B8
GOLD82 is KC-46A 20-46079 #AE63BB
GOLD91 is KC-46A 20-46074 #AE63B6
GOLD92 is KC-46A 20-46075 #AE63B7


Katso liite: 122616


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Toisissa kommentoissa on arvailtu että nämä raahaisivat perässään "strike packages" eli kenties hävittäjiä mukana?

Olisihan se loogista että hävittäjät paitsi saattavat ilmatankkauskoneita niin myös hyödyntävät niiden polttoainetta. Kenties hävittäjistä osa olisi sitten pommilastissa, jotta ollaan valmiita toimintaan jos / kun käsky käy?
Täytyypä seurata. Nämä ovat jo hävinneet näkyvistä.

(GOLD31) KC-135R is 63-8878 #AE05B1
(GOLD71) is KC-46A 19-46007 #AE574D
GOLD72 is KC-46A 21-46087 #AE63C3
GOLD82 is KC-46A 20-46079 #AE63BB


91 ja 92 vielä Italian länsipuolella. Gold 81 on nyt Italian eteläpuolella ja matkaa itään, varmaan jossain Kreikan tienoilla sammuttaa signaalin sekin. Joku operaatio on nyt käynnistynyt.

Muok: Brittien tankkeri on Jordanian ilmatilassa. Ranskalaisten nousi juuri Marseillen kupeesta.
 
Puolalainen Dawid Kamizela kommentoi touhuja näin:

"It's about to get going"...and it did.

Tankers from the US that arrived in the UK and Germany yesterday are continuing their journey.

This time not alone but pulling tactical machines in the obvious direction in the form of F-16s with Spangdhal and F-35s with Lakenheath.


1750163589639.webp

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A few additional notes:

- We are now certain that this is not about the supply of ammunition but about the relocation of US tactical aircraft to the conflict area

- there are also tankers from the Spanish Moron in the air, so there are probably machines that arrived from the USA over the Mediterranean Sea.


1750163679919.webp

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There are already 13 tankers in the air and the number is systematically increasing.

We will probably soon see the first "orbits", i.e. nice loops indicating the place where tankers find a weather-friendly place to transfer fuel to smaller machines.


1750163728592.webp

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It looks like there won't be any nice loops - those dashed lines below are the predicted position of the tanker when it turns off its transponder, which is apparently what the Americans are doing this time (maybe it would be easier to determine the number of refueled machines)?

So we have triangles over Sicily.
😉

1750163778078.webp


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Viestiketjun kommenteista löytyi tällainen:

4 F-35As seen here (one of them either about to or just stopped taking fuel from an KC-135) over Italy.

All of them are rocking a pair of Sidewinder externally.


📸: Glenn Lockett, via the Aviationist

MUOKKAUS: hän kommentoi tämän jatkoksi näin: LÄHDE

Correction: not over Italy. I was reading about something related to ITAF and the sleep deprivation was hitting me.

My apologies.

The F-35As are out of RAF Lakenheath


1750163913525.webp

 
Viimeksi muokattu:
GOLD81 teki ympyröitä Italian länsipuolella ennen kuin jatkoi etelään Sisilian ylle, josta kääntyi kaakkoon. About Kreikan kohdalla kääntyi koilliseen, sitten pohjoiseen ja menee nyt Bulgarian yllä. GOLD91 ja GOLD92 seurailevat suunnilleen samoja reittejä ja ovat nyt tuolla kaakkoisreitillä Välimeren yllä. Tätä kirjoitettaessa punaisen nuolen kohdalla.

EDIT: GOLD91 lähti juuri kääntymään koilliseen, seuraten GOLD81:n jälkiä. GOLD92 pisti transponderin pois päältä.

EDIT2: Jos pitää arvata, niin gOLD81 kulkee Romanian, Unkarin, Slovakian ja Tshekin kautta ennen kuin palaa Ramsteiniin. Se siis todennäköisesti kiertää ei-NATO -maat Sveitsin ja Itävallan. Tosin se käväisi juuri äsken pienen hetken Serbian yllä. Ehkä vahingossa, ehkä ei.
Mutta melkoinen lenkki tehtäväksi vain sen takia, että tankkaa hävittäjiä tuossa Italian kohdalla.

