Ukrainan konflikti/sota

Mielenkiintoisia numeroita tuoreesta iStories artikkelista (artikkeli julkaistu 18.8.2025):

The rate of recruitment for military service under contract in Russia has dropped to a two-year low.

In total, in the first half of 2025, 127.5 thousand people received contract payments - 40 thousand less than in the same period in 2024.


1755525062615.webp

-

Lähteenä olevaa artikkelia ei ole toistaiseksi julkaistu englanniksi, mutta tässä sen konekäännös: LÄHDE

In the second quarter of 2025, 37.9 thousand people signed a contract with the Ministry of Defense. This is 2.5 times less than a year ago​

Contract recruitment rate falls to two-year low

In the second quarter of 2025, 37.9 thousand people signed a contract with the Ministry of Defense. This is 2.5 times less than a year ago​

Contract recruitment rate falls to two-year low

Date
18 Aug 2025
Author
Katya Bonch-Osmolovskaya


In the second quarter of 2025, 37.9 thousand people signed a contract with the Ministry of Defense. This is 2.5 times less than a year ago

Photo: YURI KOCHETKOV / EPA / Scanpix / LETA


In the second quarter of 2025, 37.9 thousand people received payments for concluding a contract with the Ministry of Defense. This follows from data on federal budget expenditures, which were studied by Important Stories.

Compared to the same period in 2024, the number of people joining the Russian army fell by 2.5 times - then 92.8 thousand people received bonuses for signing a contract.

1755524949011.webp

Kuvan tekstien käännös: LÄHDE

1755524980146.webp

Taking into account the recruitment data for the first quarter, 127.5 thousand people received payments for signing a contract in just six months of 2025. For the same period in 2024, 166.2 thousand people received one-time bonuses.

Deputy Chairman of the Security Council Dmitry Medvedev stated that 210 thousand new contract soldiers joined the Russian army in the first half of 2025. This is 1.6 times more than the federal budget expenditure data shows. The figures announced by the authorities had previously exceeded the calculations based on the data on one-time payments, but the discrepancy was not that significant.

The number of new recruits in the second quarter of 2025 fell to a two-year low: fewer people joined the Russian army only in the same period of 2023, when Russia had just begun an active campaign to attract contract soldiers for money.

It is unclear what exactly the decrease is related to. In particular, the assessment by Janis Kluge, a research fellow at the German Institute for International Security Studies, does not show a decline. According to his calculations, 191,000 people could have signed a contract in the first six months of 2025 — one and a half times more than is shown by federal data. This assessment is based on information on payments for concluding a contract from regional budgets and allows one to assess the recruitment rate without a time lag. The data is available for 37 regions and is extrapolated to all of Russia.

Some regions reported problems with recruiting contract soldiers. For example, the authorities of the Irkutsk region cannot fulfill the plan for attracting people to the Russian army due to a lack of money to increase bonuses for signing a contract, the publication "People of Baikal" reported . The authorities of the Vladimir region have stopped reporting on the number of recruits sent to the front, although they have done so regularly since 2023. In early July, the region increased the one-time payment for signing a contract.


-

HUOM: artikkelissa mainittu uusien allekirjoitettujen sopimusten määrän lasku on siis ryssän puolustusministeriön numero, joka on laskettu budjetin menoerän perusteella.

Vastaavaa määrän laskua ei ole nähtävissä muista lähteistä: Medvedev väitti aikaisemmin että ryssä olisi rekrytoinut 210 000 uutta sotilasta vuoden 2025 ensimmäisen puoliskon aikana JA saksalainen tutkija Janis Kluge on laskenut tiettyjen oblastien numeroista ekstrapoloimalla että määrä voisi olla 191 000. LÄHDE

Artikkelissa on laskettu määräksi 127 500 uutta sotilasta vuoden 2025 ensimmäiselle puoliskolle (ensimmäinen neljännes on 89 600 eli keskiarvoisesti noin 29 900 per kuukausi JA toinen neljännes 37 900 eli keskiarvoisesti noin 12 600 per kuukausi).

Medvedevin numero on 1,65-kertaa suurempi ja Janis Klugen numero on 1,50-kertaa suurempi.

iStories artikkelissa kirjoitetaan että tälle numerojen suurella poikkeavuudelle ei ole selitystä. Tiettyjen oblastien tiedetään olleen vaikeuksissa eivätkä ne ole kyenneet täyttämään rekrytointikiintiötään. Samoin tiedetään että osa alueista on joutunut alentamaan allekirjoituspalkkioita merkittävästi (eivät kaikki). Toisaalta tähän asti on myös kommentoitu muissa lähteissä, mukaanlukien Ukrainan "virallisemmat kommentit" että ryssä on kyennyt korvaamaan tappionsa uusilla rekrytoinneilla eli merkittävistä vaikeuksista ei ole nähty väitteitä. Samoin tähän mennessä Ukraina raportoimat "päivän numerot" ovat pysyneet sitkeästi hieman yli 1000 sotilasta per päivä -tasolla. Toki kaikki näistä eivät ole kuolleita ja ryssä pyrkii laittamaan valtaosan haavoittuneista takaisin hyökkäysjoukkoihin, joten sinänsä "tappioiden korvaaminen" ei vaadi vastaavaa määrää uusia sotilaita per päivä.

