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Majuri
Tilanneraportti 18.3
Tilanneraportti on kasattu yhdistelemällä muutamia avointen lähteiden tiedusteluraportteja, jotka ovat osoittautuneet luotettaviksi
Venäjän hyökkäys on pysähtynyt kaikilla rintamilla, poislukien Mariupolin kaupungissa. Ukraina tehnyt onnistuneen vastahyökkäyksen Mykolayovissa, tilanne Mariupolissa on ukrainan jäljellä olevilla joukoilla kriittinen.
Key Takeaways
Oryx vahvistetut tappiot:
Videoyhteenveto eiliseltä, näyttää rintamalinjat ja geopaikantaa julkaistuja taisteluvideoita:
Kuvat 4k tarkkuudella, klikkaamalla isoksi yksityiskohdat näkyy paremmin. Tarjolla yleiskuva ja eri rintamalohkot
The Ukrainian General Staff reported Russia has “significantly exhausted its human resources” due to battle casualties, cases of self-mutilation to avoid deployment, and psychological factors.[3] The General Staff stated Russia is having to take “extreme matters in matters of staffing,” including deploying, conscripts, cadets, and mercenaries from Syria.[4] Ukrainian intelligence reported approximately 130 personnel of the 20th Motor Rifle Division (of the 8th Combined Arms Army) refused to deploy to Ukraine and participate in combat operations at an unspecified time.[5] The Ukrainian General Staff additionally reported the Kremlin plans to remove Colonel Vadym Pankov, commander of the 45th Special Brigade due to his ”failure to perform a combat mission at Hostomel airfield”—possibly referring to Russia’s failed airborne landing at Hostomel in the first 72 hours of the war.[6] This is the first confirmed dismissal of a Russian general for their performance in Ukraine. The Ukrainian General Staff stated on March 17 that Russia has already recruited 1,000 personnel from Syria, with the main requirement to have experience in urban combat.[7] The Ukrainian General Staff also reported the Kremlin shifted Russia’s military-industrial complex involved in producing Kalibr and MLRS “Tornado” ammunition to “around-the-clock" production due to the “consumption of almost all missile ammunition” as of March 18.[8]
Russian forces are escalating repressive measures in areas of occupied Ukraine in response to mounting Ukrainian attacks behind Russian lines. The Ukrainian General Staff reported that Russian forces are attempting to establish a “strict administrative and police regime” in several areas while also attempting to “create a positive image” by distributing food to the civilian population.
Immediate items to watch
Lähteet:
www.understandingwar.org
Tilanneraportti on kasattu yhdistelemällä muutamia avointen lähteiden tiedusteluraportteja, jotka ovat osoittautuneet luotettaviksi
Venäjän hyökkäys on pysähtynyt kaikilla rintamilla, poislukien Mariupolin kaupungissa. Ukraina tehnyt onnistuneen vastahyökkäyksen Mykolayovissa, tilanne Mariupolissa on ukrainan jäljellä olevilla joukoilla kriittinen.
Key Takeaways
- The Ukrainian General Staff reported that Russia has “significantly exhausted its human resources” due to battle casualties, cases of self-mutilation to avoid deployment, and psychological factors.
- Ukrainian forces likely conducted a successful counteroffensive against Russian forces around Mykolayiv in the past several days.
- The ability of Ukrainian forces to conduct a successful major counterattack indicates Russian forces attempting to encircle Mykolayiv likely overstretched, and Russian forces are unlikely to have the capability to resume offensive operations toward Odesa in the near term.
- Russian forces did not conduct any offensive operations northwest or northeast of Kyiv on March 18.
- Russian forces continue to make steady progress reducing the Mariupol pocket.
- Ukrainian forces halted a Russian attempt to advance southeast of Kharkiv, through the city of Izyum, in the past 24 hours. Russia is deploying additional reserves to reinforce the Kharkiv axis of advance.
- Russian and proxy forces made minor territorial gains north of the city of Severodonetsk in Luhansk Oblast and will likely assault the city itself in the next 24-48 hours.
- Ukrainian military intelligence created an official website to provide support and guidance to Ukrainian fighters and civilians in Russian-occupied territory.