EDIT3: Mutta GOLD81 lensi n. 24.000 jalassa aina tuonne käännökseen asti, jossa lähti koilliseen päin. Silloin se nousi 34.000 jalkaan. Joten ehkä ilmatankkauksia on tehty koko siirtymälennon ajan Kreikan eteläpuolelle asti.


Screenshot 2025-06-17 at 15.46.20.webp
 
Viimeksi muokattu:
The Aviationist on kirjoittanut tästä yhteenvedon artikkelin muodossa (artikkeli julkaistu 17.6.2025):

We have updated our original story with images sent us by our friends in the UK

[Updated] U.S. Air Force Mobilizes F-22s and F-35s as Situation in Middle East Escalates

F-22s, F-35s and F-16s are already en route.

Story:


https://theaviationist.com/2025/06/17/usaf-mobilizes-f-22s-f-35s-middle-east/

[Updated] U.S. Air Force Mobilizes F-22s and F-35s as Situation in Middle East Escalates​

Published on: June 17, 2025 at 11:21 AMGoogle News IconFollow Us On Google News
Stefano D'Urso
Stefano D'Urso
David Cenciotti
David Cenciotti

F-22 F-35 Mobilized Middle East

File photo of two F-22s flying along a KC-135 tanker (Image credit: USAF)
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According to reports, F-22s and F-35s are already en route to the Middle East as part of what the Secretary of Defense called an ‘enhancement of the defensive posture in the region.’​

Following the sudden and massive deployment of U.S. Air Force aerial refueling aircraft on Jun. 16, 2025, reports are quickly spreading about the ongoing deployment of U.S. fighter jets, and specifically F-22 Raptors and F-35 Lightning IIs. These reports come as U.S. Secretary of Defense Pete Hegseth “directed the deployment of additional capabilities to the United States Central Command Area of Operations.”





Contents

According to reports, F-22s and F-35s are already en route to the Middle East as part of what the Secretary of Defense called an ‘enhancement of the defensive posture in the region.’Tankers’ relocationU.S. preparing to intervene?

pic.twitter.com/TMb47DQMVZ

— Secretary of Defense Pete Hegseth (@SecDef) June 16, 2025


“Protecting U.S. forces is our top priority and these deployments are intended to enhance our defensive posture in the region,” said Hegseth, adding that the deployment orders were issued over the weekend. At about the same time the statement was released, the first tankers with “GOLD” callsigns, usually associated with Coronet flights, appeared on flight tracking websites.


Five additional tankers lifting and heading for the east routes. https://t.co/cC1San2ZPS pic.twitter.com/njQUokIKn3

— Evergreen Intel (@vcdgf555) June 17, 2025


Usually, Coronet East or West missions are ferry flights across the Atlantic or Pacific Ocean, respectively, of aircraft which are either deploying to a forward operating base or returning home at the end of a tour of duty, or on delivery to a customer (a non-US air force). These missions are supported by one or more tankers , either flying along with the receivers or launched from overseas bases, that provide the fuel the fighters need to reach their final destination.

Large formations are always split into more sections, each with a supporting tanker. Given the workload of the fighters’ pilots, which are required to refuel at fixed time intervals so they always have enough fuel to reach the closes runways while over the ocean, intermediate stops are also required. For a Coronet mission to CENTCOM, intermediate stops are usually at Lajes Air Base, in the Azores, or either at NAS Rota or Morón Air Base, in Spain.

A post which quickly reached one million visualizations by X user @CoronetEast, which is now no longer public, mentioned “Twelve F-22s and F-35s deploying to the Gulf in the next 48 hours.”

This appears to match similar reports that are going around about F-22 Raptors preparing to depart from Langley Air Force Base, Virginia, to deploy to the CENTCOM AOR. Langley is home of the 1st Fighter Wing and 192nd Fighter Wing, which oversee the operations of three F-22 squadrons.

