Ukrainan konflikti/sota

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Itsekin syyllistyn usein etenkin viimeiseen. Olen rauhaa rakastava ihminen, anteeksianto on periaatteeni ja ikävään on vastattava hymyllä ja huumorilla. Mutta ryssän teot, vuosisadasta toiseen? Pohjalainen veri kiehuu yhdestä sanasta ja se on ryssä. @TomTom onko mahollista saada tuota oikein hyvää omatoimimoderaattorin virkaa tekevää kuvaa ketjun päälle sivun ylälaitaan?
 
Valeriya Ionan, a deputy minister at Ukraine’s Ministry for Digital Transformation, was breastfeeding her two-month-old son Mars when the first explosions boomed over Kyiv in the early hours of February 24. “I didn’t get at first what was happening,” she says. Cold truth soon dawned: Russia was invading Ukraine.

Ionan, a 31-year-old MBA who previously worked in marketing, hastily set up a call with other leaders at Ukraine’s digital ministry. The department, staffed by tech-savvy millennials and led by Mykhailo Fedorov, a 31-year-old founder of a digital marketing startup, was established to digitize government services and boost Ukraine’s tech industry. Now it had to figure out what digital bureaucrats can offer in wartime.

The projects the ministry came up with have made it a linchpin of Ukraine’s fight against Russia—and the country’s broad support among world leaders and tech CEOs. Within three days of the first missiles falling on Kyiv, Federov and his staff launched a public campaign to pressure US tech giants to cut off Russia, began accepting cryptocurrency donations to support Ukraine’s military, secured access to Elon Musk’s Starlink satellite internet service, and began recruiting a volunteer “IT Army” to hack Russian targets. More recent projects include a chatbot for citizens to submit images or videos of Russian troop movements. “We have restructured the Ministry of Digital Transformation into a clear military organization,” says Anton Melnyk, an adviser to the department.

Most companies publicly targeted by Fedorov, including Apple, Google and Facebook’s parent company Meta, have now shut down operations in Russia, restricted Russian government accounts, or halted sales in the country. Apple, Google, and Facebook did not respond to requests to comment. Crypto donations to Ukraine reached about $100 million last week, and Musk has shipped two batches of satellite internet receivers to patch connectivity gaps. The successes of the ministry’s pivot still leave one larger question unanswered—as Russia’s forces keep advancing, will these clever digital defense projects matter?

Pitkä artikkeli.
 
Tilanneraportti 17.3.
JominW:n karttoja ei eiliselle ole vielä julkaistu niin käytetään ISW:tä mikä ei ole tarkkuudessa ja taktisuudessa yhtä hyvä.



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Russian forces did not make any major advances and Ukrainian forces carried out several local counterattacks on March 17.[1] Russian forces made little territorial progress and continued to deploy reserve elements—including from the 1st Guards Tank Army and 810th Naval Infantry Brigade—in small force packets that are unlikely to prove decisive. Russian forces continue to suffer heavy casualties around Kharkiv, and Russian attempts to bypass the city of Izyum are unlikely to succeed. Russian forces continued assaults on Mariupol on March 17 but did not conduct any other successful advances from Crimea.




Key Takeaways


  • Russian forces continue to make steady territorial gains around Mariupol and are increasingly targeting residential areas of the city.
  • Ukrainian forces northwest of Kyiv launched several local counterattacks and inflicted heavy damage on Russian forces.
  • Ukrainian forces repelled Russian operations around Kharkiv and reported killing a regimental commander.
  • Ukrainian intelligence reports that Russia may have expended nearly its entire store of precision cruise missiles in the first twenty days of its invasion.
  • Russian forces deployed unspecified reserve elements of the 1st Guards Tank Army and Baltic Fleet Naval Infantry to northeastern Ukraine on March 17.
  • Russia may be parceling out elements of the reserve force that could conduct an amphibious operation along the Black Sea coast to support ongoing assaults on Mariupol, further reducing the likelihood of a Russian amphibious assault on Odesa.
  • Ukrainian forces shot down 10 Russian aircraft—including five jets, three helicopters, and two UAVs—on March 16, and Ukrainian forces continue to successfully contest Russian air operations.
Russian forces face mounting difficulties replacing combat casualties and replacing expended munitions. The Ukrainian General Staff stated on March 17 that Russian forces will begin another wave of mobilization for the Donetsk People’s Republic’s (DNR) 1st Army Corps on March 20.[2] Ukrainian intelligence continued to report Russian forces face difficulties manning both combat and support units and increasing desertion rates.[3] The General Staff further reported that Russian forces are increasingly using indiscriminate weapons against residential areas because they used almost their entire supply of “Kalibr” and “Iskander” cruise missiles in the first 20 days of the invasion.[4] It is unclear if the Ukrainian General Staff means Russian forces have used almost all precision munitions earmarked for the operation in Ukraine or almost all missiles in Russia’s total arsenal—though likely the former.


