Konflikti Kiinan merellä

Taiwan’s defence ministry has now said that China launched “several” Dongfeng ballistic missiles into waters around Taiwan’s northeast and southwest, about ninety minutes ago, starting from 13.56 local time, according to a report from Reuters.
Earlier today, amid the tension of the live-fire drills around Taiwan, China’s foreign minister, Wang Yi, stressed his country’s efforts to strengthen ties with south-east Asian nations at a meeting with top diplomats from the Association of Southeast Asian Nations (ASEAN) in Phnom Penh, Cambodia.

The Associated Press reports that in his opening marks, Wang did not mention the situation in Taiwan directly, but instead stressed how China and the ASEAN countries had strengthened cooperation in recent years.

“We have safeguarded the oasis of peace in the face of the turbulence in the international security situation,” he said.

ASEAN is made up of Brunei, Cambodia, Indonesia, Laos, Malaysia, Myanmar, the Philippines, Singapore, Thailand and Vietnam.
Reuters is carrying some quotes from a Taiwanese official, who it says spoke to them on condition of anonymity due to the sensitivity of the issue. The official describes todays events so far, saying about 10 Chinese navy ships briefly crossed the median line before they were “driven away” by Taiwanese navy boats.

“They sneaked in, and were driven away by us,” the Taiwanese source said.

Multiple Chinese air force planes briefly crossed the median line several times on Thursday morning, forcing Taiwan to scramble jets and deploy missile systems to track their movement, the person said.

“They flew in and then flew out, again and again. They continue to harass us and increase our air defence pressure.”
 
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The danger with escalation is that it is hard to pull back.

Now that US House Speaker Nancy Pelosi has managed to visit Taiwan - the highest-ranking American official to do so in 25 years - won't others want to do the same in the future?

Now that China has held major live fire exercises of such a scale, so close to Taiwan, why not do that again? Each time Chinese fighter jets fly nearer to the island or in greater numbers, a new standard of "normality" is established. So, if the People's Liberation Army (PLA) doesn't fly as close next time, what message is it sending?

Not so long ago, Beijing's plan with Taiwan involved engagement. Young people from the mainland were backpacking around the breakaway province claimed by China, and businesses from Taiwan were popping up all over China.

However, the approach under Chinese President Xi Jinping has become much more belligerent, with ever more pressure being applied on Taipei.

Those with more militaristic tendencies in the upper echelons of power here must have secretly welcomed the visit by Ms Pelosi. It has provided an ideal excuse to ramp up the war games around Taiwan in preparation for what they see as the inevitable day when it will be seized by force.

The biggest challenge perhaps for regional stability is that everyone's public position on Taiwan is ridiculous. It's like a giant game of pretend which is becoming harder to maintain.

China pretends that Taiwan is currently part of its territory, even though the island collects its own taxes, votes in its own government, issues its own passports and has its own military.

The US pretends it is not treating Taiwan as an independent country, even though it sells it high-tech weapons and, occasionally, a high-ranking politician visits on what looks very much like an official trip.

It's apparent that it would take nothing for this flimsy show, designed to guarantee the status quo, to fall apart.

The danger for the world is that there are those in Beijing who would like to see it fall apart.
 
The US Navy says the USS Ronald Reagan aircraft carrier is heading towards a stretch of ocean that includes waters southeast of Taiwan.

"USS Ronald Reagan and her strike group are under way in the Philippine Sea continuing normal, scheduled operations as part of her routine patrol in support of a free and open Indo-Pacific," a navy spokesperson said on Thursday.
Analysts say one scenario is that China is preparing to fire ballistic missiles - to splash down in the exclusion zones, very close to Taiwan's coast.

That is what China did back in 1996, the last time tensions between Beijing and Taipei got this bad. But this time the exclusion zones are much closer to Taiwan.

There is also concern over the fact that one of the exclusion zones is to the east of Taiwan in the Pacific ocean.

So analysts say it's possible China is preparing to fly a missile over the top of Taiwan - to splash down in that zone. That would be considered a major violation of Taiwan's airspace.