F-22 F-35 Mobilized Middle East
File photo of an F-22 Raptor (U.S. Air Force photo by Senior Airman Adisen Smith)


Regarding the F-35s, reports mention different sources, either the Vermont Air National Guard or the 48th FW at RAF Lakenheath, in the UK. As the only U.S. F-35s permanently forward deployed to Europe, the choice of Lakenheath’s F-35 would make sense as they would quickly arrive in the AOR and be available for tasking.

As a matter of fact, just as we were about to publish this article, @CoronetEast wrote on X that F-35s departed from RAF Lakenheath, supported by KC-135s from RAF Mildenhall and Morón Air Base.

Additional rumors mention that F-16s from Aviano Air Base, Italy, might be also called in to deploy to the CENTCOM AOR. This, however, might be a deployment which was planned in advance, as earlier this month reports mentioned that Aviano’s 31st FW received a deployment notice.


An F-35A Lightning II assigned to the 495th Fighter Squadron at RAF Lakenheath, United Kingdom, takes off for a training sortie. (Image credit: F-35 Joint Program Office)


In the morning on Jun. 17, spotters and airband listeners across Europe reported the transit of the F-16s from Aviano as well as the F-35s from RAF Lakenheath.



12 tankers moving east over Europe now. pic.twitter.com/OeT98OK13i

— Evergreen Intel (@vcdgf555) June 17, 2025


Our friend and reader Glenn Lockett sent us these shots he took in the UK as the F-35s deployed supported by KC-135 tankers.

KC-135 dragging four F-35s. (Image credit: Glenn Lockett)
The photos Lockett sent us prove the dozen F-35s are split into three flights of 4 jets.

Another shot of the tanker with the F-35s in trail (Image credit: Glenn Lockett)

Tankers’ relocation​

As already mentioned, in the night between June 15 and 16, 2025, about 30 U.S. Air Force KC-135 and KC-46 aerial refueling aircraft departed their bases in the United States headed to Europe. Most of these aircraft landed at Ramstein Air Base in Germany and at Morón Air Base and NAS Rota in Spain, while two landed at Aviano Air Base in Italy, one landed at Prestwick International Airport in the UK and three at Souda Bay in Greece.



A couple of you have asked if there has been any movement on the planes since they arrived at European bases overnight.

So far, NONE of the tankers in that large group from yesterday have moved. https://t.co/2Dvy31FtWc pic.twitter.com/xcHbsTarVE

— Evergreen Intel (@vcdgf555) June 17, 2025


The reason of this mass deployment was initially unclear, although it was noted these were repositioning flights and the tankers were not “dragging” fighter jets. Later in the day, U.S. officials told Reuters, speaking on condition of anonymity, that the large number of refueling aircraft deployed to Europe is meant “to provide options to President Donald Trump as Middle East tensions erupt into conflict between Iran and Israel.”

Tankers are a critical asset for air power projection and are often deployed in advance or together with fighter jets, bombers or support aircraft. The fact that this massive movement of tanker is happening as Israel conducts is campaign against Iran raised some legitimate questions which might soon be answered with the arrival of fighter jets.

U.S. preparing to intervene?​

As we previously reported in our coverage of the events in Israel and Iran, the only U.S. involvement which was acknowledged was the help in the defense during the drone and ballistic missile attacks launched by Iran against Israel. Israeli officials claimed that the U.S. might join the operation against Iran, although the White House denied these claims.

We previously mentioned that it might be possible the U.S. could decide to move to the area more assets, such as fighter jets, as deterrent against attacks on its bases in the Middle East. In fact, U.S. President Donald Trump warned Iran against attacks against U.S. forces.

“If we are attacked in any way, shape, or form by Iran, the full strength and might of the U.S. Armed Forces will come down on you at levels never seen before,” said the President.


The latest statement by U.S. Secretary of Defense Pete Hegseth also seems to confirm the defensive/deterrent nature of the fighters’ deployment.

However, some comments previously made by Trump hint at a possible future involvement, although it is unclear under which conditions. “We’re not involved in it. It’s possible we could get involved. But we are not at this moment involved,” said Trump.

