Ukrainan konflikti/sota
pitkäpyssy
Kapteeni
Nämä ryssän rintamalle siirrettävät ajoneuvot ovat vuodessa keventyneet paljon.
Viimeksi muokattu:
Eerikainen
Eversti
Siinä sanotaan että "FPV strike on a train by Russia's Sudoplatov Battalion." Eli iskun teki ryssien organisaatio?
Pavel Sudoplatov Battalion - Wikipedia
pitkäpyssy
Kapteeni
Katos luin huolimattomasti.Siinä sanotaan että "FPV strike on a train by Russia's Sudoplatov Battalion." Eli iskun teki ryssien organisaatio?
Pavel Sudoplatov Battalion - Wikipedia
en.wikipedia.org
taantumu
Ylipäällikkö
Medvedev on tänään pehmeällä tuulella ja ilmoittaa Venäjän olevan valmis neuvotteluihin Ukrainan kanssa. Diman mukaan neuvottelut ovat mahdollisia jos ukrainalaiset ymmärtävät todellisen rintamatilanteen.
https://tass.ru/politika/22652249
Mattipuh
Alikersantti
taitaa olla rysyllä loppu lähellä kun alkaa viesti näin laimeta. hyvä niin. lisää puskua vaan!
tulikomento
Supreme Leader
VanhaPate
Respected Leader
Operatiivista tietoa 12.12.2024 klo 08.00 alkaen koskien Venäjän hyökkäystä
Tämä on osa Zelenskyin 8.12. Pidettyä puhetta, josta täälläkin käsiteltiin noitten tappioitten osalta. Tässä on suomeksi se mitä Zelenskyi sanoi.
t.me
t.me
t.me
t.me
t.me
t.me
t.me
https://t.me/GeneralStaffZSU/19258Kunnia Ukrainalle!
Venäjän laajamittaisen aseellisen aggression tuhannes kahdeskymmeneskolmas päivä Ukrainaa vastaan on alkanut.
Rintamatilanne pysyy vaikeana. Vihollinen, joka käyttää ylivoimaansa miesvoimassa ja kalustossa, jatkaa hyökkäyksiä asemiamme vastaan. Ukrainan puolustajat pitävät tiukasti asemansa ja aiheuttavat merkittäviä tappioita viholliselle.
Viimeisen vuorokauden aikana on raportoitu yhteensä 203 taistelukosketusta.
Eilen vihollinen iski Ukrainan joukkojen asemiin ja siviilikohteisiin kahdella ohjuksella ja 15 ilmaiskulla, käyttäen kahta ohjusta ja pudottaen 24 ohjattua pommia. Lisäksi vihollinen teki 3500 tulitusta siviilikohteisiin ja asemiimme, joista 134 oli raketinheittimien iskua, ja käytti yli tuhat kamikazedroonia.
Vihollinen kohdisti ilmaiskuja muun muassa Kymivskeen, Petrivkaan, Toretskiin, Pokrovskiin, Komariin, Rozlyviin ja Vremivkaan Donetskin alueella.
Viimeisen vuorokauden aikana Ukrainan puolustajien ohjus- ja tykistöjoukot tuhosivat neljä komentokeskusta ja neljä vihollisen henkilöstön kokoontumisaluetta.
Harkovan suunta: Venäjän terroristit hyökkäsivät kuusi kertaa ilman menestystä ukrainalaisten asemia vastaan Hlyboken, Lyptsin, Starytsan ja Vovtšanskin alueilla.
Kupjanskin suunta: 14 hyökkäystä päivän aikana. Puolustusjoukot torjuivat vihollisen hyökkäykset lähellä Zapadne, Pishchane, Lozova ja Zahryzove.
Lymanin suunta: 30 hyökkäystä päivän aikana. Vihollinen yritti murtaa puolustuslinjat Tverdokhlibove, Druzeljubivka, Novojegorivka, Hrekivka, Makijivka, Terny, Torske, Hryhorivka, Kopanka ja Serebrjanski-metsän alueilla.
Siverskin suunta: Ukrainan puolustajat torjuivat yhden vihollisen hyökkäyksen lähellä Verkhnjokamjanskea.
Kramatorskin suunta: Vihollinen yritti kahdesti edetä Chasiv Jarin ja Stupochkyn lähellä.
Toretskin suunta: Viisi vihollisen hyökkäystä puolustusasemille, käyttäen ohjattuja pommeja.
Pokrovskin suunta: Ukrainan joukot pysäyttivät 40 vihollisen hyökkäystä. Vihollinen käytti aktiivisesti ilmailua ja iski Shevchenkon, Pishchanen, Novotroitsken, Novooleksiivkan ja muiden alueiden läheisyydessä.
Kurakhiven suunta: 49 torjuttua hyökkäystä. Eniten hyökkäyksiä yritettiin lähellä Sontsivkaa, Stari Ternyä, Datchenkea ja Kuraakhovea.
Vremivkan suunta: 29 hyökkäystä, joihin käytettiin myös pommikoneita.
Hulyaipilin suunta: Ei hyökkäyksiä päivän aikana.
Orikhivin suunta: Yksi hyökkäys Ukrainan asemia vastaan lähellä Novoandrijivkaa.
Pridniprovskin suunta: Viisi epäonnistunutta vihollisen yritystä siirtää puolustusjoukkoja pois asemistaan.
Volynin ja Polissjan suunta: Ei merkkejä vihollisen hyökkäysryhmien muodostamisesta.
Kurskin operaatioalue: Puolustusjoukot torjuivat 22 hyökkäystä.
Sumyn ja Tšernihivin rajalla: Vihollinen käytti aktiivisesti tykistöä ja ilmailua kohdistuakseen siviilikohteisiin.
