Somalia ja Itä- sekä Keski Afrikan konfliktit

Bwana kirjoitti:
Pistetäänpäs uusiksi, vähän. Debre Sinasta tapellaan, ketunlenkkiä on tehty lännenpänä Amharassa. PP:n eli Abiyen puolueen johtoa on muutakin ilmoittanut lähtevänsä rintamalle. Saas nähdä, jossain vaiheessa heille Addiksesta lähtö olisi joka tapauksessa tulossa joten joten. Ei heillä välttämättä kauhean kauaa ole enää aikaa maastapoistumisiaan järjestellä.
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Lähtevät "rintamalle" Istanbuliin?
 
International alarm mounted on Tuesday over the escalating war in Ethiopia as Tigrayan rebels said they were edging closer to the capital, Addis Ababa, and more foreign citizens were told to leave.

The US envoy Jeffrey Feltman spoke of some progress in efforts to reach a diplomatic settlement to end the year-long conflict but said it risked being jeopardised by “alarming developments” on the ground.

France became the latest country to tell its citizens to get out of Ethiopia, while the UN has ordered the immediate evacuation of family members of international staff, according to an internal document seen by AFP on Tuesday.

The rebel Tigray People’s Liberation Front (TPLF) said this week it had taken a town just 135 miles (220km) from the capital, although the claims are hard to verify because of a communications blackout.
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www.theguardian.com

Alarm grows over escalating Ethiopia war as more foreign citizens told to flee

Hopes for talks fade as Tigrayan rebels say they are edging closer to Addis Ababa
www.theguardian.com www.theguardian.com
 
Kiinan ulkoministeri Wang Yi on vierailulla Etiopiassa.
 
Päivitystä, lähteenä arabiankieliset tviitit.

Oromoiden OLF ilmoittaa etenevänsä pääkaupunkia Addisia kohti useammallakin rintamalla.

Tigray-porukka kertoo "ratkaisevien toimien" olevan viritteillä.

Stay tuned.
 
StepanRudanskij kirjoitti:
Päivitystä, lähteenä arabiankieliset tviitit.

Oromoiden OLF ilmoittaa etenevänsä pääkaupunkia Addisia kohti useammallakin rintamalla.

Tigray-porukka kertoo "ratkaisevien toimien" olevan viritteillä.

Stay tuned.
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TDF on tosiaan joutunut Turkin, UAE:n, Kiinan ja Iranin "lahjoittamian" materiaalin ie dronejen vaikutuspiiriin ja Addikseen johtavalle tasangolle ei ole ollut vielä asiaa. Saa nähdä tuleeko TDF:n ja OLF:n yhteishyökkäys missä vaiheessa.
 
Siellä muuten TDF ilmeisesti tyhjentää Kombolchan kaupunkia kaikesta tarpeettomasta maallisesta. Osa näistä tavaroista/laitteista/koneista saattaa olla vuosi sitten Mekellestä/Tigraystä Abiyen armeijan evakuoimaa, Tigraystä kun vietiin pois melkein kaikki talikkoa korkeampi teknologia.

Joka tapauksessa TDF maksaa pottuja pottuina ja pitää osaltaan yllä paikallisia sodankäynnin perinteitä. Tätähän kyllä on harrastettu sodissa kautta maailman sivu ja tuohonhan mestari Tsu:kin opettaa.
 
TDF on viime päivinä vetäytynyt eli siellä on otettu ilmeisesti vissiin järki käteen. Huoltolinjat kun alkoivat olla melko pitkät ja vähän niin kuin rosvoilla ja poliiseilla, täytyy rosvon voittaa joka kerran kun taas poliiseille riittää yksi onnistuminen... Eli haavoittuvaisiahan tigrayt ovat pohjoisessa Eritrean armeijan ja amharoiden puristuksessa. Ei siinä passaa liikaa väkeä tapattaa Addiksen edustan alangoilla.

Katellaan. Se on varmaa että rytinä jatkuu vielä.
 
Bwana kirjoitti:
TDF on viime päivinä vetäytynyt eli siellä on otettu ilmeisesti vissiin järki käteen. Huoltolinjat kun alkoivat olla melko pitkät ja vähän niin kuin rosvoilla ja poliiseilla, täytyy rosvon voittaa joka kerran kun taas poliiseille riittää yksi onnistuminen... Eli haavoittuvaisiahan tigrayt ovat pohjoisessa Eritrean armeijan ja amharoiden puristuksessa. Ei siinä passaa liikaa väkeä tapattaa Addiksen edustan alangoilla.

Katellaan. Se on varmaa että rytinä jatkuu vielä.
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Harmi kun kaikki diktatuurit tukevat Abiyea. Tigrayt ovat todellisuudessa hyvin yksin. Kumpikaan ei ole puhdas, mutta, silti..
 