Additionally, in a cryptic post on social media, the President wrote “Iran should have signed the ‘deal’ I told them to sign,” adding that “Iran can not have a nuclear weapon,” before a final message to Iranian citizens stating “Everyone should immediately evacuate Tehran!”


pic.twitter.com/jhG1IyhLmy

— Rapid Response 47 (@RapidResponse47) June 16, 2025


The statement was quickly shared by government accounts and officials, with the White House’s @RapidResponse47 account reposting all the instances where Trump stated that Iran can’t have a nuclear weapon. Additionally, the same profile shared an interview of Hegseth to Fox News where he said “What you’re watching in real-time is Peace Through Strength and America First … We are postured defensively in the region to be strong in pursuit of a peace deal, and we certainly hope that’s what happens here.”

The President also left the G7 meeting in Canada early telling reporters: “I have to be back early for obvious reasons.” In another post on social media, he then added that this “has nothing to do with a cease fire” and it is “much bigger than that.”

 
Israelilaiset köäyttivät mm. etäohjattuja Spike-ohjuksia tuhotessaan Iranin ilmatorjuntaa. Lisäksi iranilaiset ovat löytäneet rakennukset, jossa Israelilaiset ovat koonneet iskuissa käytettyjä droneja.

Spike Missiles That Destroyed Air Defenses From Inside Iran Were Remotely Operated​

Iran shows evidence of how Mossad's anti-tank missiles and drones were deployed from inside the country during the war's opening barrage.


In new images published on Iranian media, authorities there showcased what they say are remnants of Rafael Spike precision-guided missile systems left behind after being used in the initial phase of Israel’s ongoing campaign to neuter Iran’s nuclear and long-range weapons capabilities. At least some of those systems were operated remotely, according to Iranian officials, representing another leap forward in Israel’s ability to use systems set up in Iran to attack from afar.

“Iranian intelligence forces have discovered customized Spike missile launchers…designed to suppress Iran’s air defenses, equipped with internet-based automation and remote control systems,” the official Iranian Press TV news outlet reported on Telegram on Monday. “They were operated by terrorist Mossad agents.”

The images released by Iran on Monday seem to verify what we previouslywrote about the mission in which Mossad operatives worked to move “special weapons on a large scale, deploy them throughout Iran, and launch them towards the attack targets in a precise and effective manner.” They show an array of hardware scattered across a dirt area. These include launchers, a number of radio and computer hardware components, and a small EO/IR turret on a turret mount. These systems appear to have allowed operatives to fire and guide the weapons without being present at the site.


In addition to the Spike system remnants, investigators say they found what they claim was a three-story Israeli drone factory in a building in Shahr-e Ray, located south of the Iranian capital.

“The three [story] building was used by Israeli agents to assemble and store UAVs intended for terrorist operations,” the semi-official Tasnim news outlet stated on X. “Officials also found homemade bombs and over 200 kg of explosives.”

The discovery of this drone factory was made after investigators received “a public report of suspicious movements at a residential home,” the official Iranian Fars news outlet reported on Telegram.

Video from the scene showed at least one drone, drone wings and other components, as well as controllers, on tables and shelves in one room of the building, as well as an Ender 3D printer. In Ukraine, both sides have often used these devices to produce drone components like propellers.
 
Mittailin googlessa, Lähimmät osumat eli Impact 1,2 ja 4 on noin 680m ohi Mossadin kompleksin keskipisteestä. Kauimmainen eli Impact 3 1400m. Aiemmin arvioitiin, että Iranin ohjusten CEP olisi luokkaa 400m, mutta ei tämän perusteella ihan siihen näytä päässeen tällä kertaa. CEPissä vähintään puolet pitäisi osua ilmoitetun hajonnan sisään, nyt ei sattunut yhtään. 700m lähempänä totuutta.

Aivan turha tuolla tarkkuudella on räiskiä pistemaaleja. Tai no ainahan sitä voi laittaa maalipisteisiin hajontaa ja toivoa, että yksi osuu säkällä.
Erikoista kuitenkin että saatiin neljä osumaa kuitenkin läpi näinkin lähelle. Käytettiinkö tässä kenties jotain hypersoonisen tyyppistä?
 