Ukrainan puolustajat aiheuttivat merkittäviä tappioita vihollisen miehistölle ja kalustolle ja heikensivät vihollisen hyökkäyspotentiaalia.
Viimeisen vuorokauden aikana Venäjän tappiot olivat 1390 sotilasta. Lisäksi tuhottiin kuusi tankkia, 28 panssaroitua ajoneuvoa, viisi tykistöjärjestelmää, kaksi risteilyohjusta, 54 ajoneuvoa ja yksi erikoiskalustoyksikkö.
Liity puolustusvoimiin!
Yhdessä voitamme! Kunnia Ukrainalle!
Tämä on osa Zelenskyin 8.12. Pidettyä puhetta, josta täälläkin käsiteltiin noitten tappioitten osalta. Tässä on suomeksi se mitä Zelenskyi sanoi.
Zelenskiy / Official
Вчора був у Президента Макрона в Єлисейському палаці. Була хороша зустріч із Президентом Трампом. Ми обговорили важливі речі на полі бою в Україні та у глобальній ситуації – від нашого фронту до Північної Кореї. Я сказав, що нам потрібен справедливий і сильний мир, який росіяни не зруйнують за...
t.me
Zelenskiy / Official
Доповідь Головкома Сирського. Передусім хочу подякувати нашим воїнам Збройних Сил України, які завдали минулої ночі відчутних ударів по російських цілях. Уражені військові об’єкти на території Росії, а також об’єкти паливно-енергетичного комплексу, який працює на агресію проти нашої держави та...
t.me
СИРСЬКИЙ
Під час роботи на Покровському напрямку особисто відвідав воїнів 38-ї окремої бригади морської піхоти. На цей час на Покровському напрямку тривають бої з переважаючим, насамперед, у живій силі противником. Доводиться приймати нестандартні рішення для підвищення стійкості оборони та більш...
t.me
Tänään Kurahiven suunnalla pääpaino oli Uspenivkassa ja Jantarnessa (suunnat kartalla).
Vihollinen hyökkäsi panssaroidulla kalustolla, josta noin 50 % tuhottiin, mutta loput onnistuivat purkamaan joukot ja vetäytymään. Kalustona oli pääasiassa BMP-3-ajoneuvoja. Pojat pitivät asemansa, mutta tilanne ei ole hyvä – jos Uspenivka menetetään, tilanne käy todella huonoksi.
Upseeri ✙
Офіцер ✙
Сьогодні на Курахівському напрямку основний натиск був на Успенівку та Янтарне(напрямки на карті). Штурмували з бронею, близько 50% броні пацани знищили, решта встигла висадити десант і втекти. По техніці в основному були БМП-3. Хлопці відбились, але становище не кайфове, бо якщо дожмуть...
t.me
Офіцер ✙
Відверто кажучи, особисто мені всі ці розмови про розміщення іноземних військ на території України не вселяють великої надії. Там занадто багато нюансів: союзники погодяться розмістити війська виключно після повного закінчення бойових дій; в свою чергу хуйло не сильно буде радий від перспективи...
t.me
Говорять Снайпер ✙
Погода просто п*здец, сніг, дощ та туман. Ймовірність активності ворожих ДРГ висока, є непідтверджена інформація про ДРГ на одній з крайніх вулиць в Покровську.
t.me
Tapasin “Antytila”-yhtyeen jäseniä kiittääkseni heitä henkilökohtaisesti heidän jatkuvasta ja merkittävästä tuestaan Ukrainan tiedustelulle.
Erikoislaitteet, dronet, kulkuneuvot, taistelualukset – kaikki tämä monen miljoonan arvoinen apu, joka on hankittu muusikoiden ja heidän taiteensa fanien hyväntekeväisyysaloitteiden ansiosta (joihin itsekin kuulun), vahvistaa merkittävästi Ukrainan sotilastiedustelun kyvykkyyksiä.
Kiitos, kaverit!
Начальник ГУР МО України
🤝 Зустрівся з учасниками гурту “Антитіла”, щоб особисто подякувати за їхню постійну й вагому підтримку українських розвідників. ▫️ Спеціалізоване обладнання, дрони, транспорт, бойові катери ― уся ця багатомільйонна допомога, придбана завдяки благодійним ініціативам музикантів та...
t.me
VanhaPate
Respected Leader
GUR:n artikkeli venäjän varjolaivastosta.
WAR & SANCTIONS: THE ORBIT OF THE SOVIET COMMAND OF THE FLEET, THE IRANIAN “GHOST ARMADA” – THE SHADOW TANKER FLEET IN THE LENS OF UKRAINE'S MILITARY INTELLIGENCE
December 12, 2024
war-sanctions.gur.gov.ua
WAR & SANCTIONS: THE ORBIT OF THE SOVIET COMMAND OF THE FLEET, THE IRANIAN “GHOST ARMADA” – THE SHADOW TANKER FLEET IN THE LENS OF UKRAINE'S MILITARY INTELLIGENCE
December 12, 2024
Морські та повітряні судна
задіяні в перевезенні зброї, викраденої української продукції та в обході санкцій
war-sanctions.gur.gov.ua
tulikomento
Supreme Leader
Ukrainan Suomen suurlähettilään blogi. Kirjoittaa maansa roolista kansainvälisenä ruuantuottajana. Lyhyesti sanottuna: Ryssä iskee tahallaan ruuantuotantoon ja varastaa kaiken itselleen valtaamiltaan alueilta.
puheenvuoro.uusisuomi.fi
Ukraine accounted for approximately 10% of global wheat exports and nearly half the world’s sunflower oil supply, with its fertile chernozem soil yielding some of the world’s most abundant harvests.