Mielenkiintoista nähdä, miten näitä tuoreita numeroita kommentoidaan kunhan artikkeli leviää twitterissä (erityisesti Janis Klugen kommentit kiinnostavat).
 
Viimeksi muokattu:
tuota, minne ne liput lopussa katos, ettei olis vain käsitelty video... vaikka kai se on aito kun iltalehdelläkin jo
Ainakin kohdassa 0:25 juuri ennen kun kuvakulma vaihtuu tuo venäjän rätti näyttää kaatuvan. Sen jälkeen tosiaan kuvakulma menee kauemmas ja näkyy räjähdys.
 
Öljyn pumppaaminen menee taas hieman vaikeammaksi:

Oil pumping through the Druzhba pipeline has been stopped.

At night, a strike was carried out on the Nikolskoye oil pumping station, Tambov region.

General Staff Ukraine.


1755526298167.webp

1755526311019.webp

1755526327248.webp


-

MUOKKAUS: iskun seurauksena Unkari ja Slovakia eivät saa (ainakaan väliaikaisesti) ryssän öljyä tätä putkea pitkin:

Following Hungary, Slovakia has stopped receiving oil from Druzhba pipeline, — Transpetrol

General Staff announced a strike on the Nikolskoye oil pumping station — pumping of oil through the Druzhba main oil pipeline has been completely stopped.


 
Viimeksi muokattu:
"Nykymaailma", kyllä se sodassa voitolla oleva osapuoli on pitänyt valtaamansa alueet ennenkin ja turpiin ottanut osapuoli on ollut se maksumieheksi joutunut. Sellainen se maailma ikävä kyllä on aina ollut ja tulee varmaan aina olemaan.

Ja eipä tule missään loppulaskussa ryssän sotarikoksia tuomiolle eikä sotakorvauksia Ukrainalle (arv. n 500 mlrd)....

Mutta jos vaikka ryssän jemmarahat (300 mlrd) pysyisi takavarikossa ja Ukrainan jälleenrakennuspanttina... 🙏
 
Ja eipä tule missään loppulaskussa ryssän sotarikoksia tuomiolle eikä sotakorvauksia Ukrainalle (arv. n 500 mlrd)....

Mutta jos vaikka ryssän jemmarahat (300 mlrd) pysyisi takavarikossa ja Ukrainan jälleenrakennuspanttina... 🙏
Tuota oon miettinyt....

Kumpi ois parempi? Käyttää panttina oleva koko summa jälleen rakentamiseen vai käyttää takavarikkosumman korkotuotot jälleenrakennuslainan hoitamiseen?

Korkotuloja tulee niin kauan kun pääoma on takavarikoituna, toisin kuin takavarikossa olevan rahan suorakäyttö.

Varmaa ryssää enemmän harmittaa jos se 300 miljardia on vaikka 50v takavarikossa.
 
Tuota oon miettinyt....

Kumpi ois parempi? Käyttää panttina oleva koko summa jälleen rakentamiseen vai käyttää takavarikkosumman korkotuotot jälleenrakennuslainan hoitamiseen?

Korkotuloja tulee niin kauan kun pääoma on takavarikoituna, toisin kuin takavarikossa olevan rahan suorakäyttö.

Varmaa ryssää enemmän harmittaa jos se 300 miljardia on vaikka 50v takavarikossa.
Poliittisten epävarmuustekijöiden kannalta olisi parempi, että ne rahat annetaan Ukrainalle heti tai jo eilen.

Kun ne rahat on Ukrainalla, sen jälkeen niillä ei voida enää mitään "myönnytyspolitiikkaa" tehdä.

Olisi täysi katastrofi, jos Venäjä saa noi rahat takaisin.
 
"Nykymaailma", kyllä se sodassa voitolla oleva osapuoli on pitänyt valtaamansa alueet ennenkin ja turpiin ottanut osapuoli on ollut se maksumieheksi joutunut. Sellainen se maailma ikävä kyllä on aina ollut ja tulee varmaan aina olemaan.
Murheellista, mutta totta. Toki voidaan vääntää kättä siitä, kuka tässä sodassa, tai erikoisoperaatiossa on voittanut mitä ja, miksi. Onko tosiaan niin, että oranssi mies ja putler voivat sopia Ukrainan "pään yli" hyvän "diilin", jossa putler ikään kuin palkitaan kaikista sotarikoksista? Ja pahimmillaan euroopassa leikitään kolmea apinaa, tai korkeintaan heristellään sormea - ja puuhastellaan pullonkorkkien, sekä muiden tärkeiden asioiden kanssa.
 