Erikoista kuitenkin että saatiin neljä osumaa kuitenkin läpi näinkin lähelle. Käytettiinkö tässä kenties jotain hypersoonisen tyyppistä?
Antares yllä valotti vähän noita potentiaalisia maaleja ylempänä. Saattoivat osua epäilemääni tarkemmin ja maali ei ehkä ollutkaan Mossad.
 
Kaksi ryssäläistä analyysiä, toinen kommentoi sitä miten Iranissa on virallinen yhteiskunta ja sen alla "epävirallinen" (kuten Neuvostoliitoissa aikoinaan).

Toinen puolestaan väittää / selittää että Israelin voitto selittyy osaksi rahalla ostetusta vaikutusvallasta.

Laitan tekstin spoilerin taakse, mikäli jotakuta kiinnostaa lukea (lainaan alkuperäisten telegram-kirjoitusten konekäännökset):

Iran's rapid military collapse is being blamed by Russian warbloggers on rampant corruption under the country's notionally Islamist regime.

Everything is for sale like in "the late USSR", they say, which has allowed the Israelis to infiltrate Iran with ease.


Dmitry Steshin writes:

https://t.me/DmitriySteshin/13593

The West has found Iran's solar plexus and is hitting it precisely and methodically. Of course, it is being helped from within. Who? Why? I'll explain based on my personal impressions. It is generally accepted that Iran is ruled by the "ayatollah regime", it is solid, there are no cracks. This is both true and false. Iran, as it seemed to me, is a country torn apart by internal contradictions, like the late USSR. I lived there. When you could be a Komsomol member and even, God forgive me, a communist and walk the streets with a Montana bag. Remember? There were three women and a guy, all in flowing jeans, literally eating ice cream from indecently huge waffle cones? And there were also Montana and Peek-a-boo watches and they could take sneakers, even from a corpse if necessary. They collected empty cans of foreign beer and cigarette packs, a disgrace, damn. So, in Iran, everything is about the same, I saw enough in the distant 2013 and it has hardly become better since then. And so, 1 million people come out for Friday prayer in Tehran (according to other sources - 5 million), but ...

1. The first thing I saw at the Tehran airport was a photo in the newspaper - several men and women in the uniform of concentration camp hetflings and next to the Facebook logo (restricted in the Russian Federation). The jury of the first Iranian beauty contest sat down in full force.

2. Satellite TV is prohibited, but when I opened the door and climbed out onto the hotel terrace, I saw that all the city roofs were covered with dishes - new and rusty. There are many thousands of them, as far as the horizon, but not visible from the street.

3. Prostitution is prohibited, but at the entrance to the northern district of Tehran, an aunt in a niqab will thrust a business card into your car window - "temporary marriage", for two hours.

4. "Marlboro is haram, a sign of the devil, you can be hanged for it - the seller in the store showed me every evening how - "khhhhh!" and immediately got me a couple of packs from under the counter.

5. The Internet in Iran, a real "Cheburnet", but everyone has a VPN.

And there are a lot of such details of everyday life that make the consciousness similar. And street protests, and feminist performances, night clubs, etc. This is the other side of stability - a generation is born that wants to change everything. This is how humans are made, it's stitched into the subcortex, otherwise we would still be living in caves ... The West would not have climbed in without having a layer of allies, the West does not like to lose, especially in such old, venerable confrontations ... The ashes of the Iranian revolution still knock in the collective heart of the State Department.

Read Shurygin, link to the second part and there is also a link to the beginning:

https://t.me/ramzayiegokomanda/25989

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'DarkZotovLand' says that Israel's success is "all about money":

https://t.me/darkzotovland/5156

Many people now have one question: why does Israeli intelligence feel at home in Iran?

No, it’s not about the Stirlitzs with their excellent Persian language and the uniform of the Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps. The answer is incredibly banal: it’s about money.

In 2024, one of the leaders of the Hamas Politburo, Ismail Haniyeh, was killed in Tehran. There are two versions of this death: that a bomb was planted in his room, and that a short-range projectile was used from Iranian territory. There is a possibility that Haniyeh’s security guard was involved, and they even announced the amount paid to him: 6 million dollars.