Over nearly three years of full-scale military aggression, Russia has deliberately destroyed approximately 30% of Ukraine’s agricultural sector and occupied nearly 20% of its farmland. Millions of tons of Ukrainian grain — valued at an estimated $1 billion — have been stolen, as Russia continues to use food as a weapon of war.Since the summer of 2023, Russia has escalated its attacks on Ukraine’s southern port infrastructure, targeting trade vessels and grain storage facilities to diminish Ukraine’s export capacity.
Currently, over 40 countries — including Egypt, Libya, Tunisia, Algeria, China, Vietnam, and Indonesia — rely on Ukraine’s grain exports. Yet, Russia continues to obstruct Ukraine’s sea corridor, further threatening global food security. Global grain prices have soared as a result of the disruptions caused by the targeted massive attacks by Russia, intensifying food insecurity in import-dependent nations. The United Nations estimates that 345 million people are experiencing acute food shortages, with 82 countries requiring urgent food aid. As demand for agricultural products grows annually by 2-3%, shortages in Africa and Asia could reach 10-15% in 2024.
Global food security in the shadow of Russia’s war against Ukraine | Uusi Suomi Puheenvuoro
In the last week of November, Ukraine solemnly commemorates the victims of the Holodomor, the genocidal famine orchestrated by the Soviet authoritarian regime in 1932–1933. This deliberate act aimed…
puheenvuoro.uusisuomi.fi
Ukraine accounted for approximately 10% of global wheat exports and nearly half the world’s sunflower oil supply, with its fertile chernozem soil yielding some of the world’s most abundant harvests.
Over nearly three years of full-scale military aggression, Russia has deliberately destroyed approximately 30% of Ukraine’s agricultural sector and occupied nearly 20% of its farmland. Millions of tons of Ukrainian grain — valued at an estimated $1 billion — have been stolen, as Russia continues to use food as a weapon of war.Since the summer of 2023, Russia has escalated its attacks on Ukraine’s southern port infrastructure, targeting trade vessels and grain storage facilities to diminish Ukraine’s export capacity.
Currently, over 40 countries — including Egypt, Libya, Tunisia, Algeria, China, Vietnam, and Indonesia — rely on Ukraine’s grain exports. Yet, Russia continues to obstruct Ukraine’s sea corridor, further threatening global food security. Global grain prices have soared as a result of the disruptions caused by the targeted massive attacks by Russia, intensifying food insecurity in import-dependent nations. The United Nations estimates that 345 million people are experiencing acute food shortages, with 82 countries requiring urgent food aid. As demand for agricultural products grows annually by 2-3%, shortages in Africa and Asia could reach 10-15% in 2024.
Harvapartio
Eversti
TIME-lehden mukaan Trump myönsi että rauhan saavuttaminen Ukrainassa ei taida onnistua ihan 24 tunnissa. Aikoo käyttää Ukrainan tukea neuvotteluvalttina venäjää vastaan. Sanojensa mukaan haluaa päästä sopimukseen ja ainoa keino siihen on olla hylkäämättä Ukrainaa. Samaan hengenvetoon kuitenkin sanoi olevansa vahvasti vastaan yhdysvaltalaisten ohjusten ampumista venäjälle ja sanoi tämän eskaloivan sotaa. Alla lainaus Ukrainaan liittyvästä osasta.
time.com
On the campaign trail, Trump liked to brag about brokering a peace agreement between Russia and Ukraine in 24 hours. In person, he acknowledged this is trickier than he let on. “The Middle East is an easier problem to handle than what’s happening with Russia and Ukraine,” he says. “The numbers of dead young soldiers lying on fields all over the place are staggering. It’s crazy what’s taking place.” Trump criticized Kyiv for launching U.S.-made missiles into Russian territory last month. “I disagree very vehemently with sending missiles hundreds of miles into Russia. Why are we doing that?” he says. “We’re just escalating this war and making it worse.” When pressed on whether or not he would abandon Ukraine, Trump says he would use U.S. support for Ukraine as leverage against Russia in negotiating an end to the war. “I want to reach an agreement,” he says, “and the only way you’re going to reach an agreement is not to abandon.”
TIME 2024 Person of the year
If what comes next is anything like what he promises, president-elect Donald Trump will reshape the nation and the world.
On the campaign trail, Trump liked to brag about brokering a peace agreement between Russia and Ukraine in 24 hours. In person, he acknowledged this is trickier than he let on. “The Middle East is an easier problem to handle than what’s happening with Russia and Ukraine,” he says. “The numbers of dead young soldiers lying on fields all over the place are staggering. It’s crazy what’s taking place.” Trump criticized Kyiv for launching U.S.-made missiles into Russian territory last month. “I disagree very vehemently with sending missiles hundreds of miles into Russia. Why are we doing that?” he says. “We’re just escalating this war and making it worse.” When pressed on whether or not he would abandon Ukraine, Trump says he would use U.S. support for Ukraine as leverage against Russia in negotiating an end to the war. “I want to reach an agreement,” he says, “and the only way you’re going to reach an agreement is not to abandon.”
tulikomento
Supreme Leader
TIME-lehden mukaan Trump myönsi että rauhan saavuttaminen Ukrainassa ei taida onnistua ihan 24 tunnissa. Aikoo käyttää Ukrainan tukea neuvotteluvalttina venäjää vastaan. Sanojensa mukaan haluaa päästä sopimukseen ja ainoa keino siihen on olla hylkäämättä Ukrainaa. Samaan hengenvetoon kuitenkin sanoi olevansa vahvasti vastaan yhdysvaltalaisten ohjusten ampumista venäjälle ja sanoi tämän eskaloivan sotaa. Alla lainaus Ukrainaan liittyvästä osasta.