Viimeksi muokattu:
"Nykymaailma", kyllä se sodassa voitolla oleva osapuoli on pitänyt valtaamansa alueet ennenkin ja turpiin ottanut osapuoli on ollut se maksumieheksi joutunut. Sellainen se maailma ikävä kyllä on aina ollut ja tulee varmaan aina olemaan.
Nii-i ja siinähän se vika onkin...
 
"Flamingo" tuntuu olevan nyt kielen päällä ja "sarjatuotannon" sanotaan käynnistyneen, mikä voi tarkoittaa mitä tahansa 1-100 kpl per kuukausi väliltä. Silti, jostain on pakko aloittaa ja suurempia numeroita kohti tietysti yritetään.

Huomattavan suuri tuo jopa 1000 kg taistelukärki: Tomahawk -risteilyohjuksissa ja Iskander-M ballistisissa on noin 500 kg taistelukärki. Ryssän arsenaalissa Kh-22 / Kh-32 "meritorjuntaohjus" taitaa olla ainoa jossa on 1000kg taistelukärki, näin äkkiseltään muisteltuna ja niiden tarkkuus ei päätä huimaa.

Sanoisin että 500kg taistelukärki riittäisi myös, mutta 1000kg kelpaa toki jos kantomatkaa ei tarvitse uhrata liikaa ja ohjuksella yltää hyvin esim. Yelabugan dronetehtaan ja "logistiikkakeskuksen" tykö.

Tässä pari julkaistua videota "testeistä" sekä toinen kartta johon on hahmoteltu ulottumaa:

Video of the combat use and tests of the Ukrainian "Flamingo" cruise missile.

It has a range of up to 3,000 km, a warhead weighing approximately 1,000 kg, and a speed of up to 950 km/h. It is resistant to electronic countermeasures and can be produced in large quantities.

The warhead of the russian "Iskander-M" weighs only 480 kg, half that of the "Flamingo."

-

WOW.

Here you can see the range of the new Ukrainian "Flamingo" cruise missile.

Apparently, it's supposed to reach as far as Omsk and Tyumen.


1755530126921.webp

 
On tässä jo tovi odoteltukin, että sais ampua pitkälle, isoja paukkuja eikä kukaan ole kieltämässä. Uskonnottomana ihmisenä teen nyt poikkeuksen ja rukoilen, että noita on, ne toimivat ja niitä aletaan käyttämään. Kyllä se ensimmäinen tuhannen kilon paukku jossain 2000km päässä Ukrainan rajasta alkaa mietityttämään siellä Kremlissäkin, vaikka kansakunta olisi miten itsetuhoinen. Kovasti noita nyt rummutetaan.

Mitä tahansa vipuvartta nyt, kun vanhat mulkut ukot yrittävät uhrin ohi tehdä rajaviivoja.
 
On tässä jo tovi odoteltukin, että sais ampua pitkälle, isoja paukkuja eikä kukaan ole kieltämässä. Uskonnottomana ihmisenä teen nyt poikkeuksen ja rukoilen, että noita on, ne toimivat ja niitä aletaan käyttämään. Kyllä se ensimmäinen tuhannen kilon paukku jossain 2000km päässä Ukrainan rajasta alkaa mietityttämään siellä Kremlissäkin, vaikka kansakunta olisi miten itsetuhoinen. Kovasti noita nyt rummutetaan.

Mitä tahansa vipuvartta nyt, kun vanhat mulkut ukot yrittävät uhrin ohi tehdä rajaviivoja.

Väitteen mukaan olisi jo tehty "useita" iskuja ryssän alueelle tällä ohjuksella, tosin ei yksilöidä tarkemmin mihin on isketty / yritetty iskeä:

ZN publishes first footage of the combat use of the new Ukrainian "Flamingo" missile on Russian territory

The publication reports that several strikes were carried out on Russian territory using the "Flamingo" cruise missile.

The strikes are said to have successfully hit their targets, but specific locations and targets are not disclosed.

Externally, the missile resembles the British FP-5 Milanion.



-

Alkuperäinen lähde ovat nämä kaksi ZN-nettisivun artikkelia (ZN = Dzerkalo Tyzhnia):

Analysts believe that the Ukrainian "Flamingo" missile is the FP-5, manufactured by the Milanion Group.

What is known about this weapon?