Whether this is true or not, I don’t know. But I have been to Iran many times, and the corruption there amazed even me after living in Russia. They continue to take from us, but not everything. They take EVERYTHING there.

Back in 2002, I didn’t like the system. They give you a press visa. It’s more expensive than a tourist visa. You have to come to the Ministry of Culture and Islamic Guidance and pay for the issuance of accreditation. You are required to work with a licensed agency for receiving foreign press for $200 per day, otherwise you CANNOT be in Iran. I knocked the price down to $100, and that was the most I could do. It was always like that, except for the last time. Then they let me into Iran without the services of an agency: apparently, there were some concessions.

This is how they work. I came to the city of Rasht to do a report on how black caviar is being prepared in Iran. The company said that my letter from the government was so-so, and they would send it back (!) to Tehran for verification. How long will it take - who knows. No explanation that the report had already been approved helped - like, what if the letter was fake. At the same time, they began to demand $1,000 from me in personal conversations for the report. I did not pay them, and there was no report. In the future, this was repeated many times. You have something approved by the press service, but give me money for gas, otherwise we will not go. They demanded payment under any pretext, everywhere and always.

It would seem that Iran is an Islamic republic. Strict Sharia norms, medieval punishments, a total ban on booze: except for Armenians, who are allowed to make wine for church ceremonies. But the country has a huge bootlegging network for selling alcohol. It is easy to find everywhere, and everyone knows where to get it. Bootleggers pay the police, and feel great. The same is with prostitution. I was offered women in any hotel, although the lady herself is legally stoning to death for such a thing. "They pay off," they answered me with a grin. "Both the police and Sharia judges take it."

The official exchange rate for the dollar is 42,000 Iranian rials. But currency dealers buy it from tourists for 920,000 rials and more. Hand-to-hand currency transactions are not welcome, but I always knew where it was more profitable to hand over dollars. The police do not interfere with this, they are well-fed.

Bribes exist in almost any sphere. This is the norm.

Therefore, Israel felt like a fish in water in Iran. It could hire agents everywhere for good money, which was used to destroy the Iranian air defense on the very first day of the attack. Mossad is guided by two rules - what cannot be bought for money can be bought for a lot of money + any, even the most fortified fortress, can be taken by a single donkey loaded with gold. This is what happened.

Naturally, the elderly spiritual (and secular too) leader of Iran, 86-year-old Khamenei, does not know about this. He is ill, he is not told bad news. He sincerely thought that everything was wonderful, and all the laws of the Islamic Republic were observed with delight.

Until June 13 came.

And it turned out that the Israelis have long known perfectly well where all the generals live, where the best fighters are located, and where the air defense systems are installed. And all this disappeared in an instant. Simply because the Israelis pay, and pay generously. And the people who take money from them think about patriotism and love for the country last of all.

Although, I was wrong here.

They don't think about it at all.

(c) Zotov

t.me/darkzotovland/5156
697.2Kviews

George Zotov,

Jun 15 at 09:57

 
Ei taida noi matalarikasteiset toimia kuin teoriassa, ei tuossa ole ongelmana vain se pommin paino ja koko vaan se millaisella mekanismilla tuollaiset hemmetin isot ja raskaat uraaniklöntit saadaan runtattua superkriittiseksi. Se on perinteisillä räjähteillä vähän kinkkinen operaatio muutenkin, jos yhtään välittää hyötysuhteesta. Ei jenkit varmaan Manhattan -projektissa huvikseen sitä uraania rikastellut sinne 80% pintaan (tai oikeastaan simppelimmässä noista pommeista osa piti rikastaa melkein 90%).
Manhattan projekti näki paljon vaivaa sytyttimen tekoon. Siinä oli eturivin fyysikot ja kunnon resurssit. Beryllium toimii neutronien monistimena jos saa alfa-säteilyä, mitä saatiin polonium isotoopista. Shokkiaaltoa suunnattiin jotta kaasut sekoittuu hyvin jne. Äärimmäisen vaativa osa.