TIME 2024 Person of the year
If what comes next is anything like what he promises, president-elect Donald Trump will reshape the nation and the world.
On the campaign trail, Trump liked to brag about brokering a peace agreement between Russia and Ukraine in 24 hours. In person, he acknowledged this is trickier than he let on. “The Middle East is an easier problem to handle than what’s happening with Russia and Ukraine,” he says. “The numbers of dead young soldiers lying on fields all over the place are staggering. It’s crazy what’s taking place.” Trump criticized Kyiv for launching U.S.-made missiles into Russian territory last month. “I disagree very vehemently with sending missiles hundreds of miles into Russia. Why are we doing that?” he says. “We’re just escalating this war and making it worse.” When pressed on whether or not he would abandon Ukraine, Trump says he would use U.S. support for Ukraine as leverage against Russia in negotiating an end to the war. “I want to reach an agreement,” he says, “and the only way you’re going to reach an agreement is not to abandon.”
Loppujen lopuksi Trump on vain poliitikko. Puhuu sitä mitä vaalikarja haluaa kuulla. Jo Nixon aikoinaan väitti 1968 presidentinvaaleissa että hänellä oli "salainen suunnitelma" Vietnamin sodan lopettamiseksi. Yhdysvaltojen osalta sota loppui vasta 1973. Tästä voi päätellä oliko sitä suunnitelmaa olemassakaan vaiko ei. Veikkaan vahvasti että Trumpin osalta jotain samaa on odotettavissa. Tarjotaan aluksi sekä Ukrainalle että ryssälle keppiä ja porkkanaa. Katsotaan sen jälkeen miten asiaan suhtautuvat.
Antares
Respected Leader
Tämä on toistaiseksi vain pieni otanta, mutta lämpötila kääntyi nousuu, samaan aikaan kun ohjautuvien liitopommien käyttö pysyi ennätyksellisen alhaisena.
Alustava arvio: näiden päivittäisen käytön lasku ei johdu kylmemmästä säästä:
The weather appears to have little effect on the observed drop.
A two-day warming period had no impact on KAB usage.
The current average has decreased to 40, as well as the number of airstrikes trending at historically low levels.
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Viestin kommenteissa oli pitkä ja mielenkiintoinen sananvaihto, lainaan siitä osia spoilerin taakse:
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Hyvin mielenkiintoinen väite ja tosiaan Facebook kirjoitus on julkaistu 17.10.2024 eli reilusti ennen kuin ohjautuvien liitopommien ja Shahed-136 / Geran-2 / "niiden kaltaisten" dronejen kokonaismäärät kääntyivät laskuun.
Molempien osalta puhutaan viimeisestä kahdesta viikosta eli hyvin tuore käänne kyseessä.
Viestin mukaan Ukraina olisi kyennyt vaikuttamaan niiden tuotantoon, tosin ei sanota suoraan miten. Käännös puhuu "tuotannon blokkauksesta" mikä voi tarkoittaa monenlaista (vaikutus joko komponenttien saantiin tai valmistukseen, tai logistiikkaketjuihin, tai dronejen tuotantoon) ja viestissä ennakoidaan että vaikutukset voisivat näkyä "marraskuun ensipäivinä", tosin kirjoittaa myös että he eivät tiedä kuinka suuri määrä droneja on varastoissa ja kuinka paljon niitä tullaan käyttämään.
Vitalyn tilastosta nähdään että liitopommien käyttö kääntyi laskuun 23.11.2024 alkaen.
Facebook-viestissä arvioidaan että vaikutus voisi kestää yhdestä kolmeen kuukautta, riippuen siitä miten nopeasti ryssä kykenee korjaamaan tilanteen. Hänen mukaansa tämä oli heidän "suunnitelma B" jonka onnistuminen vaati sitä että "tähdet osuvat linjaan" eli oli tuurista kiinni isosti. Vaikuttaisi siltä että tähdet olivat linjassa.
Hänen mukaansa heillä on myös "suunnitelma A" joka on vielä kesken. JOS se onnistuisi tavoitteiden mukaisesti, ohjautuvien liitopommien uustuotanto voisi olla vaikeuksissa "kevääseen asti".
Alustava arvio: näiden päivittäisen käytön lasku ei johdu kylmemmästä säästä:
The weather appears to have little effect on the observed drop.
A two-day warming period had no impact on KAB usage.
The current average has decreased to 40, as well as the number of airstrikes trending at historically low levels.
-
-
Viestin kommenteissa oli pitkä ja mielenkiintoinen sananvaihto, lainaan siitä osia spoilerin taakse:
Viestin kommenteissa häneltä kysyttiin näin:
So maybe the permission to strike Russia really helped? Or did they have fewer cabs?
Johon Vitaly vastasi näin:
Without detailed statistics, it is impossible to say for sure. The fact that the planes were pushed further is a fact, but it is surprising that it had such an impact. In accordance with the decrease in the intensity of aviation, the advance of the Ivans also stalled. I guess we have to wait for some insider article that will explain everything. LÄHDE
Johon D. mojavensis vastasi näin:
@M0nstas , in October there was such information about the successful strengthening of the regime of sanctions against UMPK.
Johon Vitaly vastasi näin: LÄHDE
I didn't want to write about sanctions, because I know that they don't work, but it's very similar, and if the correction systems were bent on them, then Shaheds will be punished accordingly.
This is an indisputable star for performers.
Johon D. mojavensis vastasi näin:
Yes, sanctions are circumvented, but the closure of specific supply chains of parts that are a bottleneck in the manufacture of weapons can realistically suspend production for a time (especially if the Russians are lazy and have not accumulated enough components in warehouses for such a case).
