“Layout”: The Russian Ministry of Defense plans to send another 300 thousand people to war. First of all, reservists, but there may be a new mobilization
13:02, March 22, 2024
Source:
Layout
The Russian Ministry of Defense plans to send another 300 thousand people to war in the near future. Nest writes about this with reference to four sources in the presidential administration and regional governments, as well as a high-ranking employee of the Ministry of Defense.
According to the publication, first of all, the authorities will focus on reservists, as well as on citizens in reserve. In addition, according to the publication, they will try to send conscripts whose service life is ending to war - they will be “persuaded by all means” to sign a contract.
As Vestka notes, this is due to the fact that the pace of volunteer recruitment has decreased significantly: according to one of the employees of the contract recruitment office, it has dropped 20 times since the fall.
The publication writes that “the matter may not be limited to one call from reservists and former conscripts”: for example, in Moscow, defense enterprises and budgetary organizations began to actively issue reservations for employees, and lawyers and psychologists who were involved in the mobilization in the fall of 2022 are resuming work in military registration and enlistment offices. Officially, all this is being done in preparation for the planned spring conscription, but the publication’s sources call all these actions “mobilization 2.0.”
Independent observers have previously repeatedly suggested that after the election of Vladimir Putin, a new mobilization could begin in Russia. The Ministry of Defense has repeatedly assured that there are no such plans yet.
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Tässä alkuperäisen Layout-artikkelin käännös:
https://verstka.media/kak-vlasti-budut-prizyvat-rossiyan-v-voyska-dlia-nastupleniya-na-harkov
“300 THOUSAND SNOUTS ARE MISSING”
Olesya Gerasimenko, Ivan Zhadayev, editors of “Layout”
March 22, 2024
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Immediately after the elections, the authorities may be preparing to mobilize
The Ministry of Defense is planning a massive recruitment into the army and is preparing for covert mobilization to encircle Kharkov.
Those who are currently protecting the borders from shelling by the Ukrainian Armed Forces near Belgorod and Kursk will be sent to besiege the largest city in eastern Ukraine. And they will be replaced by conscripts - without a month of demobilization - and reservists .
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In the near future they plan to recruit at least 300 thousand people into the ranks of the Russian army - all of them will have to go to fight with Ukraine. Four interlocutors in the presidential administration and regional governments, as well as a high-ranking employee of the Ministry of Defense, told Vorstka about this.
The first people the military units will focus on are the so-called reservists - men who are in the reserves, but have entered into a contract with the Ministry of Defense to be included in the mobilization manpower reserve. They can work at any job, but twice a year they are required to go to military training, which until 2022 was often of a formal nature. There are about two million such people in Russia.
“Something is coming. Reservists are being recruited now, as before mobilization. Whether it will happen or not, I don’t know, but last time the procedure was the same,” an officer from one of the military units in the Trans-Baikal Territory, who trains conscripts, told Vorstka.
They also began to pay attention to Russians who did not enter into contracts with the Ministry of Defense, but are simply in the reserves of the armed forces. On March 1, Vladimir Putin signed an annual decree calling up the country’s citizens in the reserves for military training. These include those dismissed from service, those who studied at military universities, those who did not serve for any reason, those who completed alternative civilian service, as well as women with a military specialty.
In one of the military registration and enlistment offices of the Leningrad region, such “reservists” had mobilization instructions pasted into their military ID cards, one of Vorstka’s interlocutors at the military registration and enlistment office said. And an employee of one of the special structures of the Ministry of Defense confirmed to a Vorstka correspondent that some military units are already “preparing for the collection of reserves, who, with mobilization instructions, can be sent anywhere.”
They will also try to send conscripts who are about to demobilize to war. “The goal is to place those who will be demobilized by April and those who were demobilized last year on contracts,” says a source close to the presidential administration. They will “be persuaded by all means,” confirms the second interlocutor from the AP.
The idea of forcing people to sign a contract “without any hassle,” as Vverstka’s interlocutors call it, is due to the fact that the flow of people willing to go to fight with Ukraine is drying up. Compared to the beginning of 2023, when, according to Shoigu, the Ministry of Defense received about 400 thousand new soldiers, the pace of recruitment has decreased significantly. At the beginning of the year, one of the employees of the Unified Contract Hiring Center in Moscow told Verstko about this.
“Since October [2023], the flow has dropped sharply. Previously, several hundred came to the center per day, 500 - 600 could be. Not all of them, of course, signed [the contract], but nevertheless. Now 20–30 new ones arrive per day. Activity is declining globally..."
The increase in salaries did not help either: over the year, according to
“ Important Stories”, payments increased by an average of one and a half times. By March 2024, the one-time regional payment on average reached 225 thousand rubles. A year ago, the largest payments in Russia were offered by five regions - 300 thousand rubles each. Now in the Astrakhan and Nizhny Novgorod regions it has reached 500 thousand rubles. And now the authorities of the Moscow region promise a record amount of 805 thousand.
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Will there be a new wave of mobilization?
“We have armor forms for several thousand people”
But, judging by what is happening in the city military registration and enlistment offices and personnel services of budgetary institutions, the matter may not be limited to the conscription of reservists and former conscripts.