50v myöhemmin tietokonesimulaatiot osoitti ettei tällä ollut paskankaan merkitystä. Ketjureaktion sukupolvet hurahtaa niin nopeasti että tämä zipper tuotti sinä aikana n. 100 neutronia eli semmoinen 0.0001% tehoboosti.
 
Iranilla ei ole keinoja selviytyä, tutkija povaa vallanvaihtoa

"No sitte se on just niin"

Ettei tutkia nyt vaan olisi väärässä mutta se lohduttaa ettei povarin ura vaarannut meni kuinka pieleen tahansa. Kritiikki siinä ettei se sota vältsiin pariin pommiin ratkea vaikka me kaikki niin kovasti sitä toivoisimme.
 
Iranilla ei ole keinoja selviytyä, tutkija povaa vallanvaihtoa

"No sitte se on just niin"

Ettei tutkia nyt vaan olisi väärässä mutta se lohduttaa ettei povarin ura vaarannut meni kuinka pieleen tahansa. Kritiikki siinä ettei se sota vältsiin pariin pommiin ratkea vaikka me kaikki niin kovasti sitä toivoisimme.

Pitäisi olla jokin järjestäytynyt joukko joka voisi astua nykyisten vallanpitäjien ja heidän kätyriensä tilalle, mutta sellaista ei taida olla. Pappisvallalle lojaalin vallankumouskaartin suuri koko ja valta ei sekään auta asioita yhtään. Sama homma kuin venäjällä siis: kaikki ovat joko osa järjestelmää, maanpaossa tai kuolleita.
 
Pitäisi olla jokin järjestäytynyt joukko joka voisi astua nykyisten vallanpitäjien ja heidän kätyriensä tilalle, mutta sellaista ei taida olla. Pappisvallalle lojaalin vallankumouskaartin suuri koko ja valta ei sekään auta asioita yhtään. Sama homma kuin venäjällä siis: kaikki ovat joko osa järjestelmää, maanpaossa tai kuolleita.
Tämä ulkomailla oleva ryhmä on kiukkuinen ja suuri diaspora. He myös tietävät että Iran on oikeasti rikas. Kaasua ja öljyä on tajuttomasti. Se on Norja ja Luxemburg oikeasti kansalaisilleen, ilman paskaa hallitusta.
 
En tiedä mihin tätä tekstiä laittaa, mutta koske jihadia suoraan ja siksi mielestäni tätäkin konfliktia.
Mihail Krutihinin julkaisema nyt Fb:sssa, vaikka se on jo 15 vanha:
"Tämän kirjoitin LiveJournalissa toukokuussa 2010. On kysymyksiä, joihin minulla ei ole vastauksia. Esimerkiksi eilen näin televisiossa ohjelman terrorismista. Puheenvuoron sai Mirsky (mies, joka oli jo Neuvostoliiton aikana pätevä ja jonka mielipiteitä arvostan, vaikken aina olekaan samaa mieltä). Hän puhui ja puhui, mutta heti kun hän alkoi selittää, että islam ei ole pelkästään "maailmanuskonto", vaan vielä suuremmassa määrin myös ideologia, johon shahidit (= itsemurhapommittajat) perustavat toimintansa, hänen puheensa keskeytettiin eikä häntä enää näytetty.

Totuus kunniahimoisen ja totuutta etsivän ihmisen pyrkimyksestä on yrittää vakuuttaa toiset siitä, mitä juuri hän on ymmärtänyt pitkän kokemuksen ja kyseisen ideologian analyysin perusteella. Tieteilijöillä, kuten Mirskyllä tai esimerkiksi Sashalla (Aleksandr) Ignatenkolla, tämä onnistuu aika hyvin. Mutta kysymys kuuluukin: onko se tarpeellista? Käykääpä katsomassa kaupoissa kirjoja, jotka sisältävät syvällisempää islamin analyysia. Löydätte vain siliteltyjä Koraanin käännöksiä ja tulkintoja. Muuten, myös Neuvostoliitossa islamin kritiikki oli harvinaista. Muiden uskontojen kritiikki "tieteellisiltä ateisteilta" oli melko suoraviivaista, mutta islamista löytyi vain yksittäisiä ja yleisesti ottaen "kohteliaita" töitä. Miksi? Se on riskialtista. Islam ei ole pelkästään uskontunnustus, vaan erittäin käytännöllinen ideologia. Joku voisi jopa reagoida mottamalla.