Johon Vitaly vastasi näin: LÄHDE
If this is so, then we have a rough idea of their reserves and the fact that the Russian army does not have such information.Otherwise, they could drop not 150 bombs in November, but 100 and calmly survive December.
Johon Andriy Haydash vastasi näin:
Do you have any idea how many bombs they have? Because they are not infinite either
Johon D. mojavensis vastasi näin:
But they (FABs) manufacture them, including at the plant named after Sverdlov in Dzerzhinsk:
https://focus.ua/uk/voennye-novosti...k-dlya-chogo-rf-pokazala-virobnictvo-fab-3000
(poistin osan kuvista, ne voi katsoa linkin takaa)
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Photo: Russian Ministry of Defense | FAB-3000 aerial bomb
Russia has only one carrier of FAB-3000 aerial bombs — the Tu-22M3 strategic bomber, which the occupiers are unlikely to risk using close to the front line. Focus found out what is known about the production of 3,000-kilogram bombs and how to deal with them.
The Russian army uses high-explosive aerial bombs with UMPK kits, which increase the range and improve accuracy. Such kits are available for FAB-250, FAB-500, RBK-500 cluster bombs, and FAB-1500. The occupiers use about 100 bombs with UMPK per day. The carriers of the shells are the Su-34 fighter-bomber and the Su-24M bomber. It is stated that in the Nizhny Novgorod region they have greatly increased the production of FAB-500 and doubled the production of FAB-1500, which are actively used in the war.
Photo: screenshot
Comparison of the sizes of aerial bombs
Photo: Wikipedia
The potential radius of destruction of the FAB-3000 is 46 meters. The radius of destruction by fragments is another 260 meters. The occupiers bombed Azovstal with such bombs during the defense of Mariupol at the beginning of the full-scale war. Due to its mass and power, the aerial bomb can hit concrete structures, shelters, fortifications, dams and industrial facilities.
Focus discussed the potential use of the FAB-3000 with aviation expert Anatoly Khrapchinsky . He reported that the FAB-3000 is mounted in the Tu-22M3 in the internal compartment, and it can lift two such shells simultaneously.
"Given that they are attached inside, it is difficult to imagine how they would implement the UMPK to make a KAB out of it. Secondly, we saw the KAB-1500, which they tried to make crookedly. Here, the FAB-3000 is much more complicated," the expert explains to Focus .
The FAB-3000 aerial bomb is dropped from a height of 15 km. In this case, the flight speed will be 1200 km/h.
Dropping an aerial bomb from the internal compartment of a Tu-22M3 aircraft
Photo: From open sources
The Tu-22M3 is the only carrier of the FAB-3000 bomb that they will not risk, because the Ukrainian air defense will be able to work on them.
Photo: Russian Ministry of Defense
If the Russian Air Force uses aerial bombs from Tu-22M3s, they will have to enter the range of Ukrainian air defense.
"Buks and all these Soviet systems will be able to shoot down planes very well. I'm not talking about Patriot or IRIS-T at all, here they are 100% within the range. But the question here is that if they make a KAB from FAB-3000, then they will certainly have to enter the range of our air defense," the aviation expert continues and adds that the Russian Air Force will not risk the Tu-22M3 so close to the front line.
Therefore, Anatoly Khrapchinsky believes that Shoigu's showy appearance and the announcement of the resumption of production are psychological pressure on Ukraine. Most likely, they are not producing new bombs, but are deconserving Soviet stocks. In addition, the FAB-3000 will not have the same flight range as the KAB-500 - 60-70 km. The maximum range will be 40 km, because it is heavier. In a conversation with Focus, Anatoly also compares Russian UMPKs with French AASM Hammer analogues. Russian Su-34s use the SVP-24 module to drop the KAB-500, which calculates the height, location and position of the aircraft from which the projectile should be dropped to hit the target. French bombs have jet thrust, so Ukrainian planes do not need to fly to a higher altitude and launch it at a certain moment.
Schematic view of the Hammer bomb
Defense Express adds that "53 Arsenal" is located in the village of Yuganets, Nizhny Novgorod region. In addition to aerial bombs, they produce ammunition from 30 mm and VOGs to 152 mm rounds. They also specialize in the restoration of ammunition and its components. According to Sergei Shoigu, production has increased 2.5 times. Three kilometers from the plant is the largest Russian explosives production facility - the Sverdlov plant in Dzerzhinsk. But such facilities must be protected by powerful air defense.
Johon Vitaly vastasi näin:
There was an article at the beginning of the year that they were increasing the production of bombs "instead" of missiles
Johon D. mojavensis vastasi näin:
And so and so. For example, at the plant named after Sverdlov, in addition to the standard FAB-500/1500/3000, they are now producing a more aerodynamic FAB-500T, which from UMPK flies significantly further (and which, according to the idea, was produced relatively little in Sovka):
https://defence-ua.com/news/dlja_ud...5rb_jakimi_ranishe_bili_po_harkovu-16697.html
So maybe the permission to strike Russia really helped? Or did they have fewer cabs?
Johon Vitaly vastasi näin:
Without detailed statistics, it is impossible to say for sure. The fact that the planes were pushed further is a fact, but it is surprising that it had such an impact. In accordance with the decrease in the intensity of aviation, the advance of the Ivans also stalled. I guess we have to wait for some insider article that will explain everything. LÄHDE
Johon D. mojavensis vastasi näin:
@M0nstas , in October there was such information about the successful strengthening of the regime of sanctions against UMPK.
Vadim Labas
Oct 17.