Sidelined after a decade leading Ethiopia's army, General Tsadkan Gebre-Tensae did not expect to don his uniform after retirement. But when war erupted in Tigray, the renowned military strategist was back, ready to fight the army he had once commanded.
For many observers, there is little doubt that Tsadkan, whose face -- round, bald, moustached -- is famous in Ethiopia, is the man responsible for the advances of the Tigray People's Liberation Front (TPLF) rebel group since June.
Thirty years earlier in 1991, Tsadkan led the TPLF's march on Addis Ababa, part of a coalition that ousted the autocrat Mengistu Hailemariam.
He then served as the Ethiopian army's chief of staff for a decade, leading troops during the country's bloody border war against Eritrea (1998-2000).
But it is his decision to return to the battle front in his late sixties that may prove most momentous.
"This is a well-to-do (man), who could have lived in luxury anywhere he chooses," said Awet Weldemichael, a Horn of Africa security expert at Queen's University in Canada.
"The fact that he decided to face the gathering storm with his people is honourable."

- 'Trained on the job' -

Born into a peasant family, nothing predisposed Tsadkan for a military career.
But shortly after the TPLF was created in 1975 to advocate for the rights of Tigrayans in multi-ethnic Ethiopia, he abandoned his science studies at Addis Ababa University to join the movement.
"Militarily, he was trained on the job, and he climbed all the levels," Rene Lefort, a historian specialising in Ethiopia, told AFP, underlining "his intelligence, his rigour, his pragmatism".
"He projects a steely calm, he never raises his voice," said Lefort, who has met Tsadkan on several occasions.
After the fall of Mengistu, Tsadkan was put in charge of Ethiopia's military and transformed it, according to Gerard Prunier, an expert on the country.
"He turned it into an army that could have been a Western army. He made reforms focused in particular on recruitment and training," said Prunier, who has known Tsadkan for over two decades.
"For him, an army, it is above all about men."
Tsadkan's army was dominated by Tigrayans, as was the national government -- intensifying discontent among other ethnic groups that would eventually lead to the TPLF's ouster from power.
The army chief's own fortunes took a turn for the worse during the war with Eritrea, when he urged the capture of territory inside the neighbouring country, deepening tensions with then prime minister Meles Zenawi.
Meles dismissed him in 2001 and Tsadkan returned to civilian life after 36 years.

- Civilian life -

Tsadkan went into business, setting up a brewery and a horticultural company in Tigray. He was also named to the board of several major firms, including Ethiopian Shipping Lines and Lion Bank.
He offered his services as a military consultant to South Sudan's new government and earned a master's degree in international politics at George Washington University in the United States.
In 2019, he was called in from the sidelines to help resolve the increasingly fractious relationship between the TPLF and Prime Minister Abiy Ahmed, whose push to remove TPLF officials from top positions had stoked discontent since his appointment in 2018.
The mediation efforts went nowhere.
"I met with Abiy Ahmed three times... but it became obvious he had no intention to resolve this peacefully," Tsadkan said in an interview on a Tigrayan TV channel in June.
War seemed increasingly inevitable to the military veteran, who quietly packed up his life in Addis Ababa and returned to Tigray's capital Mekele last year.

- Repeat strategy -

When Abiy deployed federal forces in Tigray in November 2020, a move he said came in response to TPLF attacks on army camps, the rebels retreated to the mountains and the government declared victory.
"The number one doctrine of the TPLF is to never engage in a fight one cannot win," said historian Lefort, explaining that the rebel strategy was to retreat, regroup and eventually recapture lost ground.
Under Tsadkan's leadership, the TPLF recruited and trained new combatants en masse while also welcoming Tigrayan troops who lost their jobs following a purge of the national army.
Seven months later, they made a shock comeback, retaking most of Tigray and rapidly expanding into the neighbouring regions of Amhara and Afar before claiming towns located on a key highway to Addis Ababa at the end of October.
The recent announcements of territorial advances by Abiy's government have opened a new, uncertain phase in the 13-month war, with Tsadkan once again expected to play a key role in his country's trajectory.
"They are following the same strategy they have always done," said Lefort.
"What they did in 1991 inspires what they are trying to do in 2021."
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Tsadkan Gebre-Tensae: The Tigray general who came in from the cold

