Ukrainan konflikti/sota
OXPAHA
Kenraali
Pari sivua aikaisemmin oli puhetta kuinka olisi "sivistynyttä" huolehtia keskusteluväleistä ja diplomaattien turvallisuudesta.
Paskan marjat. Ryssä pyyhkii puonsa sopimuksilla ja pitää punaista ristiä ja kaikkia muitakin välittäjiä pilkkanaan. Ei ole mitenkään tarpeellista pitää yllä fasadia diplomaattisista suhteista aggressiiviseen ja vaaralliseen valtioon. Viestihän on juuri että ryssä on astunut rajan yli. Heidän lähetystönsä ovat vakoilun ja sabotaasin etäispesäkkeitä, heidän diplomaattinsa vakoilijoita ja tuholaisia.
Suhteita voidaan pitää yllä puhelimella. Noiden talojen ja diplomaattien arvo on negatiivinen, ja kaikkien natomaiden ja naapurien pitäisi lopettaa kotileikki ryssän kanssa. Kaikki punaisen ristin kautta tehdyt diilit ovat petosta, kaikki diplomaattiset ratkaisut vain kalastelua alueluovutusten ja myönnytysten perään.
Ryssälle pitää vain sanoa njet. Ainoa luotettava sopimus on sellainen jossa USAF tulee hakemaan antautuneet internoitaviksi.
Voihan ne noinkin päin laittaa, mutta AMRAAMien ripustaminen siivenkärkiin vähentää siipien vapinaa ja näin pidentää siipien käyttöikää.Ainakin Israel on käyttänyt maasta laukaistavia ARM-ohjuksia vuoden 1982 Libanonin sodassa.
Ehkä vielä toiveajattelua. Ohjukset väärin päin ripustimissa, AMRAAMit menevät siipien kärkiin
Palataan aamulla asiaan mutta toivon että totta
Onhan Tuija-2:ssa 5 piikkinen ryssän töpseli....
v_stus kirjoittaa seuraavaa Hersonin suunnasta.
"In the last 2 days in the south, the orcs have ALREADY been active.
They decided not to wait for full operational readiness and went on assaults in the Snigurivka area, and also increased the pressure on the Ingulets bridgehead of the Armed Forces of Ukraine.
Let's figure out what happens next.
1. It is obvious that the forces and resources of the invaders, which they have concentrated in the south, indicate a desire to advance. In this connection, the question arises - where, how and what tasks they set before themselves.
2. The main task of orcs at this stage is to solve many problems,
which they had in all directions in Kherson region and Mykolaiv region.
3. Therefore, they want to move the Armed Forces as far as possible from the fire control of the T1505 route. This is task #1 and they have already activated here in the first place. That is why they are actively storming the Blagodatny area every day.
4. Task #2 - to knock out the ZSU from the left bank of Ingulets
5. The third task is to secure the T2207 highway in the Ivanivka area, as well as in the area of the "watermelon monument" at the intersection of T2207 and T0403.
And the Rashists have already started actions aimed at solving these three problems.
And now look at what is happening - after two days of heavy fighting, the advance of the Orcs was zero, zero tenths of a kilometer.
Undoubtedly, they will significantly increase the pressure and, most likely, the ZSU will have to withdraw a little. But not far.
There will be a battle for every forest strip, landing, intersection and building. The ZSU will make real hell for the occupiers!
In addition, our main ally is the broken logistics of the Orks. The Armed Forces work on this every day"
Ilmeisesti lukuisia HIMARS iskuja Hersonin läänissä taas lähitunteina, joten logistiikka koetuksella
"In the last 2 days in the south, the orcs have ALREADY been active.
They decided not to wait for full operational readiness and went on assaults in the Snigurivka area, and also increased the pressure on the Ingulets bridgehead of the Armed Forces of Ukraine.
Let's figure out what happens next.
1. It is obvious that the forces and resources of the invaders, which they have concentrated in the south, indicate a desire to advance. In this connection, the question arises - where, how and what tasks they set before themselves.
2. The main task of orcs at this stage is to solve many problems,
which they had in all directions in Kherson region and Mykolaiv region.
3. Therefore, they want to move the Armed Forces as far as possible from the fire control of the T1505 route. This is task #1 and they have already activated here in the first place. That is why they are actively storming the Blagodatny area every day.
4. Task #2 - to knock out the ZSU from the left bank of Ingulets
5. The third task is to secure the T2207 highway in the Ivanivka area, as well as in the area of the "watermelon monument" at the intersection of T2207 and T0403.