Friends ask why I don't write and where I have disappeared. Didn't get lost anywhere. I don't write because I don't want to. This is the first. Secondly, I promised myself not to write a single post until there is a result for one of the two cases. Well, the result is there. I really don't want to, but I will write.
We blocked the production of KABs. We estimate the minimum period to be one month. Today, this is a minus of 4,000 KABs.
What this means:
So that they don't disappear tomorrow. We do not know how many of them are in warehouses. But, taking into account the monthly rate of production and the intensity of their use (as far as we know about this indicator), we predict that already in the first days of November, the use of KABs will significantly decrease. And so it will be from a month to "unknown indicator".
Now about the "unknown indicator":
Our plan "B" worked. In general, he was of the "if the stars align and a comet flies under them" type.
The stars converged, the comet flew by. Thank you to Russian Christianity and their thirst for easy money. As I wrote above, this will slow them down for a month to three, depending on how quickly they orient themselves and how deep they can climb into the negative. But now plan "A" is still in effect, which we were counting on the most. And it can work even before the Russians recover from the losses from plan "B". And if we're so lucky, we won't see the KABs until spring. Let's hope for luck.
The operation, as usual, was carried out without the support of any state institutions, ranks and the like. Therefore, the entire burden is on the shoulders of a few people. And that's why there is no energy, time, or desire to write. However, I may write about rockets later. There is something to write about.
Oct 17.
Friends ask why I don't write and where I have disappeared. Didn't get lost anywhere. I don't write because I don't want to. This is the first. Secondly, I promised myself not to write a single post until there is a result for one of the two cases. Well, the result is there. I really don't want to, but I will write.
We blocked the production of KABs. We estimate the minimum period to be one month. Today, this is a minus of 4,000 KABs.
What this means:
So that they don't disappear tomorrow. We do not know how many of them are in warehouses. But, taking into account the monthly rate of production and the intensity of their use (as far as we know about this indicator), we predict that already in the first days of November, the use of KABs will significantly decrease. And so it will be from a month to "unknown indicator".
Now about the "unknown indicator":
Our plan "B" worked. In general, he was of the "if the stars align and a comet flies under them" type.
The stars converged, the comet flew by. Thank you to Russian Christianity and their thirst for easy money. As I wrote above, this will slow them down for a month to three, depending on how quickly they orient themselves and how deep they can climb into the negative. But now plan "A" is still in effect, which we were counting on the most. And it can work even before the Russians recover from the losses from plan "B". And if we're so lucky, we won't see the KABs until spring. Let's hope for luck.
The operation, as usual, was carried out without the support of any state institutions, ranks and the like. Therefore, the entire burden is on the shoulders of a few people. And that's why there is no energy, time, or desire to write. However, I may write about rockets later. There is something to write about.
Johon Vitaly vastasi näin: LÄHDE
I didn't want to write about sanctions, because I know that they don't work, but it's very similar, and if the correction systems were bent on them, then Shaheds will be punished accordingly.
This is an indisputable star for performers.
Johon D. mojavensis vastasi näin:
Yes, sanctions are circumvented, but the closure of specific supply chains of parts that are a bottleneck in the manufacture of weapons can realistically suspend production for a time (especially if the Russians are lazy and have not accumulated enough components in warehouses for such a case).
Johon Vitaly vastasi näin: LÄHDE
If this is so, then we have a rough idea of their reserves and the fact that the Russian army does not have such information.Otherwise, they could drop not 150 bombs in November, but 100 and calmly survive December.
Johon Andriy Haydash vastasi näin:
Do you have any idea how many bombs they have? Because they are not infinite either
Johon D. mojavensis vastasi näin:
But they (FABs) manufacture them, including at the plant named after Sverdlov in Dzerzhinsk:
https://focus.ua/uk/voennye-novosti...k-dlya-chogo-rf-pokazala-virobnictvo-fab-3000
(poistin osan kuvista, ne voi katsoa linkin takaa)
New threat or psychological pressure. Why did the Russian Federation show the production of FAB-3000?
Oleksandr Matvienko March 22, 2024 at 3:00 PM
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Photo: Russian Ministry of Defense | FAB-3000 aerial bomb
Russia has only one carrier of FAB-3000 aerial bombs — the Tu-22M3 strategic bomber, which the occupiers are unlikely to risk using close to the front line. Focus found out what is known about the production of 3,000-kilogram bombs and how to deal with them.
VIDEO OF THE DA
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Russian Defense Minister Sergei Shoigu was reported to have launched production of high-explosive aircraft bombs FAB-1500 and FAB-3000 at the 53rd Arsenal enterprise . Their production and restoration were established in February 2024. Focus figured out what threat the new bombs pose, what aircraft are their carriers, and what countermeasures might be.Play Video
The Russian army uses high-explosive aerial bombs with UMPK kits, which increase the range and improve accuracy. Such kits are available for FAB-250, FAB-500, RBK-500 cluster bombs, and FAB-1500. The occupiers use about 100 bombs with UMPK per day. The carriers of the shells are the Su-34 fighter-bomber and the Su-24M bomber. It is stated that in the Nizhny Novgorod region they have greatly increased the production of FAB-500 and doubled the production of FAB-1500, which are actively used in the war.
FAB-3000 (left) compared to FAB-1500 (right)Photo: screenshot
What are the characteristics of the FAB-3000 aerial bomb?
The FAB-3000 is a high-explosive aerial bomb that was developed in 1946. It weighs 3,000 kg, of which 1,400 kg is the explosive part. The bomb has three detonators at once. The only carrier currently is the Tu-22M3, one of those in service with the Russian army. In general, the Tu-4 and Tu-16 bombers were also carriers.