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Päivitystä:
TDF jätti yrittämättä Addikseen. Tässä päätöksessä isoa roolia ovat näytelleet Abiyen puolelle mistä kaikkialta haalitut dronet ja taitaa siellä ilma-ase muutenkin olla käytössä. TDF paineli Tigrayn vuorille. Alamatasta ja Koremista tapellaan, taas. Vielä ei vahvistettua infoa ole, onko Ertsiläkin mukana pohjoisessa. Kulisseissa Kenia ja US ovat Tigrayn humanitäärisen tilanteen "varjolla" ajaneet neuvotteluja/TDF:n vetäytymistä (vissiin on vähän kärsäkin tullut verille dronejen kanssa) ja pommia kuuluu tulevan takuu-etiopilaiseen tyyliin (katso Massawan taistelu 1990 ja sen jälkimainingit). Abiyen viestintä on ollut edelleen tasoa "Tulette alas sieltä vuorilta kädet ylhäällä ja ilman aseita". Hjoo-oh. Se, kenelle Etiopia sitten loppupeleissä on myyty tällä kertaa jää nähtäväksi.
 
Bwana kirjoitti:
Päivitystä:
TDF jätti yrittämättä Addikseen. Tässä päätöksessä isoa roolia ovat näytelleet Abiyen puolelle mistä kaikkialta haalitut dronet ja taitaa siellä ilma-ase muutenkin olla käytössä. TDF paineli Tigrayn vuorille. Alamatasta ja Koremista tapellaan, taas. Vielä ei vahvistettua infoa ole, onko Ertsiläkin mukana pohjoisessa. Kulisseissa Kenia ja US ovat Tigrayn humanitäärisen tilanteen "varjolla" ajaneet neuvotteluja/TDF:n vetäytymistä (vissiin on vähän kärsäkin tullut verille dronejen kanssa) ja pommia kuuluu tulevan takuu-etiopilaiseen tyyliin (katso Massawan taistelu 1990 ja sen jälkimainingit). Abiyen viestintä on ollut edelleen tasoa "Tulette alas sieltä vuorilta kädet ylhäällä ja ilman aseita". Hjoo-oh. Se, kenelle Etiopia sitten loppupeleissä on myyty tällä kertaa jää nähtäväksi.
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Eli armeija ehjänä vuorille turvaan. Hyvä, ei Tigrayta voiteta siellä. Mutta eikö kukaan oikeasti ole TDFn puolella vaan kaikki keskushallinnon/Abiyen molopään?
 
Leaderwolf kirjoitti:
Eli armeija ehjänä vuorille turvaan. Hyvä, ei Tigrayta voiteta siellä. Mutta eikö kukaan oikeasti ole TDFn puolella vaan kaikki keskushallinnon/Abiyen molopään?
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Abiyella on ainakin vielä prokura-oikeus Etiopian nimissä. Myyhän nuo kuolemankauppiaat mitä vaan jos rahaa tulee.
Tigray on Afrikan mitassa pieni eikä siellä mitään isompaa hyödynnettävääkään ole, joten ulkopuolisia "ystäviä" on vaikea löytää.
 
Laitan tänne

Gunmen have kidnapped three Chinese workers at a hydro-electric damn project in central Nigeria, with two local workers killed after clashes between the gang and security forces, police said on Thursday.
Criminal gangs looking for ransom payments often target expatriate workers at infrastructure projects in parts of Africa's most populous nation.
Suspected armed bandits on Tuesday afternoon attacked "workers comprised of some Chinese expatriates and local staff" at the Sino-Hydro project in Niger State who were working on a transmission line tower, state police spokesman Wasiu Abiodun said in a statement.
"Police tactical team attached to the facility engaged the hoodlums in a gun duel while four of the expatriates were rescued with one of them and two local staff sustaining bullet injury," Abiodun said.
"In the process of scampering for safety during the gun duel, three among the expatriates were abducted."
The two local staff died later in hospital, the statement said.
Chinese employees have been targetted several times in Nigeria over the last few months as they work on multi-billion-dollar infrastructure projects that include mining, railways, airports and roads.
Victims are usually released after a ransom is paid although authorities rarely confirm if money changes hands.
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Nigeria gunmen kidnap three Chinese dam workers: police

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Tigrayt ovat Tigrayssä (ovat ilmeisesti keskittyneet amharoiden häätöön/häädön valmisteluun läntisestä Tigraystä) ja nyt Abiye on ilmeisesti päästämässä linnasta vangitsemansa TPLF:n vanhaa kaartia. Samoin oromoiden OFC:n pomoja on vapautettu. Saa nähdä onko kestävämpää vai suonenveto. Tigrayn humanitäärisen tilanteen puolesta kestävämpi olisi kiva...

Näissä voi Abiyella alkaa jenkkien Etiopian tuotteiden tuonnin verovapauden päättyminen painaa, siinä meinaan menee Addiksen alueen tekstiiliteollisuus (CalvinKlein, Speedo, Tommy Hilfiger... on siellä H&M:kin) tulee työttömiä lisää ja massijannut eivät tykkää kun 250 miljoonan vuosimyynti jää tekemättä.
Seuraillaan.
 