Lopulta teemme niin, että suljemme silmämme, käännämme selkämme ja teeskentelemme, että kaikki monikulttuurisessa ja -kansallisessa yhteiskunnassamme on kunnossa. Uskomusten idylliä pilaavat vain yksittäiset häiriköt, joita salaliittojen maailmassa ohjaillaan. Mutta kaipaan selkeyttä. Kun keskustelee muslimin kanssa (ei pelkästään jonkun vanjan, Abdurahmanin sukunimen kantajan -vaan aidosti uskovaisen), on koko ajan varuillaan: tiedät, että hänen uskontonsa mukaan kanssakäyminen ei-muslimien kanssa on kuin "sontaa" (katso heidän teologien epäpuhtauden määritelmät), että hänen uskontonsa perusteella hänen tärkein velvollisuutensa on jihad islamin puolesta kaikkialla maailmassa, ja niin edelleen.

Ja mitä tästä seuraa? Pitäisikö selittää niille muslimeille, jotka kuuluvat uskontoon vain nimellisesti, että heidän käyttäytymisensä on vastoin profeetan tahtoa, ja että heidän velvollisuutensa on alistaa tai tuhota uskottomat? Jotkut (tapauksia on paljon) voivat hylätä islamin, mutta useimmat todennäköisesti pyörittävät sormea ohimolla, kun et katso, eivätkä usko paljastuksia. Kieltäisikö islamilaiset huivit? Vai pitäisikö pikemminkin tehdä niiden käyttö pakolliseksi, jotta mahdolliset shahidit näkyvät kaukaa? Multikulturalismia haluatte? No, tässä teille multikulturalismia.

Vaihtoehtona olisi seurata monien hallitusten linjaa ja teeskennellä, että islam on "rauhan uskonto" ja suvaitsevaisuuden esimerkki. Toivoa integroitumista ja assimilaatiota? Ehkä asiat jotenkin lutviutuvat? Mutta kuinka pitkäksi aikaa? Minulla ei ole vastausta. Kumpikin tie on huono.
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Krutihin mm julkaisut kirjoja "Leikki vallankumouksella. Iranin agentit Kremlissä"* (2024) ja "Šaahin Iranin viimeiset päivät". TASSin kirjeenvaihtajan silmin (2025) kirjoittaja. Hallitsee farsin, englannin, ranskan ja arabian kielet. Hänestä oli maininta mm Iltalehdessä. Asuu Norjassa. Vihaa Putleria ja häntä kannattavia idiotteja.
 
Viimeksi muokattu:
Iranista laukaistiin 8 kpl ballistisia ohjuksia, vaikuttaisi siltä että yksikään ei päässyt torjunnan läpi (tai ainakaan eivät aiheuttaneet vahinkoja):

Total of 8 missiles fired from Iran; no impacts or injuries reported; US air defenses took part in intercepting the attack, N12 News says.


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Danny Gold (hänen twitter-tilinsä bio = Producer. Correspondent. Writer. docs & articles on war and crime @ everywhere. pulitzer center grantee. reluctant podcaster @underworld_pod) kommentoi vähäistä ohjusmäärää näin: LÄHDE

There are reports that something like 200 of Irans launchers have been taken out by the IDF.

If that’s true, and it very much seems like it is, it would explain why their continuing salvos are now in the single digits.

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Aikaisempi väite oli että olisi tuhottu "yli 120 kpl ohjuslavetteja" ja tällöin kirjoitettiin että määrä olisi noin yksi kolmasosa Iranin arvioidusta kokonaismäärästä.

Täten tämä "noin 200 kpl" olisi noin 50% kokonaismäärästä - OLETTAEN että nämä numerot pitävät paikkansa.
 
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