A US aircraft that can track ballistic missiles in flight has taken off from Japan and is heading towards Taiwan.
Life is going on as normal in Taipei - people here are calm but concerned.

The main impact of the Chinese military drills is that Taiwan is now having to reroute a huge number of international flights and ships coming in and out of Taiwanese ports in the north and the south.

They have to be rerouted around the six exclusion zones China has declared around Taiwan.

This is expected to last for four days - so it's a major headache for Taiwan to deal with.

Taipei has called it a breach of UN conventions and international law - and has condemned China for declaring exclusion zones.

The Taiwanese government has also warned local companies that they need to be prepared for a large number of cyber attacks originating in China in the next few days.

So Taiwan is braced for the Chinese drills - it's on high alert and observant.

It's watching what Taiwan is doing but not reacting - yet.
 
Hesarin uutinen Kiinan ”harjoituksista”:


”Reuters raportoi torstaina, että Taiwanin hallitsevan puolueen mukaan harjoitukset ovat ”vastuuttomia ja laittomia”.

Lisäksi Taiwanin johto on ilmaissut, että sotaharjoitukset rikkovat YK:n säännöksiä, tunkeutuvat Taiwanin alueelle ja uhkaavat selvästi vapaata ilmatilaa ja merenkäyntiä.

Maan hallinnon mukaan käynnissä on käytännössä Taiwanin saarto, koska Kiinan määrittämät sotaharjoitusalueet osuvat vilkkaiden lentoreittien ja vesiväylien varrelle.”
 
The chairman at TSMC – a company crucial to global chip supply – has considered tech industry fears of a Chinese military invasion of Taiwan, concluding such an event would render its fabs inoperable.

“Nobody can control TSMC by force,” Mark Liu said in an interview this week. “If you take a military force or invasion, you will render TSMC factory non-operable, because it is such a sophisticated manufacturing facility.”

The chairman of the world’s 11th most valuable company, with a market capitalization of $449.96 billion, was speaking during a rare interview with CNBC released earlier this week.
"From materials to chemicals to spare parts to engineering software diagnoses... it [takes] everybody’s effort to make this factory operable. So, if you take it over by force, you can no longer make it operable."

Expanding on TSMC's work with the international semiconductor tech world, he noted: "Even in COVID times, our engineers use[d] augmented reality, they work with engineers in Netherlands, in California - and that’s how closely we work together."
"In terms of the China business, it today [comprises] about 10 percent of our business... we only work with consumer - we don’t work with with military – we only work [with the] consumer market, Liu says.

He adds that TSMC thinks "the consumer pulse is important and it is vibrant and if [China] needs us... it's not a bad thing."

"Because our interruption will create great economic turmoil on either side, in China, because suddenly their most component supply disappeared and it is an interruption, I must say, so people will think twice on this."

Liu hopes TSMC and Taiwan are not "discriminated against because we are close with China. No matter [what] your relationship [is] with China, Taiwan is Taiwan. You have to look at Taiwan as a vibrant society. We want to unleash innovation for the world ... and not to be scared because we have some dispute with our neighbors. That is not worth it."
 
Recent imagery obtained by The War Zone from Planet Labs shows four USAF B-2 Spirit stealth bombers lined up at the Royal Australian Air Force (RAAF) Amberley airbase in Queensland. Considering the USAF currently only operates 20 B-2 bombers, the photo provides an unprecedented glimpse from space of one-fifth of the service's entire B-2 fleet deployed 'down under.' That being said, it will likely become a very normal sight as the U.S. and Australia work more closely to deter China.

