Antares
Respected Leader
Kieltämättä Ukrainan sodan seuraaminen on vienyt minun kaiken huomion, joten Azerbaijanin suorittama Vuoristo-Karabakhin kaappaus ja Israelin sota Gazassa eivät ole saaneet juuri lainkaan huomiota minulta.
Tämä tuli twitter-viestien virrassa vastaan, viestin mukaan nyt olisi merkkejä siitä että Venezuela haluaisi / on aikeissa hyökätä naapurinsa Guyanan kimppuun ja vallata 2/3 osaa sen alueesta.
HUOM: Guyana ja Ranskan Guyana ovat kaksi eri valtiota, katso karttakuva tuosta alempaa. Näiden kahden välissä on Surinam.
There are clear signs that #Venezuela is contemplating the annexation of Essequibo, encompassing two-thirds of #Guyana.
Caracas is gearing up for a referendum scheduled for December 3 and is making military preparations.
The #Brazilian army is on high alert.
-
Viestin kommenteista poimittua: No idea why you included the territory that was claimed to be Guyana in Brazilian Amapá. This was settled in favor of Brazil over a century ago, and there is actually absolutely no controversy surrounding that land.
-
Olin kahden vaiheilla, kannattaako tästä avata tänne ketjua koska tässä on kaikki ainekset siihen että osoittautuu ankaksi. Koska tämä Ukrainan sotaa tiiviisti seuraava OSINT-tili kirjoitti tästä viestin, tuumailin että tässä voi olla jotain oikeaa taustalla:
Brazilian intelligence reports suggest that the Venezuelan military is poised to initiate military actions against Guyana
Tämän viestin kommenteissa yksi kysyi, mistä tässä kiistassa on kyse. Lainaan kaksi siihen tullutta vastausta (ei tietoa, onko toinen tai molemmat paikkaansapitäviä, mutta sotia on aloitettu vähemmästäkin ja nämä kuulostavat loogisilta):
Vastaus 1: 160000 km2 of mostly rainforest (~70% of Guyana) and more importantly billions in potential oil/gas resources offshore that would be gained if Venezuela annexes it as planned. LÄHDE
Vastaus 2: In reality, Maduro needs a distraction for his internal disastrous government and might want to take advantage of having a leftist ally in each of his neighbours while the US distracted elsewhere.
-
Toki kommenteissa näkyy myös sitä normaalia, mitä sopii odottaa eli Venäjän liittolainen Venezuela aloittamassa oman sodan osana laajempaa Putinin maapallon herruus kampanjaa.
Vaikka Venezuela ja Neuvostoliitto / Venäjä ovat perinteisiä liittolaisia, niin ei Putin ole maailman keisari. Eri valtiot ovat täysin kyvykkäitä tekemään omia hyviä tai huonoja päätöksiään ilman että yksi mies on kaiken takana. Toki tässä voi olla sivujuonne yleiseen maailman tilanteeseen eli sotia siellä ja täällä, jolloin eri maiden (mm. Länsi) huomio on jakautunut mikä puolestaan voi tarjota tilaisuuden iskeä. Varsinkin jos sodan kuvitellaan olevan lyhyt ja menestyksekäs.
HUOM: väitetty "referendumin päivä" on 3.12.2023 eli tämän viikon sunnuntai. Ei siis jouduta odottamaan montaa päivää tämän kanssa, jos tilanne kehittyy vakavampaan suuntaan.
-
MUOKKAUS: laitetaanpa hieman lihaa tähän aloitusviestiin (artikkeli julkaistu 29.11.2023): LÄHDE
NEWSARMY
By Dylan Malyasov
Nov 29, 2023
Modified date: 11 seconds ago
Reports from Brazilian intelligence suggest an imminent military move by the Venezuelan army against the Republic of Guyana in the coming days, raising concerns about regional stability and territorial disputes in South America.
Venezuela’s interest in the territory of Essequibo, a vast area rich in natural resources located between Guyana and Venezuela, has sparked tensions. This territory, larger than Greece, is home to indigenous Guyanese populations, and both countries claim sovereignty over it.
The ongoing contention centers on Essequibo, an area abundant in oil and valuable minerals. Venezuela aims to determine its future through a referendum scheduled for Sunday, intending to transform Essequibo into a Venezuelan state. However, the practical and legal ramifications of this vote, including its potential to alter the geopolitical landscape, remain unclear, stirring unease among the region’s inhabitants.
Encompassing an area of 61,600 square miles (159,500 square kilometers), Essequibo constitutes two-thirds of Guyana’s territory. Nonetheless, Venezuela has historically laid claim to Essequibo, tracing its possession back to the Spanish colonial period. The border defined by international arbitrators in 1899, during Guyana’s time as a British colony, has been contested by Venezuela for an extended period.
Venezuela’s commitment to its territorial claims has fluctuated over the years. In 2015, ExxonMobil’s announcement of significant oil discoveries near Essequibo reignited Venezuela’s interest in the region.
Disputed boundaries were arbitrated by representatives from Britain, Russia, and the United States. The U.S. partially represented Venezuela in the discussions due to Venezuela’s severance of diplomatic ties with Great Britain.