Eritrean Isaias on taas suostunut "haastatteluun", joka tällä kertaa on ollut vielä enemmän monologi kuin normaalisti. Minkäänlaista kriittisyyttä ei jälleen ole havaittavissa. Tiivistettynä "Meidän kimppuumme hyökättiin, piste. Mitään ei olla tehty. Abiyen pitäisi hommautua eroon Etiopian nyky-perustuslaista (eli etnispohjaisesta liittovaltiosta)"

Totta, tigrayt ampuivat Asmaraan(kin) ohjuksia. Mutta mutta... Jenkkejä Isaias dissasi taas, mutta mitäs muuta kirjaimellisesti maolainen kaaderi tekisikään?

https://eritreahub.org/key-points-made-by-president-isaias-during-his-interview
 
Lisään vielä että Abiyellä on aika tiukat paikat, taas. Siellä ilmaiskut Tigrayssä osuvat pakolaisiin ja paine neuvotteluille kasvaa. Jos hän nyt sitten ryhtyy Tigrayn kanssa neuvonpitoon, pitävät amharat häntä petturina. Samoin kuin Eritrea. Nämä kaksi sitten todennäköisesti pistävät pystyyn/jatkavat oman Tigrayn vastaisen sotansa, Abiyesta riippumatta. Läntisessä Tigrayssä on edelleen kummankin joukkoja, ja ei ole oletettavaa että TDF tuota tulee hyväksymään.
 
Mutinous troops in restive Burkina Faso arrested President Roch Marc Christian Kabore on Monday and detained him in army barracks a day after staging an uprising, security sources told AFP.
Soldiers at several army bases across the West African country rebelled on Sunday, demanding the sacking of the military top brass and more resources to fight a bloody jihadist insurgency.
Later in the day gunshots were heard near Kabore's private residence in the capital Ouagadougou, and witnesses reported seeing a helicopter above it.
"President Kabore, the head of parliament and the ministers are effectively in the hands of the soldiers" at the Sangoule Lamizana barracks in the capital Ouagadougou, a security source said, with another source confirming the arrest.
The situation was tense and confused in the capital, where mobile internet had been cut on Sunday, making it difficult to verify rumours of a coup in progress.
An AFP journalist said around 10 hooded troops had posted themselves in front of the national broadcaster RTB on Monday, but it was not immediately clear if they were from the mutineers or had been sent in by the government.
Kabore, first elected in 2015 before winning re-election five years later on campaign vows he would prioritise the fight against the jihadist insurgency, has faced rising public anger about the failure to stop the bloodshed.
A group of protesters supporting the soldiers set up makeshift roadblocks on several main streets in the capital before being dispersed by police, AFP journalists said.
There have been several coups or attempted coups in Burkina Faso. In neighbouring Mali -- where the insurgency began before crossing the border -- the military toppled the civilian government in 2020.
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Burkina Faso president arrested by mutinous soldiers: security sources

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Soldiers seen outside Burkina Faso state TV after mutinies

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The United Nations on Tuesday deplored the military takeover in Burkina Faso and called for the immediate release of President Roch Marc Christian Kabore and other top officials.

The UN human rights office said it was crucial to preserve democratic space in the West African nation and ensure that the rule of law is respected.

"We call on the military to immediately release President Roch Marc Christian Kabore and other high-level officials who have been detained. We urge a swift return to constitutional order," spokeswoman Ravina Shamdasani told reporters in Geneva.

Michelle Bachelet, the UN high commissioner for human rights, visited the country in November 2021, when she stressed the importance of preserving the democratic and human rights gains made there.

"The high commissioner deeply deplores the military takeover of power in Burkina Faso," said Shamdasani.

Soldiers in Burkina Faso on Monday announced on state television that they had seized power following a mutiny over the civilian president's failure to contain an Islamist insurgency.

A junior officer announced the suspension of the constitution, the dissolution of the government and parliament, and the closure of the country's borders.

Shamdasani said that during Bachelet's visit in November, she observed mounting frustration and impatience with the deteriorating security situation.

"In the face of the security threats and tremendous humanitarian challenges facing the country, it is more important than ever to ensure that the rule of law, constitutional order, and the country's obligations under international human rights law are fully respected," the spokeswoman said.

"It is crucial for democratic space to be effectively protected, to ensure people are able to air their grievances and aspirations, and to participate in meaningful dialogue to work towards addressing the many crises in the country."

Bachelet's office pledged to continue monitoring the human rights situation in Burkina Faso.
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UN urges Burkina military to free president 'immediately'

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