The photo highlights the growing presence of USAF B-2s in Australia in recent months – signaling the U.S.' commitment to maintaining stability within the Indo-Pacific amid growing tensions with China. The four B-2s currently stationed at Amberley were sent from the 509th Bomb Wing at Whiteman Air Force Base, Missouri, to support a Pacific Air Forces Bomber Task Force. Two B-2s arrived at Amberley on July 10, while another two B-2s arrived on July 12. While B-2s have visited Australia before, this is the first deployment of B-2s to the country as part of the Bomber Task Force (BTF), according to Janes. USAF and RAAF flyers have focused on “training missions and strategic deterrence missions” since the four USAF B-2s arrived at Amberley as part of the Enhanced Cooperation Initiative under the Force Posture Agreement between the U.S. and Australia.
 
series of relatively high-resolution and close-up images of the Chinese People's Liberation Army Navy's Type 055 destroyer Nanchang, which has the hull number 101, have appeared online. The pictures offer an unusually detailed top-down look at the armament, defensive systems, and other features of the warship, which is China's most modern and capable surface combatant. At least two Type 055s are now reportedly moving into position to take part in a series of drills aimed at Taiwan in response to U.S. Speaker of the House Nancy Pelosi's recent visit to the island, where their capabilities could be put on full display.

The images in question all appear to be screenshots from a segment broadcast on a Chinese-language television station, which were then posted online via the country's microblogging website Weibo. The lower thirds in all of the shots include the years "1927" and "2022." This strongly suggests that this was part of a broadcast on or about August 1 marking this year's China's People's Liberation Army (PLA) Day, also referred to simply as Army Day. The PLA traces its founding to the Nanchang Uprising, which took place on Aug. 1, 1927.
 
The hum of holiday vibes and the selfie-snapping is interrupted by the roar of explosions as projectiles shoot up into the sky, prompting oohs and aahs from the surprised tourists.

Visitors to Pingtan island, a popular destination with resplendent sea and reefs that attracts thousands of visitors every summer, have been granted a front row seat to China's latest fury at Taiwan.

The unprecedented military exercises are a response to this week's visit to the self-ruled island by US House Speaker Nancy Pelosi -- seen by Beijing as a major provocation.

The closest point in mainland China to Taiwan, about 125 kilometres away across the strait, Pingtan lies on the frontlines.

Tourists in shorts, t-shirts and caps defy the 38 degree Celsius (100 degrees Fahrenheit) temperature and crowd on the eastern tip of the island.

But the afternoon beach fun is swiftly punctuated by the boom of missile fire across the Taiwan Strait, sending tourists' heads spinning.

Their cameras swiftly shift from documenting family fun to the latest geopolitical missive between Beijing and Taipei, facing the azure sky to capture the projectiles soaring from military installations located only a few kilometres away.

"It's a little worrying all that... come on, let's go," a woman carrying a parasol to protect herself from the sun told her friends as other anxious tourists broke camp.

Further on, another group of tourists arrive to find out what all the commotion is about.

"We suddenly heard a huge noise. It surprised us at the time!" a student who came with friends and who introduces himself as Jack, tells AFP.

"If we were scared? Not at all", says the smiling young man.

The Chinese military manoeuvres, which are taking place in six maritime areas around Taiwan, began Thursday noon (0400 GMT) and will continue until Sunday noon (0400 GMT).

Tulee mieleen amerikan sisällis-sota kamppailut, missä jengi keräänty piknikille kun urhoot tappoivat toisiaan pelloilla ja niityillä. Tähän tarvitaan yksi onnettumuus ja Kiinan maine turistikohteena on pilalla.
 
Oikeastaan Taiwanin kannattaisi nyt eskaloida tilannetta koska Kiina ei vielä ole tarpeeksi vahva sitä valloittamaan.
Tämä voisi tapahtua vaikkapa upottamalla kiinalaisen sotalaivan tai kalastusaluksen joka tulee aluevesirajan yli... :devilish:

Konflikti on varmasti tulossa ja puolustajan kannalta olisi suuri etu päättää milloin se tapahtuisi.
 
Oikeastaan Taiwanin kannattaisi nyt eskaloida tilannetta koska Kiina ei vielä ole tarpeeksi vahva sitä valloittamaan.
Tämä voisi tapahtua vaikkapa upottamalla kiinalaisen sotalaivan tai kalastusaluksen joka tulee aluevesirajan yli... :devilish:

Konflikti on varmasti tulossa ja puolustajan kannalta olisi suuri etu päättää milloin se tapahtuisi.

Mistä päättelet että konflikti olisi varmasti tulossa?
 
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