“Since the end of February, we have been issuing certificates of deferment from mobilization for state employees and for some defense enterprises,” a medical worker from a military registration and enlistment office in southwest Moscow told Vorstka. “These are all new reservations; those who have already had their reservations renewed this year are also getting new ones. We have armor forms for several thousand people (HUOM: en ole varma, mitä tämä käännös
armor forms tarkoittaa, kenties jonkinlainen aseisiin kutsu? Tuskin kuitenkaan tarkoittaa panssarijoukkoja eli armor siinä merkityksessä). No one is saying that this is for a new mobilization, but why else is this being done is unclear,” he says. Since mid-February - that is, for a month now - new reservations have been issued at the military registration and enlistment office of another Moscow district, confirmed an employee who has been working there since the first mobilization.
On March 20, an employee of the State Budgetary Institution “Zhilischnik”, in a conversation with “Verstka”, confirmed that they had made new armor, which they promised to do at the end of February. “As they say, this is for mobilization. Moreover, I ran out of it a long time ago, and they didn’t renew it for me before. Others were extended, but now they have also issued a new one. The bosses said everything was ready,” he added. The interlocutor clarified that their military ID cards and mobilization armor certificates “are with the management” and are not issued to them.
Meanwhile, at the capital’s mayor’s office, the groups of lawyers and psychologists who in the fall of 2022 helped the military registration and enlistment offices “resolve problems” are resuming their work. A source in the Moscow mayor’s office, who himself dealt with those mobilized in 2022, told Vorstka about this. He added that experts will work in conjunction with the Unified Recruitment Center: “But they tell us that this is supposedly not related to conscription.”
At the same time, a new center for conscripts is being built at the mayor’s office, which is required to be completed by next week. A source from “Vorstka” in the Moscow Information Technology Department talks about this. “They are actively building a recruiting center and selecting free rates to suit its needs. Now they are already dragging personal matters there. Deadlines: start tomorrow, finish in a week. Different people have different dates by which their parts need to be ready, ranging from March 20 to March 30.”
“This is all being done for the spring conscription,” says an employee of another department of the mayor’s office. He had not heard about the official second mobilization. — There will be a regular conscription, of which there were, it seems, four already after the start of the war. This is 120 thousand people each. Plus summonses for demobilization, plus work with draft dodgers who are under 30. They want to take away somewhere between 200 and 250 thousand people in the general flow.”
Even 87% of votes for Vladimir Putin in the just-held elections do not give the authorities carte blanche to carry out such an unpopular measure as official mobilization, political scientist Ilya Grashchenkov is sure. Therefore, the main question facing the Kremlin is in what form to recruit people for the war. “Last time it was widespread and tough, so now, probably, the authorities will try to carry out a soft, creeping mobilization: at the expense of conscripts, students of military universities, calling up some specialists for training, and so on,” the political scientist said.
“We are already going there, to Kharkov”
High-ranking sources of “Vestka” openly call all these active preparations for the spring conscription “mobilization 2.0.” Conscripts and incompetent reservists transferred to contracts will be sent, among other things, to the southern borders of Russia in support and to the border troops - in order to free up experienced military personnel for the attack on Kharkov. Several sources of “Vestka” speak about this, including in the presidential administration.
“The next one according to the plan is Kharkov with the preservation of the city. And this is only possible if surrounded. 300 thousand snouts are missing. Therefore, everything is ready for mobilization 2.0,” a source in the internal political bloc of the presidential administration told VERSTKA. He added that “nobody wants to turn Kharkov into a second Mariupol,” on the contrary, “there is an idea” to make it a showcase of the fact that Russians “know how to fight in a civilized manner.”
The interlocutor of “Vestka”, working in one of the structures of the Western Military District (disbanded in February 2024, the Moscow and Leningrad military districts were created in its place), indicates that 300 thousand people need to be mobilized, and named the date - March 25, from which he proposed to the correspondent "do what you want." Other interlocutors did not say anything specific about the upcoming Monday.
Those familiar with the Ukrainian Armed Forces soldiers in the Kharkov and Donetsk directions told VERSTKA that they have been waiting for a long time for the Russian army to attack from this side - and are also waiting for mobilization in Russia. “They seem to be warned about this, the mobka should be in the spring.”
“We are already going there, to Kharkov,” one of the Airborne Forces officers tells Vorstka. — Roughly speaking, to the Svatovo region. This is the second time our people have been rotated there. Last time - to restrain the crests. Who the hell knows now. They have been talking about an attack on Kharkov for a long time. But you understand that in reality this requires a general mobilization. There are also rumors about her, but I don’t think they will go for it.”
Let us remind you that Vorstka previously wrote that the Russian authorities do not want to start
a new wave of mobilization before the presidential elections, since during the
2022 mobilization thousands of men tried in various ways to avoid participating in the war - they left the country, hid in the country, or tried to sue military registration and enlistment offices.
Text: Olesya Gerasimenko, Ivan Zhadayev, editors of “Layout”
Cover: Dmitry Osinnikov