Venezuelan officials assert allegations of collusion between Americans and Europeans aimed at deceiving their country. They argue that the 1966 agreement resolving the dispute effectively nullified the initial arbitration. Guyana, the sole English-speaking country in South America, contends that the initial agreement holds legal validity and binding force. In 2018, it petitioned the International Court of Justice to affirm this stance.
The impending referendum in Venezuela and the intensifying rhetoric from both nations signal escalating tensions, raising fears of potential military action and further instability in the region.
-
About author:
Dylan Malyasov
Dylan Malyasov is the editor-in-chief of Defence Blog. He is a journalist, an accredited defense advisor, and a consultant. His background as a defense advisor and consultant adds a unique perspective to his journalistic endeavors, ensuring that his reporting is well-informed and authoritative. read more
-
Seuraava lainaus Guyanan wikipedia-artikkelista, joten ota tai jätä - taustoittaa hieman sitä, millainen maa Guayna on kyseessä ja sivuaa tätä 2015 tehtyä öljylöytöä (toki vain lyhyesti): LÄHDE
Guyana is the only South American nation in which English is the official language. However, the majority of the population speak Guyanese Creole, an English-based creole language, as a first language. Guyana is part of the Anglophone Caribbean. It is part of the mainland Caribbean region maintaining strong cultural, historical, and political ties with other Caribbean countries as well as serving as the headquarters for the Caribbean Community (CARICOM). In 2008, the country joined the Union of South American Nations as a founding member.
In 2017, 41% of the population of Guyana lived below the poverty line.[10] Guyana's economy has been undergoing a transformation since the discovery of crude oil in 2015 and commercial drilling in 2019, being one of the few economies to grow despite the COVID-19 pandemic in 2020 at 49% GDP growth through the year, making it, by some accounts, currently the world's fastest-growing economy. As it is said to have 11 billion barrels in oil reserves,[11] the country is on course to become one of the largest per capita oil producers in the world by 2030.[12]
The discovery of over 11 billion barrels of oil reserves off the coast of Guyana since 2017 is the largest addition to global oil reserves since the 1970s.[13] Guyana is now ranked as having the fourth-highest GDP per capita in the Americas after the United States, Canada, and The Bahamas, and has been one of the countries with the most improvement in Human Development Index ranking since 2015. According to the World Bank in 2023, very significant poverty still exists and the country faces significant risks in structurally managing its growth.[14]
-
Map of Guyana, showing the Essequibo River and (shaded dark) the river's drainage basin. Venezuela claims territory up to the western bank of the river. The historical claim by the UK included the river basin well into current-day Venezuela.
Tämä tuli twitter-viestien virrassa vastaan, viestin mukaan nyt olisi merkkejä siitä että Venezuela haluaisi / on aikeissa hyökätä naapurinsa Guyanan kimppuun ja vallata 2/3 osaa sen alueesta.
HUOM: Guyana ja Ranskan Guyana ovat kaksi eri valtiota, katso karttakuva tuosta alempaa. Näiden kahden välissä on Surinam.
There are clear signs that #Venezuela is contemplating the annexation of Essequibo, encompassing two-thirds of #Guyana.
Caracas is gearing up for a referendum scheduled for December 3 and is making military preparations.
The #Brazilian army is on high alert.
-
Viestin kommenteista poimittua: No idea why you included the territory that was claimed to be Guyana in Brazilian Amapá. This was settled in favor of Brazil over a century ago, and there is actually absolutely no controversy surrounding that land.
-
Olin kahden vaiheilla, kannattaako tästä avata tänne ketjua koska tässä on kaikki ainekset siihen että osoittautuu ankaksi. Koska tämä Ukrainan sotaa tiiviisti seuraava OSINT-tili kirjoitti tästä viestin, tuumailin että tässä voi olla jotain oikeaa taustalla:
Brazilian intelligence reports suggest that the Venezuelan military is poised to initiate military actions against Guyana
Tämän viestin kommenteissa yksi kysyi, mistä tässä kiistassa on kyse. Lainaan kaksi siihen tullutta vastausta (ei tietoa, onko toinen tai molemmat paikkaansapitäviä, mutta sotia on aloitettu vähemmästäkin ja nämä kuulostavat loogisilta):
Vastaus 1: 160000 km2 of mostly rainforest (~70% of Guyana) and more importantly billions in potential oil/gas resources offshore that would be gained if Venezuela annexes it as planned. LÄHDE
Vastaus 2: In reality, Maduro needs a distraction for his internal disastrous government and might want to take advantage of having a leftist ally in each of his neighbours while the US distracted elsewhere.
-
Toki kommenteissa näkyy myös sitä normaalia, mitä sopii odottaa eli Venäjän liittolainen Venezuela aloittamassa oman sodan osana laajempaa Putinin maapallon herruus kampanjaa.