Photos and specifications.


https://zn.ua/ukr/war/potuzhnishi-z...o-pro-ukrajinski-krilati-raketi-flaminho.html

More powerful than Tomahawk: what is known about the Ukrainian cruise missile "Flamingo"​



August 18, 2025, 09:35
Share




More powerful than Tomahawk: what is known about the Ukrainian cruise missile

© Milanion Group



Analysts believe that we are talking about FP-5 from Milanion Group.

Ukrainian photographer Yefrem Lukatsky, who works with the Associated Press, posted photos on his Facebook page that suggest the Ukrainian Flamingo missile is already in mass production. A few days ago, on August 14, he showed finished warheads in the workshop of the defense company Fire Point, ready for shipment.

After that, Defense Express analysts made an assumption that the "Flamingo" is actually the FP-5 missile from the Milanion Group, headquartered in the UAE. For the first time, this development was shown by the company that supplies weapons to the Ukrainian army at the IDEX-2025 exhibition in February this year in the Emirates. The announced characteristics, appearance, as well as the fact that both cruise missiles have a fixed straight wing and the engine is located above the fuselage, confirm the analysts' guesses.

Regarding the FP-5, it is known that this missile:
  • can fly three thousand km;
  • spend four hours in the air;
  • has satellite navigation, resistant to electronic warfare;
  • develops speeds of up to 950 km/h;
  • has a wingspan of six m;
  • It weighs up to six tons, of which one ton is the warhead.
There are few such missiles in the world, the defenders emphasize, adding that they are more powerful than the Tomahawk with a 450-kilogram warhead. Earlier, the Milanion Group said that they produce 50 units of this weapon per month.




Ephraim Lukatsky/Facebook


Ukraine continues to work on domestic weapons. For example, in December, the "Palyanytsya" drone missile was launched into mass production . Our state has also scaled up production of modernized R-360 "Neptun" missiles, which can now hit targets at longer distances.

-

Ukraine showcased a new cruise missile “Flamingo” — over 3000 km range and 1150 kg warhead.

Military analyst http://ZN.UA Vitaliy Kononuchenko shares exclusive videos of training and combat launches.


https://zn.ua/ukr/war/flaminho-vid-...an-ta-bojovikh-zapuskiv-krilatoji-raketi.html

"Flamingo" from FirePoint: exclusive videos of tests and combat launches of a cruise missile​


ZN.UA
PhotoVideo
August 18, 2025, 5:05 PM
Share




Flamingo from FirePoint: exclusive videos of tests and combat launches of a cruise missile

© ZN.UA

Author Vitaly Kononuchenko

journalist, OSINT analyst, military observer


Yesterday, in a publication by an Associated Press photographer, the world saw the new Flamingo cruise missile from the Ukrainian company FirePoint. And today, ZN.UA military columnist Vitaliy Kononuchenko spoke with the manufacturer and received exclusive videos of training and combat launches of the missile.



sddefault.jpg

Test launch of the Flamingo rocket



sddefault.jpg

Combat launch of the Flamingo missile


In the video, we can see successful launches of Flamingo missiles , first during tests and then in combat conditions, against targets on the territory of the Russian Federation.

The company, whose workshops are located in a protected location in the Carpathian forests, conducted successful tests of the rocket a few months ago, after which it went into mass production.

During the development of the weapon, the manufacturer focused on the three most important components of a domestic cruise missile: range, warhead size, and the ability to quickly deploy and launch. Now we can say that all three components have been implemented.

The warhead weighing 1,150 kilograms and a flight range of more than 3,000 kilometers allows it to destroy almost any targets at a depth that was previously completely inaccessible to Ukrainian strike weapons, including long-range drones. In addition to the stated characteristics, the missile is protected from the effects of Russian electronic warfare.

Combat use of Flamingo missiles, which has been taking place for some time, has proven its effectiveness and was able to hit targets on Russian territory.

Currently, the company, which is also the manufacturer of one of the most common drones of the “FP” series, is actively engaged in scaling the product and expanding production.

 
Viimeksi muokattu:
Pari tuoretta artikkelia, joissa kommentoidaan ryssän joukkojen siirtoja pois Sumyn alueelta (kenraali Syrskyi on antanut pitkän haastattelun RBC-Ukraine nettisivulle, artikkeli julkaistu 18.8.2025 ja lyhyemmässä LIGA.net artikkelissa lainataan presidentti Zelenskyn kommentteja, artikkeli julkaistu 12.8.2025):

Syrskyi said Russia is redeploying an unspecified number of forces from the Sumy direction, where some of Russia’s better units were fighting, “to other sectors, mainly Zaporizhzhia.”

