Micek kirjoittanut pitkähkösti Svatoven suunnasta. Koko hoito tässä
Matchmaker. For several weeks the front line has stood still in this place. RUS and UA take turns taking individual hills or several small towns west of Svatowo. Both sides do not have enough forces for large offensive operations. 1/
AU forces are sufficient to defend and conduct only local offensive operations, but in my opinion still too small to take Swatowo. At present, without pulling up large reserves here, there is no question of capturing Starobielsk or reaching Severodonetsk from the north. 2/
On the other hand, the RUS forces are very numerous (perhaps even 35-45 thousand soldiers), but mostly they are freshly mobilized soldiers who are suitable for defensive operations, although in the case of offensive operations, their combat value is questionable in my opinion. 3/
Activities are hampered by the weather. It has been raining and snowing for several days. This state of affairs will continue with small breaks for at least 10 more days. This greatly complicates the offensive operations of each side. It is only in December that the weather promises to dry and harden the soil. 4/
Due to this, I would not expect much change in the course of the front line in the next few days. For several days, after two weeks of defense and partially losing some positions, the AU forces have stopped the RUS pressure and are starting to recapture the area. 5
Almost the entire area of the forest south of Dibrowa, and probably Dibrowa itself, was again in the hands of the UA. AU forces are also on the western outskirts of Czerwonopopiwka and have the R66 road under direct fire in several places. 6/
UA forces are focused on conducting intense artillery fire and eliminating the RUS logistic base. There is also a systematic action of tormenting Russian forces with attacks using various types of drones, which certainly has a negative impact on the morale of RUS. 7
The yellow line marked on the map is, in my opinion, more or less the most optimal line of defense for the AU forces, if they manage to capture Swatwo and its surroundings. In this case, this direction is secured by towns, cities, villages, rivers, forests and hills all at once. 8/
For the RUS forces it would be an impenetrable line, and on the other hand, it would allow the AU troops to defend themselves here with small forces, taking advantage of the very good defensive qualities of this area. In my estimation, AU forces will be working in November and December to reach the yellow line.
Matchmaker. For several weeks the front line has stood still in this place. RUS and UA take turns taking individual hills or several small towns west of Svatowo. Both sides do not have enough forces for large offensive operations. 1/
AU forces are sufficient to defend and conduct only local offensive operations, but in my opinion still too small to take Swatowo. At present, without pulling up large reserves here, there is no question of capturing Starobielsk or reaching Severodonetsk from the north. 2/
On the other hand, the RUS forces are very numerous (perhaps even 35-45 thousand soldiers), but mostly they are freshly mobilized soldiers who are suitable for defensive operations, although in the case of offensive operations, their combat value is questionable in my opinion. 3/
Activities are hampered by the weather. It has been raining and snowing for several days. This state of affairs will continue with small breaks for at least 10 more days. This greatly complicates the offensive operations of each side. It is only in December that the weather promises to dry and harden the soil. 4/
Due to this, I would not expect much change in the course of the front line in the next few days. For several days, after two weeks of defense and partially losing some positions, the AU forces have stopped the RUS pressure and are starting to recapture the area. 5
Almost the entire area of the forest south of Dibrowa, and probably Dibrowa itself, was again in the hands of the UA. AU forces are also on the western outskirts of Czerwonopopiwka and have the R66 road under direct fire in several places. 6/
UA forces are focused on conducting intense artillery fire and eliminating the RUS logistic base. There is also a systematic action of tormenting Russian forces with attacks using various types of drones, which certainly has a negative impact on the morale of RUS. 7
The yellow line marked on the map is, in my opinion, more or less the most optimal line of defense for the AU forces, if they manage to capture Swatwo and its surroundings. In this case, this direction is secured by towns, cities, villages, rivers, forests and hills all at once. 8/
For the RUS forces it would be an impenetrable line, and on the other hand, it would allow the AU troops to defend themselves here with small forces, taking advantage of the very good defensive qualities of this area. In my estimation, AU forces will be working in November and December to reach the yellow line.
