Laitan tähän muutamia ajatuksia, ei ole sinänsä vastaus viestiin.
Aika monilla on käsitys, että Kiina ja Venäjä olisivat jollain tavalla liittolaisia.
Tämä on täysin väärä käsitys. Kiina ja Venäjä ovat olleet vihollisia vuosisatoja ja venäläisillä on edelleen "keltaisen vaaran trauma" mongolien jäljiltä. Nykyisessä taloudellisessa tilanteessa Kiina vie ja Venäjä vikisee. Yksi hyvä esimerkki oli öljynmyynti Venäjältä Kiinaan, jossa Venäjän täytyi taipua jopa surkuhupaisiin hintoihin ja ehtoihin. Eli käytännössä Venäjä myy öljyä Kiinaan tappiolla pitääkseen infrastruktuurin yllä.
Yksi mielenkiintoinen asia on, että suuri määrä kiinalaisia asuu jo Venäjän Kauko-Idässä joko laillisesti tai laittomasti. Kiinalaisten näkemys:
http://www.scmp.com/week-asia/geopo...inese-russian-far-east-geopolitical-time-bomb
But for all the fanfare surrounding the fund, Chinese investment in the region is helping to fuel tension, raising fears of China’s growing presence in the Russian Far East. A side effect of Beijing’s investment – an influx of Chinese migrants – is often perceived by locals as an expression of China’s de facto territorial expansion. Some Russian political groups and media outlets have tapped into this anxiety and deliberately sensationalised it. An apocalyptic film China – a Deadly Friend (in the series “Russia Deceived”) became an instant internet hit after its release in 2015. In the film, we are told China is preparing to invade the RFE in its quest for global dominance and that Chinese tanks could reach the centre of the city of Khabarovsk within 30 minutes. Just 30km from the Chinese border, Khabarovsk is the second largest city in the RFE after Vladivostok and the region’s administrative centre.
The fear-mongering notwithstanding, the scale of migration is actually not that large. According to Russia’s census of 2010, the number of Chinese residing in the country was just 29,000, down from 35,000 in 2002 – no more than 0.5 per cent of the total population of the RFE.
Other estimates, however, put the number of Chinese in Russia at 300,000 to 500,000.
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Ehkä hieman puolueettomampi näkemys:
http://abcnews.go.com/International/story?id=82969&page=1
The Chinese are invading Russia — not with tanks, but with suitcases.
Alexander Shaikin, in charge of controlling the Russian-Chinese border, said on June 29 that 1.5 million people from China have illegally entered the Russian Far East over the past 18 months.
Reported by The Moscow Times, Shaikin’s claim is likely exaggerated, but increased Chinese migration is marking a return of Chinese influence to these territories. And any territorial dispute could disrupt relations between Asia’s largest continental powers.
It’s impossible to know the exact level of Chinese migration into the Russian Far East; Russia has not run a census in over a decade. But by all indications, a significant river of people is surging across the border.
The Moscow Carnegie Center, the only organization to launch an independent study, claimed that there were about 250,000 Chinese in Russia in 1997. The Interior Ministry has claimed that there are 2 million. Other estimates place the Chinese population at 5 million.
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