Last week, Zelenskyy said Ukraine believes Russia would transfer ~30,000 of the 53,000 troops it had in the Sumy direction, sending 15,000 to the Zaporizhzhia direction, 7,000 to the Pokrovsk direction, and 5,000 to the Pokrovsk direction.


https://newsukraine.rbc.ua/interview/ukraine-must-constantly-prepare-for-war-with-1755497973.html

Ukraine must constantly prepare for war with Russia: Interview with army chief Syrskyi​

Ukraine, Mon, August 18, 2025 - 12:40
UAENRU

Ukraine must constantly prepare for war with Russia: Interview with army chief Syrskyi

Commander-in-Chief of the Armed Forces of Ukraine General Oleksandr Syrskyi (all photos: Main Directorate of Communications of the Armed Forces of Ukraine)

Author: Uliana Bezpalko, Liliana Oleniak


In a profound interview with RBC-Ukraine, Commander-in-Chief of the Armed Forces of Ukraine General Oleksandr Syrskyi assesses the risks of new Russian offensives, shares changes in the Ukrainian army, and explains why we must always be prepared for war - its continuation or the start of a new one - even despite possible security guarantees and the negotiation process.




General Oleksandr Syrskyi commanded the defense of Kyiv and the counteroffensive in the Kharkiv region in 2022, an operation that resulted in the liberation of significant territories of Ukraine. At that point, he already had eight years of war and resistance to Russian aggression in the east behind him.

In early 2024, he took command of the Armed Forces during one of the most difficult periods of the war: the Ukrainian army was forced to switch to defense, while the Russians intensified their strategic offensive operation to capture the entire Donetsk region, advance in the Kharkiv region, and later in the Zaporizhzhia, Kherson, and Sumy regions.


Here is the abridged version of the conversation with the Commander-in-Chief, highlighting the key points.

Russia's plans on the frontline

The situation at the front is indeed difficult. Russia continues its strategic offensive operation. As General Syrskyi explains, the enemy is now regrouping and concentrating on two main directions.

"The first is the Pokrovsk direction, which remains decisive for the Russians. And now the enemy is redeploying its units from the Sumy sector to the Zaporizhzhia sector. This means the second direction where the enemy plans to launch active offensive actions. As of today, the fighting there (in the Zaporizhzhia sector – ed.) is of low intensity. But in carrying out Putin's goals and orders, the occupiers are also trying to deliver a powerful strike there – one that had been planned as far back as last year,” the General explained.

He noted that this plan was disrupted by the Kursk operation, since to contain Ukraine's advance there, the enemy was forced to withdraw most of its forces from the Zaporizhzhia region. The current objective of Russians in Zaporizhzhia is to break through Ukraine's defenses and advance deeper into the territory – their target is the entire region.

Syrskyi also suggested that in the near term, the Novopavlivka direction (southern Donetsk region) and the Lyman direction will also be among the enemy’s priorities. The Russians are attempting to gain ground there as well, but those battles are of a smaller scale.

Нам треба постійно готуватися до війни з Росією: велике інтерв'ю Олександра Сирського


Situation near Pokrovsk and Dobropillia

At present, the Pokrovsk sector is the most difficult part of the front, the Commander-in-Chief said. There are about fifty enemy assault actions recorded there daily. Despite the occupiers' pressure, logistics to Pokrovsk can still be maintained.

The enemy is using the so-called "thousand cuts" tactic – advancing along a broad front with small assault groups, Syrskyi explained.

He admitted that last week the Russians had some success in the Pokrovsk direction, near Dobropillia, when their groups pushed 10–12 km toward several Ukrainian settlements. The Commander-in-Chief explained that this happened because the local terrain is full of ravines and rivers – natural features that allow for concealed movement. In summer, the thick vegetation makes it even harder to control the line of contact.

"And secondly, for objective reasons, we do not have a continuous front line there, so the enemy took advantage of this and advanced. But after some decisive measures were taken – with additional forces and means from our airborne units redeployed – we cleared the settlements and terrain, and the enemy's triumph turned into despair. At first, their posts on social media had a tone of 'forward, victory,' and now it's 'encircled, the end.' In other words, everything came to its logical conclusion," Syrskyi noted.

According to him, this enemy push near Dobropillia is part of their overall offensive against Pokrovsk. The enemy is trying to encircle the Pokrovsk agglomeration from two sides – from the northeast and the southwest – attempting to form a kind of pincer movement.

"The main task of these actions in the northern sector is to cut off our logistics. It is there that the 51st Combined Arms Army of the Russian Federation is advancing with three brigades – the former 1st Army Corps of the so-called DPR (Donetsk People's Republic - ed.). Soldiers of the 132nd Brigade – the Horlivka brigade – have been captured and eliminated. If you saw the prisoners, they were all young servicemen, with different lengths of service, drafted from different places, including Russia. But their fate is the same – captivity," the General said.

Threats to Sumy and Kherson

In the Sumy region, the enemy has suffered defeat, the Commander-in-Chief said. Despite concentrating a powerful grouping of its best units there, Russia has had no success over the past two months. It has realized the futility of its actions in this direction.