Photo: Wikipedia
The potential radius of destruction of the FAB-3000 is 46 meters. The radius of destruction by fragments is another 260 meters. The occupiers bombed Azovstal with such bombs during the defense of Mariupol at the beginning of the full-scale war. Due to its mass and power, the aerial bomb can hit concrete structures, shelters, fortifications, dams and industrial facilities.
Focus discussed the potential use of the FAB-3000 with aviation expert Anatoly Khrapchinsky . He reported that the FAB-3000 is mounted in the Tu-22M3 in the internal compartment, and it can lift two such shells simultaneously.
"Given that they are attached inside, it is difficult to imagine how they would implement the UMPK to make a KAB out of it. Secondly, we saw the KAB-1500, which they tried to make crookedly. Here, the FAB-3000 is much more complicated," the expert explains to Focus .
The FAB-3000 aerial bomb is dropped from a height of 15 km. In this case, the flight speed will be 1200 km/h.
Photo: From open sources
Tu-22M3 or Su-34 – will the Russian Federation bomb Ukraine FAB-3000
Currently, the only carrier of high-explosive FAB-3000 bombs is the Tu-22M3 strategic bomber. However, technically speaking, the Su-34 aircraft can also become a carrier of the projectile. Its declared maximum payload is 10,400 kg, which in theory allows it to be lifted. According to Anatoly Khrapchinsky, the issue for the Su-34 is centering the ammunition. If you try to attach a 3,000-kilogram bomb to the wings, then they will need to be strengthened, if "under the belly", then additional work will also need to be done. The technical issue in this case is very complex.
Photo: Russian Ministry of Defense
If the Russian Air Force uses aerial bombs from Tu-22M3s, they will have to enter the range of Ukrainian air defense.
"Buks and all these Soviet systems will be able to shoot down planes very well. I'm not talking about Patriot or IRIS-T at all, here they are 100% within the range. But the question here is that if they make a KAB from FAB-3000, then they will certainly have to enter the range of our air defense," the aviation expert continues and adds that the Russian Air Force will not risk the Tu-22M3 so close to the front line.
Therefore, Anatoly Khrapchinsky believes that Shoigu's showy appearance and the announcement of the resumption of production are psychological pressure on Ukraine. Most likely, they are not producing new bombs, but are deconserving Soviet stocks. In addition, the FAB-3000 will not have the same flight range as the KAB-500 - 60-70 km. The maximum range will be 40 km, because it is heavier. In a conversation with Focus, Anatoly also compares Russian UMPKs with French AASM Hammer analogues. Russian Su-34s use the SVP-24 module to drop the KAB-500, which calculates the height, location and position of the aircraft from which the projectile should be dropped to hit the target. French bombs have jet thrust, so Ukrainian planes do not need to fly to a higher altitude and launch it at a certain moment.
How to deal with FAB-3000
It will be difficult to shoot down FAB-3000 bombs, like other FABs. Therefore, Ukraine could organize a sabotage at the "53 Arsenal" plant, which is in the zone of attack of long-range kamikaze drones. According to Khrapchinsky, in this case, a drone with a warhead of 50-60 km is not needed, it will be enough to hit a warehouse with finished products. It is also worth destroying the carrier aircraft, and not trying to shoot down the bomb. In this case, air defense means or Western F-16 fighters are needed.
Johon Vitaly vastasi näin:
There was an article at the beginning of the year that they were increasing the production of bombs "instead" of missiles
Johon D. mojavensis vastasi näin:
And so and so. For example, at the plant named after Sverdlov, in addition to the standard FAB-500/1500/3000, they are now producing a more aerodynamic FAB-500T, which from UMPK flies significantly further (and which, according to the idea, was produced relatively little in Sovka):
https://defence-ua.com/news/dlja_ud...5rb_jakimi_ranishe_bili_po_harkovu-16697.html
For strikes on Zaporizhia, the Russian Federation could have used rare FAB-500T MiG-25RBs, which were previously used to strike Kharkiv.
DEFENSE EXPRESS
[email protected]
September 24, 2024, 1:01 PM
Production of FAB-500T at the facilities of the Russian defense industry, March 2024, images from open sources
Production of FAB-500T at the facilities of the Russian defense industry, March 2024, images from open sources
What type of aerial bombs are these, and how long ago did the Russians start using them?
The State Emergency Service showed a video of sappers near Zaporizhzhia deactivating a Russian air bomb that had failed. Based on this footage, it can be assumed that this is a rare type of bomb, the FAB-500T, which the Russians could have integrated with the UMPK module and used during the recent strikes directly on the city of Zaporizhzhia.
Previously, the enemy used these FAB-500T in some episodes during strikes on the Kharkiv region, in particular on Kharkiv itself in June 2024, which provides appropriate visual material for comparison.
The peculiarity of the FAB-500T is that aerial bombs of this type were created in Soviet times for use from reconnaissance and strike aircraft such as the MiG-25RB.
In this case, "T" means "heat-resistant", since the FAB-500T hull had to withstand temperature loads that could occur at flight speeds of up to and including 3,000 km/h (as the maximum speed of the MiG-25RB carrier aircraft).
Another important feature of the FAB-500T is that some sources claim that the aerodynamics of this bomb, provided the MiG-25RB was properly accelerated, could provide a range of up to 30-40 kilometers, even without the use of an additional "body kit" for the air bomb (which in this case is actually the UMPK module for converting a conventional bomb into a guided one).
MiG-25RB and FAB-500T, archival photo from open sources
MiG-25RB and FAB-500T, archival photo from open sources
If we talk about visual features, these same FAB-500Ts differ from the standard FAB-500M62s (which were mainly used for conversion into guided bombs with UMPK modules) in their more elongated body shape and lower explosive mass (260 kilograms versus 300 kilograms).