And the Rashists have already started actions aimed at solving these three problems.
And now look at what is happening - after two days of heavy fighting, the advance of the Orcs was zero, zero tenths of a kilometer.
Undoubtedly, they will significantly increase the pressure and, most likely, the ZSU will have to withdraw a little. But not far.
There will be a battle for every forest strip, landing, intersection and building. The ZSU will make real hell for the occupiers!
In addition, our main ally is the broken logistics of the Orks. The Armed Forces work on this every day"
Ilmeisesti lukuisia HIMARS iskuja Hersonin läänissä taas lähitunteina, joten logistiikka koetuksella
ido59
Majuri
Tweetissä linkattu jacobin.com -artikkeli on erinomainen. Haastateltavana Moskovalaisen yliopiston sosiologian professori Boris Kagarlitsky, jolla on jalat maassa ja järki päässä.
Tärkeimmät poimittuna:
Boris Kagarlitsky:
Russian people are neither for the war nor against it. They do not react to the war.
most people don’t watch political programs on TV, nor do they watch oppositional media on the Internet. They are not interested in any kind of politics whatsoever
The whole spectrum of political opinion represents maybe 15 to 20 percent of the population, probably less than 10 percent. The rest are totally apolitical.
On the one hand, that’s a great advantage for the regime, but it’s also its biggest problem. Nobody moves against the government, but nobody moves in favor of it, either. That’s why the COVID vaccination campaign failed, and why Putin can’t announce a general mobilization. Volodymyr Zelensky announced the other day that he wants to mobilize a million people. Russia can’t mobilize two hundred thousand because everybody runs away.
---
The economic situation is deteriorating and we will begin feeling that seriously by late August or September. It’s a gradual process. One company closes, people have to look for new jobs, then another closes, and so on. Certain goods are disappearing, but not everything.
The war is going to affect your family, your work, and even your pets. And once it begins affecting people’s private lives, things can change immediately. I think resistance could start mounting very fast once the government does something that affects the lives of families. That’s why they haven’t openly declared war.
---
How long do you think the Russian economy can hold out?
Boris Kagarlitsky
It can continue for another two or maybe three months, depending on the particular industry. The important thing, however, is that the guys who really own everything start taking losses. Nobody cares about industries or people, everybody cares about profits.
What’s their plan? Is the goal an eventual settlement and reintegration with the West from a position of increased strength, or are we seeing the beginning of a long-term pivot toward Asia?
Boris Kagarlitsky
That’s exactly the problem: there is no plan. They know they made a terrible mistake and that it may be fatal, and that’s about it. The fact that there was a mistake is unacceptable for Putin and his team. The government never recognizes a failure publicly or even informally, but without recognizing there was a mistake you can’t move forward. No strategy can be developed.
Western analyses assume we are dealing with rational people making rational choices, or at least with people making choices. But there is no choice, nobody’s making choices! Even if there are proposals, no proposal works because none is accepted by enough people within the elite to make it real.
If there is no plan, what pushed Putin to cross the Rubicon and invade Ukraine, after eight years of stalemate in the Donbass?
Boris Kagarlitsky
That’s another common, but understandable mistake in Western analysis: thinking that the war is rooted in geopolitics. I think that international politics played a very secondary role, if any, in the decision. It was mostly preconditioned by the domestic situation, which explains why it happened so suddenly and failed so miserably. It was not prepared, there was no diplomacy behind it, because it was not about foreign policy, it was about domestic policies.
---
The idea was to have a short fight, proclaim victory, and then manage the transition the way they wanted. They were 100 percent sure that everything in Ukraine would collapse within twenty-four hours. They failed.
---
I think the army is running out of steam. The deliveries of Western equipment are changing the military situation very seriously. If you speak to people close to the Russian military establishment, they’re extremely worried and sometimes even panicking.
I think if there are more defeats in Ukraine, then, well, something will happen. I don’t know what, but some dramatic events are going to take place. I’m not saying they’re going to launch a coup, because that’s very much outside the Russian military tradition, but they can intervene in one way or another.
If they try to launch a general mobilization, or they expand the draft to new categories, then we’ll get a rebellion. We don’t know what the exact reaction will be, but it will be extremely negative.