Vaikka Venezuela ja Neuvostoliitto / Venäjä ovat perinteisiä liittolaisia, niin ei Putin ole maailman keisari. Eri valtiot ovat täysin kyvykkäitä tekemään omia hyviä tai huonoja päätöksiään ilman että yksi mies on kaiken takana. Toki tässä voi olla sivujuonne yleiseen maailman tilanteeseen eli sotia siellä ja täällä, jolloin eri maiden (mm. Länsi) huomio on jakautunut mikä puolestaan voi tarjota tilaisuuden iskeä. Varsinkin jos sodan kuvitellaan olevan lyhyt ja menestyksekäs.
HUOM: väitetty "referendumin päivä" on 3.12.2023 eli tämän viikon sunnuntai. Ei siis jouduta odottamaan montaa päivää tämän kanssa, jos tilanne kehittyy vakavampaan suuntaan.
-
MUOKKAUS: laitetaanpa hieman lihaa tähän aloitusviestiin (artikkeli julkaistu 29.11.2023): LÄHDE
Venezuela prepares for possible invasion into Guyana
NEWSARMY
By Dylan Malyasov
Nov 29, 2023
Modified date: 11 seconds ago
Reports from Brazilian intelligence suggest an imminent military move by the Venezuelan army against the Republic of Guyana in the coming days, raising concerns about regional stability and territorial disputes in South America.
Venezuela’s interest in the territory of Essequibo, a vast area rich in natural resources located between Guyana and Venezuela, has sparked tensions. This territory, larger than Greece, is home to indigenous Guyanese populations, and both countries claim sovereignty over it.
The ongoing contention centers on Essequibo, an area abundant in oil and valuable minerals. Venezuela aims to determine its future through a referendum scheduled for Sunday, intending to transform Essequibo into a Venezuelan state. However, the practical and legal ramifications of this vote, including its potential to alter the geopolitical landscape, remain unclear, stirring unease among the region’s inhabitants.
Encompassing an area of 61,600 square miles (159,500 square kilometers), Essequibo constitutes two-thirds of Guyana’s territory. Nonetheless, Venezuela has historically laid claim to Essequibo, tracing its possession back to the Spanish colonial period. The border defined by international arbitrators in 1899, during Guyana’s time as a British colony, has been contested by Venezuela for an extended period.
Venezuela’s commitment to its territorial claims has fluctuated over the years. In 2015, ExxonMobil’s announcement of significant oil discoveries near Essequibo reignited Venezuela’s interest in the region.
Disputed boundaries were arbitrated by representatives from Britain, Russia, and the United States. The U.S. partially represented Venezuela in the discussions due to Venezuela’s severance of diplomatic ties with Great Britain.
Venezuelan officials assert allegations of collusion between Americans and Europeans aimed at deceiving their country. They argue that the 1966 agreement resolving the dispute effectively nullified the initial arbitration. Guyana, the sole English-speaking country in South America, contends that the initial agreement holds legal validity and binding force. In 2018, it petitioned the International Court of Justice to affirm this stance.
The impending referendum in Venezuela and the intensifying rhetoric from both nations signal escalating tensions, raising fears of potential military action and further instability in the region.
-
About author:
Dylan Malyasov
Dylan Malyasov is the editor-in-chief of Defence Blog. He is a journalist, an accredited defense advisor, and a consultant. His background as a defense advisor and consultant adds a unique perspective to his journalistic endeavors, ensuring that his reporting is well-informed and authoritative. read more
-
Seuraava lainaus Guyanan wikipedia-artikkelista, joten ota tai jätä - taustoittaa hieman sitä, millainen maa Guayna on kyseessä ja sivuaa tätä 2015 tehtyä öljylöytöä (toki vain lyhyesti): LÄHDE
Guyana is the only South American nation in which English is the official language. However, the majority of the population speak Guyanese Creole, an English-based creole language, as a first language. Guyana is part of the Anglophone Caribbean. It is part of the mainland Caribbean region maintaining strong cultural, historical, and political ties with other Caribbean countries as well as serving as the headquarters for the Caribbean Community (CARICOM). In 2008, the country joined the Union of South American Nations as a founding member.
In 2017, 41% of the population of Guyana lived below the poverty line.[10] Guyana's economy has been undergoing a transformation since the discovery of crude oil in 2015 and commercial drilling in 2019, being one of the few economies to grow despite the COVID-19 pandemic in 2020 at 49% GDP growth through the year, making it, by some accounts, currently the world's fastest-growing economy. As it is said to have 11 billion barrels in oil reserves,[11] the country is on course to become one of the largest per capita oil producers in the world by 2030.[12]
The discovery of over 11 billion barrels of oil reserves off the coast of Guyana since 2017 is the largest addition to global oil reserves since the 1970s.[13] Guyana is now ranked as having the fourth-highest GDP per capita in the Americas after the United States, Canada, and The Bahamas, and has been one of the countries with the most improvement in Human Development Index ranking since 2015. According to the World Bank in 2023, very significant poverty still exists and the country faces significant risks in structurally managing its growth.[14]
-
Map of Guyana, showing the Essequibo River and (shaded dark) the river's drainage basin. Venezuela claims territory up to the western bank of the river. The historical claim by the UK included the river basin well into current-day Venezuela.
Viimeksi muokattu:
Mutta ei NATO-maa ja EU-maa Ranska sinne mene säätämään.