The Ukrainian Military Intelligence Directorate (GUR) reported several details on Russian efforts to recruit Syrian mercenaries on March 17.[5] The GUR reported that the Russian military ordered its base in Hmeimim, Syria to send up to 300 fighters from Syria to Ukraine daily. The GUR additionally reported that Syrian President Bashar al-Assad has promised to recruit 40,000 Syrian fighters to deploy to Ukraine. The GUR reported Russian authorities are promising Syrian recruits that they will exclusively act as police in occupied territories. Finally, the GUR reported low morale among Syrian recruits, including several cases of self-mutilation to avoid being deployed, and claimed many fighters see deploying to Russia and Belarus as an opportunity to desert and migrate to the EU.





Immediate items to watch


  • Russian forces will likely capture Mariupol or force the city to capitulate within the coming weeks.
  • The Ukrainian General Staff continued to report that there is a high probability of Russian provocations aimed at involving Belarus in the war in Ukraine, though ISW continues to assess Belarus is unlikely to open a new line of advance into Ukraine.
  • Ukrainian counterattacks and operations by Territorial Defense Forces in northeastern Ukraine threaten Russia’s exposed line of communicating, requiring Russia to redeploy forces away from the offensive toward eastern Kyiv.
  • Company and battalion-level attacks northwest of Kyiv likely represent the largest scale of offensive operations Russian forces can currently undertake to complete the encirclement of the city.
  • Russian troops may drive on Zaporizhya City itself within the next 48-72 hours, likely attempting to block it on both banks of the Dnipro River and set conditions for subsequent operations after Russian forces take Mariupol, which they are currently besieging.
 

Mitä Vanja puuhaa? Samaa lentelyä kuin eilen.
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"Vaikka virhe on mahdollisesti ollut presidentti Putinin, joka vanhana tiedustelumiehenä on luottanut omaan ja lähipiirinsä analyysin enemmän kuin tiedustelupalveluidensa analyyseihin, nyt siis syylliset löytyivät FSB:stä.

Todennäköistä on, että FSB:n puhdistus ei pääty tähän, vaan eri turvallisuuspalvelut alkavat valmistautua tilanteeseen, jossa Venäjä ei voitakaan Ukrainan sotaa. Silloin alkaa Winston Churchillin kuvaama bulldoggien taistelu kokolattiamaton alla."

Martti j kari
 
Ilmeisesti varsinkin S-300 vahvistukset hermostuttavat Venäjää.
Venäjää hermostuttaa:
-PST kalusto
-Stingerit
-Skystreakit
-Kommunikointivälineet
-Ammukset
-Ruoka
-Lääkkeet
-Mikä tahansa apu Ukrainalle

Venäjän ainoa mahdollisuus pysyä totuudessaan on tällä hetkellä tappaa tai leirittää koko Ukrainan väestö ja todennäköisesti kaikki länsimaiset ihmiset myöskin. Kun ei Kremlin propaganda maistu ja zaarin valta kiinnosta kertakaikkiaan. Ampuvat vielä takaisin kun zaarin ohrana tulee hakemaan, ettäs kehtaavat! Eiköhän Siperiassa jo vanhojen gulakien aitoja korjailla uusille asukkaille, noitahan tulee sinne kymmeniä-satoja miljoonia kun Puten mahtiarmeija valloittaa koko pallonpuoliskon!
 
On jotenkin hämmentävää kuinka paljon sitä rautaa Venäjältä löytyy.
Jollain tapaa hämmentävää kuinka paljon sitä rautaa löytyy Venäjältä.

En nyt kerennyt kahlaamaan twiitin kommentteja läpi, mutta osasiko joku tunnistaa joukkoyksikköä, että ovatko siis sitä rajalle siirrettyä keräyserää vai onko alueelle siirretty lisää joukkoja ja jos on niin mistä?
 
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