"They lost several settlements. Their last attempt to advance in the area of Stepne and Novokostiantynivka ended in complete failure – the invaders were destroyed and pushed back across the state border. Now, we continue offensive actions there. And the enemy, realizing the hopelessness of this direction, is now redeploying units from there to other sectors, mainly Zaporizhzhia," the General explained.

As for Kherson, where the occupiers recently tried with a series of strikes to destroy one of the bridges and effectively isolate one of the city's districts, no offensive actions by the Russians are expected there soon.

"There, the Russians are active mainly in the island zone and near the bridges. At the same time, they have redeployed one regiment and a marine brigade away from this sector, which indicates that there will be no major offensive actions in the near term in the Dnipro area. Although the threat, of course, always exists, and we must not ignore it," Syrskyi said.

Possible war end and the readiness of the Armed Forces for any scenario

When asked whether Ukraine's Armed Forces have the strength to hold on if Putin seeks to prolong the war, the Commander-in-Chief said: We have no other choice – we must defend our land.

"Putin is not so much trying to buy time – he wants to seize territory, and that takes time. Despite their (Russia's - ed.) losses – and their losses are constantly growing – every kilometer, every position they capture costs them more and more dead and wounded. The statistics prove this. First, the pace of their offense has slowed considerably. Second, their casualty levels are very high. Yet they stubbornly continue trying to achieve the goals they have set for themselves," Syrskyi noted.

According to him, regardless of the security guarantees Ukraine may receive in the future or any negotiation process, the country must constantly prepare for war, for its continuation by Russia, or the outbreak of a new one.

"Even in the event of a peace deal or a frozen conflict, we must continually strengthen the combat capability of our army, learn the lessons of this war through detailed analysis, and build the most modern, powerful, high-tech military. I believe the enemy will be able to recover very quickly. So our country must not forget the lessons of this war. We must be ready for the possibility that the war could resume at any time. Because the threat will remain. Because the enemy has not abandoned its intent to capture all of Ukraine," the General said.

He recalled that the enemy used the "May truce" to regroup – bringing up artillery and drone units to the front line, something they could not do when heavy fighting was ongoing. Immediately after that truce, the Russians launched active offensive actions.

At the same time, he does not believe Russian claims that they can continue the war for years, calling such statements "bravado."

Modern weapons, AI and robots at the front

The Ukrainian army is now betting on high-tech weapons and systems that reduce the direct presence of servicemen on the battlefield. According to Syrskyi, this primarily concerns robotic platforms and unmanned systems of various types and purposes — mainly aerial drones. Ground unmanned systems are also being actively introduced — logistical and medical ones for evacuating the wounded.

"We are already testing aerial platforms for medical evacuation — that's the future. Another priority for us is drones that work as interceptors to fight against enemy strike UAVs. And we have many impressive results achieved with our naval platforms. All of this is technological weaponry, weapons with artificial intelligence, so to speak," the Commander-in-Chief said.

He added that virtually all of Ukraine’s advanced weaponry contains elements of artificial intelligence, including air defense systems.

"AI is now actively used almost everywhere. But we have to keep in mind that it can make mistakes. This is only the beginning of its development and use. Still, we have already created structures in the General Staff and other headquarters specifically dedicated to applying artificial intelligence in the military sphere," the General explained.

Recently, Ukraine's 93rd Separate Mechanized Brigade Kholodnyi Yar published a video showing its soldiers clearing settlements near Dobropillia using robots armed with machine guns. These robots approached the enemy at close range and, through loudspeakers, offered Russian troops the chance to surrender. If they refused, the robots opened fire. According to Syrskyi, such robotic systems are already fairly widespread in the Ukrainian army.

"This year, we plan to deliver 15,000 ground robotic platforms of various types to the troops," the General added.

Нам треба постійно готуватися до війни з Росією: велике інтерв'ю Олександра Сирського


Manpower shortages and changes in the army

Ukraine, naturally, has fewer people than Russia, and therefore a smaller mobilization pool. According to estimates, Russia has 20–25 million people in its mobilization reserve, while Ukraine has 2–5 million. One way to offset this shortage, Syrskyi noted, is through high-tech weapons and equipment that do not require servicemen, or weapons that can be remotely operated. This should minimize human losses.

"The second priority is improving the quality of training. A professionally trained soldier has far greater chances of survival on the battlefield than an ordinary soldier with weaker preparation," the Commander-in-Chief said.

He added that basic general military training has now been extended to 51 days. A serviceman who enters a training center completes the program there and then continues additional training in his unit.

In Syrskyi's view, successful examples of career growth in the army can also attract volunteers and boost motivation, when civilians who joined during or at the start of the full-scale war managed to rise to commander positions. For example, Robert "Madyar" Brovdi, now Commander of the Unmanned Systems Forces, and Yurii Fedorenko, Commander of the 429th Separate Unmanned Systems Regiment "Achilles." "There are many such examples," Syrskyi clarified.

"I provide maximum support to such people. Because an effective commander is the key to success. An ineffective commander means the loss of our servicemen and our territories. That is the defining characteristic of any commander — whether he can accomplish the mission, and at what cost," Syrskyi explained.

To improve the management of the Armed Forces, a large-scale reform is also being introduced, shifting to a corps-level command system.

"Previously, there were operational-tactical groups (OTGs). Some OTGs had more than 20 brigades, which made management extremely complicated. One had to control, for example, 23 military units at once. Now the number has been significantly reduced. This has improved oversight of brigade actions, their logistics, and their manpower — to prevent situations where a portion of the personnel was left unsupervised, being in the combat zone but not actually participating in operations," the General added.

Ukrainian air defense and Russia's drone modernization

Ukraine is actively developing its air defense by increasing the number of systems equipped with advanced technology. The Armed Forces are also paying special attention to systems capable of countering enemy drones.

"For example, somewhat unexpectedly, army aviation has proven to be highly effective: helicopters armed with machine guns have shown great results. I can say that from August last year to August this year, they shot down over 3,200 Shahed-type drones – these are impressive figures," the Commander-in-Chief of the Armed Forces of Ukraine specified.

Another promising direction in countering enemy Shaheds is the use of interceptor drones. In this field, Ukraine has many developments that can compete with well-known companies such as Merops.

"Our designs are no worse and sometimes even better," Syrskyi noted.

At the same time, he clarified that the enemy is constantly upgrading its drones. Shaheds are being fitted with optical guidance systems and 12–16-channel antennas that provide very high resistance to jamming, making them difficult to suppress with conventional electronic warfare. They also have sensors for automatic fire evasion and for avoiding collisions, for example, with interceptor drones. As a result, an enemy Shahed may suddenly dive and make uncontrolled course and altitude maneuvers.

"They have many systems that increase the effectiveness of their Shaheds. This is a challenge for us, one that we are constantly working against. It's a competition: we try to take them down, while they try to reach their targets and strike us. All of the long-range drones the enemy now uses, even the Gerans deployed as decoys, are fitted with explosives for self-detonation – so that the drone cannot be captured after crashing, and to hit anyone who approaches it," Syrskyi explained.

New details on Bakhmut defense, destruction of Wagner, and Kursk operation

Some in society still question whether it was worth holding Bakhmut for so long in 2023, since, according to some soldiers, Ukraine suffered heavy losses there. Similar criticism can be heard regarding the Kursk operation – claims that our losses were allegedly very high there as well.

Syrskyi explains: the defense of Bakhmut lasted eight months, during which the enemy deployed a massive force. Wagner Group formed the core of their assault grouping. For reasons unknown to Syrskyi, Prigozhin was determined to seize Bakhmut independently. Instead of deploying regular Russian army units, he threw nearly all available Wagner manpower at the city.

"Wagner was the most effective structure within the Russian military. Despite heavy losses, they kept advancing and achieving their goals. But in Bakhmut, Wagner met its death as an organization, as a structure. This is confirmed by multiple sources. When the battles for Bakhmut were coming to an end, Prigozhin himself admitted in one of his interviews that he had lost 20,000 of his best fighters killed there," the Commander-in-Chief said.

Нам треба постійно готуватися до війни з Росією: велике інтерв'ю Олександра Сирського


According to Ukrainian estimates, the figure was about 23,000 killed. Since at that time Russia had roughly one wounded for every soldier killed, Wagner’s total losses – killed and wounded – amounted to around 40,000. The total manpower of Wagner had been up to 50,000. In other words, Wagner as a structure never recovered.

"If it hadn't been Bakhmut, it would have been Chasiv Yar, Kramatorsk, Kostyantynivka, Druzhkivka… If we had abandoned Bakhmut without destroying them (Russian troops - ed.) there, Wagner would have kept moving forward. As you may recall, at the time they were advancing with a wide front – 10 km in one direction from Bakhmut, 5 km in another. But the battles in Bakhmut drew them all in. So, frankly speaking, Bakhmut saved many other cities and a large territory," General Syrskyi said.

The ratio of Ukrainian losses to those suffered by Wagner in the battle for Bakhmut was 1 to 7 – 1 to 7.7, the Commander-in-Chief clarified. That means the Ukrainian army lost seven times fewer troops than the enemy.

"This was the best indicator since the start of the full-scale war. As for the Kursk operation, there too the enemy's losses were very high. According to Russian analysts, there were periods when enemy losses exceeded ours by 5.5 times. So in the offensive, we suffered five times fewer losses than the enemy. This was also the best indicator since the start of the full-scale war. Perhaps it is a peculiarity of this war, but in reality, it was simply a well-planned operation," General Syrskyi concluded.

https://news.liga.net/en/amp/politi...0-troops-from-sumy-region-to-three-directions

Zelenskyy: Russia is redeploying 30,000 troops from Sumy region to three directions​

President: Occupants want to deploy up to 15,000 additional troops in Zaporizhzhia sector

Tetiana Lanchukovska
News editor at LIGA.net
August 12, 20:55

Zelenskyy: Russia is redeploying 30,000 troops from Sumy region to three directions
Volodymyr Zelenskyy (Photo: Office of the President)


Due to the fact that the Russians failed to succeed in Sumy region, they are redeploying their forces to other frontline areas. This was stated at a meeting with journalists by President Volodymyr Zelenskyy.

"From the Sumy direction, because they could not take it, Russian troops began to move to the Zaporizhzhia and Pokrovsk directions," the president said.


According to him, the occupants are preparing for an offensive in three directions. The main directions are Zaporizhzhia, Pokrovske and Novopavlivka.

"We believe that Zaporizhzhia [direction] will have about 15,000 additional people, Pokrovske – about 7,000 additional people, Novopavlivske may have 5,000 additional people – we believe that this direction is the third priority," the head of state said.

The President emphasized that out of 53,000 troops concentrated in the Sumy sector, about 30,000 occupants will go to these three areas.

"We believe that this is the main source of troops, their strongest brigades in the Kursk sector, and they will move. We believe they will do everything to prepare for offensive actions after the 15th. We believe they will be ready by September with these brigades. We believe that with additional brigades they can be ready in November," Zelensky emphasized.

He added that all three of these areas were in place a year ago, and the Russians are following the same plans and maps. The President is confident that this offensive mission to Zaporizhzhia and Pokrovsk was delayed for a year because of the Kursk operation.

"We see the same thing, the same steps and the accumulation of as many people as they need. A year ago, they were starting to act in this way, but because of the Kursk operation, they began to transfer people there, fearing that we would move deeper into Russia. And that's exactly what happened," Zelensky said .

In his opinion, the Russians will try to demonstrate some kind of progress in all areas during this month in order to put political pressure on Ukraine, seeking certain concessions.


1755531834069.webp
-

1755531845296.webp

 
Toivottavasti skaalaminen jatkuisi edes jossain mittakaavassa, ja euroopassa oltaisiin hereillä sen suhteen, mitä örkkilä tekee. Jatkuuko sotatalous vaiko ei. Toisen lisämausteensa tähän soppaan tuo se skenaario, jonka aiemmin yllä mainitsin, jossa Euroopan maat alkavat käydä kauppaa örkkilän kanssa. Kaupankäynti yhdessä, nyt kun ollaan rauhassa (em. lapsenusko), "ei pakotteitakaan tarvita"-ajattelun kanssa -> örkkilä saa rahaa. Toivottavasti en ole ihan hakoteillä näiden ajatusten kanssa, koska suhtaudun lähtökohtaisesti epäluuloisesti örkkilään.
Käydäänhän nytkin örkkien kanssa kauppaa mutta en usko että kauppa tai investoinnit palautuvat sotaa edeltävälle tasolle.
Sinne 2027:aan on matkaa. Tästähän Ranskan presidentti puhui, että jos nyt ollaan Venäjän kanssa hellämielisiä, niin siitä maksetaan kova hinta myöhemmin. Nyt vaan pitäisi olla lihasta sen verran, että voisi uskottavasti Ukrainalle kertoa, että pärjäätte meidän avullamme, jenkkejä ei edes tarvita. Tilanne olisi näin jos Eurooppa olisi herännyt vaikkapa edes vuoden 2023 aikana. Mutta tämä jossittelu on turhaa.

Itse tykkään noita numeroita seurata. Pakko sanoa, että kun Venäjän tappiot oli 10% nykyisestä niin ajattelin, että kohta varmaan riittää? Nyt en kyllä uskalla sanoa enää mitään. Voi olla että vaikka ne tuplaantuisivat nykyisestä niin ei ehkä riitä sittenkään?

Olisi kyllä hyvä nähdä, että Venäjä laitetaan nyt polvilleen ihan kunnolla. Mutta kuten aikasemmin kirjoitin, niin ymmärrän senkin pointin, että aika moni alkaa varmasti olla sotaan väsynyt.
Miehistö tuolla ei tule loppumaan mutta lada/moottoripyörä rynnäköinti kertoo siitä että kaluston tuotanto/kunnostus ei ole pysynyt tappioiden perässä.
Paljon riippuu siitä pelastaako Kiina örkkien sotatalouden kun muut talous sakkaa.
Muuten voi olla että näemme jollain räjähde keihäillä varustettuja örkkejä.
 
Back
Top