Oryx vahvistetut tappiot:
- Russia - 1542, of which: destroyed: 712, damaged: 27, abandoned: 223, captured: 579
- Tanks (244, of which destroyed: 93, damaged: 4, abandoned: 41, captured: 106)
- Armoured Fighting Vehicles (164, of which destroyed: 65, abandoned: 33, captured: 66)
- Infantry Fighting Vehicles (232, of which destroyed: 111, damaged: 2, abandoned: 32, captured: 84)
- Armoured Personnel Carriers (71, of which destroyed: 21, abandoned: 14, captured: 36)
- Infantry Mobility Vehicles (54, of which destroyed: 29, damaged: 2, abandoned: 5, captured: 16)
- Aircraft (13, of which destroyed: 12, damaged: 1)
- Helicopters (34, of which destroyed: 29, damaged: 3, abandoned: 2)
- Trucks, Vehicles and Jeeps (502, of which destroyed: 279, damaged: 12, abandoned: 58, captured: 152)
Videoyhteenveto eiliseltä, näyttää rintamalinjat ja geopaikantaa julkaistuja taisteluvideoita:
Kuvat 4k tarkkuudella, klikkaamalla isoksi yksityiskohdat näkyy paremmin. Tarjolla yleiskuva ja eri rintamalohkot
Ukrainian forces conducted a major successful counterattack around Mykolayiv in the past several days, and Russian forces continued to secure territorial gains only around Mariupol on March 18. Russian forces face growing morale and supply problems, including growing reports of self-mutilation among Russian troops to avoid deployment to Ukraine and shortages of key guided munitions. The Ukrainian General Staff continued to report on March 18 that Russia has failed to achieve its strategic objectives in Ukraine, including destroying the Ukrainian Armed Forces, capturing Kyiv, and establishing control over Ukraine to the east bank of the Dnipro River—the first time the Ukrainian General Staff included this territorial conquest as an explicit Russian objective.[1] The Ukrainian General Staff additionally stated that Ukrainian forces “continue step by step to liberate the temporarily occupied territory of Ukraine in all directions” on March 18, the first Ukrainian mention of conducting counterattacks “in all directions.”[2]
The Ukrainian General Staff reported Russia has “significantly exhausted its human resources” due to battle casualties, cases of self-mutilation to avoid deployment, and psychological factors.[3] The General Staff stated Russia is having to take “extreme matters in matters of staffing,” including deploying, conscripts, cadets, and mercenaries from Syria.[4] Ukrainian intelligence reported approximately 130 personnel of the 20th Motor Rifle Division (of the 8th Combined Arms Army) refused to deploy to Ukraine and participate in combat operations at an unspecified time.[5] The Ukrainian General Staff additionally reported the Kremlin plans to remove Colonel Vadym Pankov, commander of the 45th Special Brigade due to his ”failure to perform a combat mission at Hostomel airfield”—possibly referring to Russia’s failed airborne landing at Hostomel in the first 72 hours of the war.[6] This is the first confirmed dismissal of a Russian general for their performance in Ukraine. The Ukrainian General Staff stated on March 17 that Russia has already recruited 1,000 personnel from Syria, with the main requirement to have experience in urban combat.[7] The Ukrainian General Staff also reported the Kremlin shifted Russia’s military-industrial complex involved in producing Kalibr and MLRS “Tornado” ammunition to “around-the-clock" production due to the “consumption of almost all missile ammunition” as of March 18.[8]
Russian forces are escalating repressive measures in areas of occupied Ukraine in response to mounting Ukrainian attacks behind Russian lines. The Ukrainian General Staff reported that Russian forces are attempting to establish a “strict administrative and police regime” in several areas while also attempting to “create a positive image” by distributing food to the civilian population.
Immediate items to watch
- Russian forces will likely capture Mariupol or force the city to capitulate within the coming weeks.
- The Ukrainian General Staff continued to report that there is a high probability of Russian provocations aimed at involving Belarus in the war in Ukraine, though ISW continues to assess that Belarus is unlikely to open a new line of advance into Ukraine.
- Ukrainian counterattacks and operations by Territorial Defense Forces in northeastern Ukraine threaten Russia’s exposed line of communicating, requiring Russia to redeploy forces away from the offensive toward eastern Kyiv.
- Company and battalion-level attacks northwest of Kyiv likely represent the largest scale of offensive operations Russian forces can currently undertake to complete the encirclement of the city.
Lähteet:
Institute for the Study of War
Ukrainian forces conducted a major successful counterattack around Mykolayiv in the past several days, and Russian forces continued to secure territorial gains only around Mariupol on March 18. Russian forces face growing morale and supply problems,
Invasion Day 23 – Summary - MilitaryLand.net
The summary of the 23rd day of Russian invasion to Ukraine, as of 23:59 – 18th of March 2022 (Kyiv time). Ukrainian officials confirmed today they are not able to lift the siege of Mariupol by military means, and also clarified the situation in the vicinity. Russian forces continue to try to...
militaryland.net
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