Viimeksi muokattu:
Canadian Forces will train Ukrainian soldiers in the U.K. on countering Russia - National | Globalnews.ca
Canada suspended Operation Unifier, the Canadian Forces training mission in Ukraine, six months ago amid the unprovoked Russian invasion.
globalnews.ca
Ukrainian Soldiers Train in UK as War With Russia Rages On
It's the first phase of program that aims to train up to 10,000 Ukrainian soldiers in weapons handling, battlefield first aid and patrol tactics
www.voanews.com
ido59
Majuri
Ukrainska Pravda:
Zelenskyy: "The key thing now, just as before, is weapons for our defence, weapons from [our] partners. We are working every day – with not a day’s break – to increase the supply of weapons, to send more powerful and long-range systems to the front.
And next week we are expecting news from [our] partners regarding aid packages. [We are expecting] good news."
Zelenskyy: "The key thing now, just as before, is weapons for our defence, weapons from [our] partners. We are working every day – with not a day’s break – to increase the supply of weapons, to send more powerful and long-range systems to the front.
And next week we are expecting news from [our] partners regarding aid packages. [We are expecting] good news."
Georgian sodasta 14 vuotta. Toisen Tšetšenian sodan alkamisesta 23 vuotta.
Mitä on opittu?
Bucha, Olenivka, Zaporižžja…
Kidutus, raiskaus, lasten pakkosiirrot.
Todennäköistä on, että venäläisten paskamaiset temput Ukrainassa lisääntyvät, Venäjä pyrkii laajentamaan tuhotöitään Ukrainan ulkopuolella ja erilaiset viideskolonnalaiset ja kompromatin kohteet aktivoituvat entisestään.
Harjoitusskenaarioihin pitää täälläkin ottaa materiaalia Buchan, Seitajärven ja isovihan tyylilajista. Jos evakuoinnit epäonnistuvat tai niitä ei tehdä, on jälki sen mukaista.
Venäjän tekemien sopimusten ja lupausten arvo on jälleen kerran nähty.
Varautuminen, ennakointi, riskien rajoittaminen.
Mitä on opittu?
Bucha, Olenivka, Zaporižžja…
Kidutus, raiskaus, lasten pakkosiirrot.
Todennäköistä on, että venäläisten paskamaiset temput Ukrainassa lisääntyvät, Venäjä pyrkii laajentamaan tuhotöitään Ukrainan ulkopuolella ja erilaiset viideskolonnalaiset ja kompromatin kohteet aktivoituvat entisestään.
Harjoitusskenaarioihin pitää täälläkin ottaa materiaalia Buchan, Seitajärven ja isovihan tyylilajista. Jos evakuoinnit epäonnistuvat tai niitä ei tehdä, on jälki sen mukaista.
Venäjän tekemien sopimusten ja lupausten arvo on jälleen kerran nähty.
Varautuminen, ennakointi, riskien rajoittaminen.
Mikfin70
Ylipäällikkö
No, se on näitä modauksia, joista en enää ole niin hyvin perillä. Onko tekijänä SARCO vai Ukrainalaiset?
Joku malli ainakin veti oikosulkuun kun sai tarpeeksi kosteutta.
Mikfin70
Ylipäällikkö
Yleensä kosteus oli töpselissä ja johtoa vaihtamalla korjaantui. Päähineissä vika oli käsittelyssä ja johdot katkesivat mikrofonin osalta.
Toki varmasti päähineitä hiljeni myös totaalisen kaatumisen kautta.
tulikomento
Supreme Leader
Väyrynen lopettaa kirjoittelun Uuteen Suomeen. 
Paavoa vituttaa kun kirjoitukset sensuroitiin siksi kun tämä jakoi ilmiselvää ryssän disinfoa.
puheenvuoro.uusisuomi.fi
Olen päättänyt, että en julkaise enää kirjoituksiani Uuden Suomen Puheenvuorossa. Voin saavuttaa kotisivuni ja Facebook-sivuni kautta suuremman lukijakunnan.
Paavoa vituttaa kun kirjoitukset sensuroitiin siksi kun tämä jakoi ilmiselvää ryssän disinfoa.
Jäähyväiset Uudelle Suomelle | Uusi Suomi Puheenvuoro
Aloitin kirjoitusteni julkaisemisen Uuden Suomen Puheenvuorossa vuoden 2012 presidentinvaalien edellä. Ensimmäinen julkaisuni oli lokakuun lopulla 2011 pitämäni puhe, jolla käynnistin vaalikampanjani.
puheenvuoro.uusisuomi.fi
Olen päättänyt, että en julkaise enää kirjoituksiani Uuden Suomen Puheenvuorossa. Voin saavuttaa kotisivuni ja Facebook-sivuni kautta suuremman lukijakunnan.