Russian propagandists "shone" the fact of the resumption of FAB-500T production at the facilities of the Russian military-industrial complex in their video footage in March 2024.
At the moment, we can only assume that the use of rare FAB-500Ts "in conjunction" with UMPK modules gives the Russians a range of use significantly greater than 70 kilometers, which is considered a standard indicator of the flight range of enemy guided bombs.
DEFENSE EXPRESS
[email protected]
September 24, 2024, 1:01 PM
Production of FAB-500T at the facilities of the Russian defense industry, March 2024, images from open sources
Production of FAB-500T at the facilities of the Russian defense industry, March 2024, images from open sources
What type of aerial bombs are these, and how long ago did the Russians start using them?
The State Emergency Service showed a video of sappers near Zaporizhzhia deactivating a Russian air bomb that had failed. Based on this footage, it can be assumed that this is a rare type of bomb, the FAB-500T, which the Russians could have integrated with the UMPK module and used during the recent strikes directly on the city of Zaporizhzhia.
Previously, the enemy used these FAB-500T in some episodes during strikes on the Kharkiv region, in particular on Kharkiv itself in June 2024, which provides appropriate visual material for comparison.
The peculiarity of the FAB-500T is that aerial bombs of this type were created in Soviet times for use from reconnaissance and strike aircraft such as the MiG-25RB.
In this case, "T" means "heat-resistant", since the FAB-500T hull had to withstand temperature loads that could occur at flight speeds of up to and including 3,000 km/h (as the maximum speed of the MiG-25RB carrier aircraft).
Another important feature of the FAB-500T is that some sources claim that the aerodynamics of this bomb, provided the MiG-25RB was properly accelerated, could provide a range of up to 30-40 kilometers, even without the use of an additional "body kit" for the air bomb (which in this case is actually the UMPK module for converting a conventional bomb into a guided one).
MiG-25RB and FAB-500T, archival photo from open sources
MiG-25RB and FAB-500T, archival photo from open sources
If we talk about visual features, these same FAB-500Ts differ from the standard FAB-500M62s (which were mainly used for conversion into guided bombs with UMPK modules) in their more elongated body shape and lower explosive mass (260 kilograms versus 300 kilograms).
Russian propagandists "shone" the fact of the resumption of FAB-500T production at the facilities of the Russian military-industrial complex in their video footage in March 2024.
At the moment, we can only assume that the use of rare FAB-500Ts "in conjunction" with UMPK modules gives the Russians a range of use significantly greater than 70 kilometers, which is considered a standard indicator of the flight range of enemy guided bombs.
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Hyvin mielenkiintoinen väite ja tosiaan Facebook kirjoitus on julkaistu 17.10.2024 eli reilusti ennen kuin ohjautuvien liitopommien ja Shahed-136 / Geran-2 / "niiden kaltaisten" dronejen kokonaismäärät kääntyivät laskuun.
Molempien osalta puhutaan viimeisestä kahdesta viikosta eli hyvin tuore käänne kyseessä.
Viestin mukaan Ukraina olisi kyennyt vaikuttamaan niiden tuotantoon, tosin ei sanota suoraan miten. Käännös puhuu "tuotannon blokkauksesta" mikä voi tarkoittaa monenlaista (vaikutus joko komponenttien saantiin tai valmistukseen, tai logistiikkaketjuihin, tai dronejen tuotantoon) ja viestissä ennakoidaan että vaikutukset voisivat näkyä "marraskuun ensipäivinä", tosin kirjoittaa myös että he eivät tiedä kuinka suuri määrä droneja on varastoissa ja kuinka paljon niitä tullaan käyttämään.
Vitalyn tilastosta nähdään että liitopommien käyttö kääntyi laskuun 23.11.2024 alkaen.
Facebook-viestissä arvioidaan että vaikutus voisi kestää yhdestä kolmeen kuukautta, riippuen siitä miten nopeasti ryssä kykenee korjaamaan tilanteen. Hänen mukaansa tämä oli heidän "suunnitelma B" jonka onnistuminen vaati sitä että "tähdet osuvat linjaan" eli oli tuurista kiinni isosti. Vaikuttaisi siltä että tähdet olivat linjassa.
Hänen mukaansa heillä on myös "suunnitelma A" joka on vielä kesken. JOS se onnistuisi tavoitteiden mukaisesti, ohjautuvien liitopommien uustuotanto voisi olla vaikeuksissa "kevääseen asti".
Viimeksi muokattu:
-TripleX-
Respected Leader
Zelenskyi vieraillut maanalaisessa sairaalassa, tuossakin on hoidettu jo 1000 potilasta eikä varmasti löydy ryssien ohjusten maaliksi.
Ryssä ei saa fregattejaan valmiiksi, koska moottoreita ei ole Mykolaivin tehtaalta tulossa. Päättivät myydä ne keskeneräisinä Intialle.
Siinä se sotilasmahti pullistelee, ei helvetin helvetti mitä vajakkeja.
Ryssä ei saa fregattejaan valmiiksi, koska moottoreita ei ole Mykolaivin tehtaalta tulossa. Päättivät myydä ne keskeneräisinä Intialle.
Siinä se sotilasmahti pullistelee, ei helvetin helvetti mitä vajakkeja.
Viimeksi muokattu:
Hanski
Ylipäällikkö
Venäläiset panssarivaunut ja tykistö alkavat selvästi muuttua uhanalaisiksi vieraslajeiksi. Kohta parisen viikkoa näiden tappiomäärät ovat olleet poikkeuksellisen pieniä, vaikka henkilötappiot ovat olleet jatkuvasti keskiarvoa suuremmat.Päivän luvut:
