Ukrainan konflikti/sota

[Pihkakoski]

https://twitter.com/x/status/1580104388084760576

Jep, ehkä edes tyhmä venäläinen, ei noin suurta typeryyttä harrastaisi. Lisää tästä tietoa odotellessa.

 

[Kustavi]

Siis yksi jenkki on pihalla (ja ehkä se toinenkin, jonka mukaan Putin on "smart").

Onneksi valtion puikoissa on kuitenkin osaavat tahot. Juuri äsken USAn ulkoministeriö tweettasi videon, jossa selvästi ilmaistiin kanta, että kaikki Venäjän valtaamat alueet ml. Krim ovat osa Ukrainaa.

Eli en nyt vetäisi hernettä nenään yhden miljardöörin töräyksistä. USAn valtio jatkaa Ukrainan tukemista ilman ehtoja sille, ettei Krimiä saa ottaa takaisin (tai ainakin kaikki viralliset lausunnot ovat tämän suuntaisia, tiedä sitten mitä siellä kulissien takana on puhuttu).

Jenkkihallinnolle olen kiitollinen kun ovat Ukrainan puolella. Tavalliset jenkit (en tiedä onko suurin osa), on hyvin pihalla Ukrainan tapahtumista ja syyttävät NATOa sodasta. Lisäksi Ukrainan tukeminen on heille vastenmielistä. Ihmetellään että miksi Ukraina saa jatkuvasti avustuspaketteja, mutta jenkkilässä esimerkiksi nyt kun hurrikaanit tekivät tuhoja, ihmetellään että Ukrainaan kyllä löytyy rahaa muttei oman maan rakentamiseen.

Twitterissä sitä näkee, eikä näiden mielipiteiden kannattajat ole mitään NWO QAnon -porukkaa.

 

[ctg]

Ukrainan suuriin kaupunkeihin tehdyt ilmaiskut ovat herättäneet kysymyksen, miten iskuilta voidaan suojautua.

Venäjä on iskenyt ohjuksilla ja drooneilla eli miehittämättömillä ilma-aluksilla Ukrainan kaupunkeihin eri puolilla maata laajuudella, jota ei ole nähty sodan alkamisen jälkeen.

Osa kohteista sijaitsee kaukana Ukrainan itä- ja eteläosista, joissa maataisteluja käydään. Esimerkiksi Länsi-Ukrainassa sijaitsevassa Lvivissä on ollut sähkökatkoja ja häiriöitä vedenjakelussa maanantaina ja tiistaina tehtyjen iskujen seurauksena.

Ukraina joutuu valitsemaan, puolustaako se voimalaitoksia vai vastahyökkäystään, sanoo tutkija Ilmari Käihkö

Venäjä tulittaa Ukrainaa useista ilmansuunnista. Ukrainan on suojeltava armeijaansa, joten se ei voi puolustaa kaikkia mahdollisia kohteita.

yle.fi

Lännen avusta huolimatta Ukrainan on valittava taistelunsa, eikä se voi puolustaa kaikkia siviilikohteita. Ukraina on suurin kokonaan Euroopassa sijaitseva maa ja sillä on useita tärkeitä puolustettavia kohteita.

Vaarana on, että Venäjä tekee jatkuvia laajamittaisia ilmaiskuja Ukrainan kriittisiin kohteisiin, kuten voimalaitoksiin, vesihuoltoon sekä viestintään ja liikenteeseen vaikuttaviin kohteisiin.

Puolustussotaa käyvän Ukrainan on myös samaan aikaan suojattava vastahyökkäystä käyviä joukkojaan. Käihkön arvioi Venäjän miehittävän lähes viidesosaa Ukrainasta.

– Ainoa tapa jolla Ukraina pystyy voittamaan sodan, on tällaiset vastahyökkäykset ja totta kai se vaatii ukrainalaisia priorisoimaan joko heidän sotavoimien puolustusta tai kriittisen infrastruktuurin puolustusta, Käihkö sanoo.

 

[Panssari Salama]

Jos sakemannien tankkikauhu jatkuukin, niin näyttäisi edelleen että se mitä lupaavat toteutuu. IRIS/T ilmatorjuntajärjestelmä lähtee ajallaan. Näitä ei ole edes Saksan puolustusvoimilla.

https://twitter.com/x/status/1580079429396488192

 

[ddude]

Jenkkihallinnolle olen kiitollinen kun ovat Ukrainan puolella. Tavalliset jenkit (en tiedä onko suurin osa), on hyvin pihalla Ukrainan tapahtumista ja syyttävät NATOa sodasta. Lisäksi Ukrainan tukeminen on heille vastenmielistä. Ihmetellään että miksi Ukraina saa jatkuvasti avustuspaketteja, mutta jenkkilässä esimerkiksi nyt kun hurrikaanit tekivät tuhoja, ihmetellään että Ukrainaan kyllä löytyy rahaa muttei oman maan rakentamiseen.

Twitterissä sitä näkee, eikä näiden mielipiteiden kannattajat ole mitään NWO QAnon -porukkaa.

Eikä pelkästään jenkeissä vaan kyllähän samaa on nähtävissä myös Euroopassa.
Vielä kuitenkin ne jotka tukee Ukrainaa ovat enemmistö.
Putinin viimeiset kortit on toiveessa että talvella kääntyisi toisinpäin...
Saapa nähdä.

 

[Pihkakoski]

Spoiler: NYT:n päivityksiä sodankäynnissä, ei erityistä tietoa tässä

Live Updates: Russia Says It Has Detained 8 Tied to Crimea Explosion

Spoiler: NYT:n päivityksiä sodankäynnissä, ei erityistä tietoa tässä

Russia blamed Ukraine’s military intelligence service for Saturday’s attack on a bridge. Ukraine’s government has not publicly taken responsibility for the blast.

• 
  

Image

Residents walking past a damaged building in Dnipro, Ukraine, on Tuesday, a day after a Russian missile struck the city.Credit...Nicole Tung for The New York Times


Michael Schwirtz, John Ismay, Steven Erlanger and Eric Schmitt

Here are the latest developments in the war in Ukraine.​

BRUSSELS — Russia’s domestic intelligence service said on Wednesday that Ukraine’s spy agency was responsible for the recent bombing of a bridge linking Russia to the Crimean Peninsula and that eight people had been arrested in connection with the blast.

The accusation, by the F.S.B. service, comes as NATO prepares to host the world’s top military leaders on Wednesday to discuss shipping more weapons to Ukraine to help it defend against Russia’s missile attacks. Russian forces have fired more than 100 missiles at more than a dozen cities in Ukraine targeting civilians and energy infrastructure since Monday in response to an attack on the Crimean bridge on Saturday.

The Ukraine Defense Contact Group, a United States-led coalition that has been supplying Kyiv with military and humanitarian aid, will meet for the sixth time on Wednesday. That gathering comes one day after NATO’s top official called on allies to step up arms supplies, especially sophisticated air-defense systems, to the Ukrainians.
Jens Stoltenberg, NATO’s secretary general, said that Moscow’s aerial attacks on civilian targets were “a sign of weakness” and that Ukraine would be better able to deter them if its existing stock of weapons were expanded.
Here are the latest developments:

• The U.S. and NATO are scouring the world for new sources of old weapons to send to Ukraine. But the effort risks as much peril for some nations as it does promise for Kyiv.
• Leaders from the Group of 7 industrialized nations pledged “undeterred and steadfast” financial and military support for Ukraine at an emergency meeting. The G7 leaders also warned Russia of “severe consequences” if it used chemical, biological or nuclear weapons in the conflict.
• President Biden told CNN that he had “no intention” of talking to President Vladimir V. Putin of Russia next month at meeting of the Group of 20 nations, but that he would consider such an interaction if it were to discuss the release of Brittney Griner, the W.N.B.A. star.
• After the attack on Russia’s sole bridge to Crimea last week, some Ukrainians are bracing for the possibility of a retaliatory nuclear strike. But U.S. officials have said they think the chances of Moscow’s using nuclear weapons are low.

Oct. 12, 2022, 2:27 a.m. ET2 hours ago
2 hours ago
Michael Schwirtz
Reporting from Kyiv, Ukraine
Russia’s domestic intelligence service, the F.S.B., announced the arrest of eight people on Wednesday it said were involved in the bombing of the bridge linking Russia to the Crimean Peninsula. In a statement, the F.S.B. said Ukraine’s military intelligence service, known as the G.U.R., was responsible for the blast.

Oct. 12, 2022, 2:28 a.m. ET2 hours ago
2 hours ago
Michael Schwirtz
Reporting from Kyiv, Ukraine
Ukraine’s government has not taken responsibility for the explosion. The F.S.B. statement said the bomb used in the explosion contained 22 tons of explosives, which were shipped out of the port of Odesa in August and eventually made their way to southern Russia, where they were loaded onto a truck that was driven onto the bridge and detonated on Saturday morning just after 6:00 a.m.
Oct. 12, 2022, 2:33 a.m. ET2 hours ago
2 hours ago
Michael Schwirtz
Reporting from Kyiv, Ukraine
The spokesman for Ukraine’s G.U.R. couldn’t immediately be reached for comment.

Oct. 12, 2022, 2:15 a.m. ET2 hours ago
2 hours ago
John Ismay

Defense officials are gathering in Brussels for talks on military assistance to Kyiv.​

Image

Dnipro, Ukraine, on Tuesday, where a Russian missile struck nearby. Russia has been shelling cities across Ukraine for the past few days.Credit...Nicole Tung for The New York Times

BRUSSELS — Defense ministers and top military officers from about 50 nations are expected to gather at NATO headquarters Wednesday morning for the sixth meeting of the Ukraine Defense Contact Group, a United States-led coalition that has been supplying Kyiv with military and humanitarian aid.

The focus of the meeting will be sustaining security assistance to Ukraine.

“The Russian invasion isn’t over, the fighting isn’t over and neither is international support to Ukraine’s right to a capability to defend themselves,” a senior defense official told reporters on the flight to Belgium on Tuesday.
The attendees are also expected to follow up on discussions held in Brussels on Sept. 28 among the “national armaments directors” of more than 40 nations that focused on increasing ammunition production for Ukraine and to replenish stockpiles of weapons sent to Kyiv thus far during the seven-month war.
Defense Secretary Lloyd J. Austin III arrived in Brussels on Tuesday night. He will be joined by Gen. Mark A. Milley, the chairman of the Joint Chiefs of Staff, and other high-ranking Pentagon officials.
The Ukraine Defense Contact Group and NATO defense minister meetings follow a barrage of Russian cruise missile and rocket attacks on Ukraine that have been blamed for scores of civilian deaths and injuries. President Vladimir V. Putin has said the attacks are revenge for an explosion Saturday on the Kerch Strait Bridge linking Russia with occupied Crimea.
“Even in the context of the events of the last week, which are obviously horrific, these leaders from all these countries are coming together once again to signal their enduring support,” said the official, who was not authorized to speak publicly regarding the agenda for the coming meetings. “They will not be dissuaded or deterred from supporting Ukraine, and it will be a real practical manifestation of that ongoing support and unity in support of Ukraine.”
At a dinner Wednesday evening, defense ministers from all NATO nations are scheduled to begin discussions about how they will implement resolutions adopted at an earlier meeting of the ministers in Madrid regarding European security, NATO’s nuclear deterrent capabilities, modernizing member nation militaries and addressing China as a so-called pacing threat for the alliance.
Those talks will continue through Thursday at the alliance’s headquarters.
On Friday, Secretary Austin is scheduled attend a meeting of nine NATO countries that form what defense officials call NATO’s eastern flank bordering Russia before returning to Washington.

Oct. 12, 2022, 1:53 a.m. ET2 hours ago
2 hours ago
Victoria Kim
Russia pummeled the city of Nikopol overnight with a barrage of shells, including one that injured a 6-year-old girl and her mother, a local official said in a Telegram post. The shells hit high-rise buildings, gas furnaces and power lines and damaged kindergartens and a school, wrote the regional military administrator, Valentyn Reznichenko.

Oct. 12, 2022, 12:01 a.m. ET4 hours ago
4 hours ago
Megan Specia

Some Ukrainians brace for the possibility of a Russian nuclear strike.​

Image

Running from the scene of a Russian bombing in Kyiv, Ukraine, on Monday. Moscow responded to the assault on the Kerch Strait Bridge with a series of missile attacks across Ukraine.Credit...Finbarr O'Reilly for The New York Times

KYIV, Ukraine — Six and a half feet down a ladder inside a small shed at the back of Oleksandr Kadet’s home is an underground room with a cement hatch that he hopes he never has to use.

For the past two weeks, Mr. Kadet, 32, said that he and his wife, who live outside the Ukrainian capital, Kyiv, had been preparing for the possibility of a nuclear attack by stocking the room — an old well that they converted into a bunker — with bottled water, canned food, radios and power banks.

 

[ctg]

Venäjän turvallisuuspalvelu FSB ilmoittaa pidättäneensä kahdeksan ihmistä epäiltynä Kertšinsalmen sillan räjäytyksestä.

Venäjän valtiollisen uutistoimiston Interfaxin mukaan pidätetyistä viisi on venäläisiä ja kolme ukrainalaisia ja armenialaisia.

FSB:n mukaan siltaräjäytys oli Ukrainan tiedustelupalvelun organisoima.

Yle uutisten seuranta Venäjän hyökkäyksestä siirtyi toiseen artikkeliin

Tästä artikkelista löytyvät sodan tärkeimmät tapahtumat aikaväliltä 12.2.–28.12.2022.

yle.fi

Kuolinsyyntutkijat ovat aloittaneet joukkohaudan tutkimisen Venäjältä vallatun Lymanin kaupingin läheltä.

Vainajia on löydetty toistaiseksi 55.

Tutkijoiden mukaan heissä näkyy nopealla tarkastelulla jälkiä räjähdyksistä, sirpaleista ja luodeista.

Tutkijat selvittävät seuraavaksi, onko vankeja sidottu ennen surmaamista ja löytyykö heistä kidutuksen jälkiä.

Yhdysvaltain presidentti Joe Biden uskoo Venäjän presidentin Vladimir Putinin olevan normaalisti rationaalinen henkilö, joka kuitenkin teki pahan virhearvion pyrkiessään miehittämään Ukrainan. Biden kertoi näkemyksistään uutiskanava CNN:n Suomen aikaa tiistain vastaisena yönä esittämässä haastattelussa.

Yhdysvaltalaispresidentti arveli Putinin ajatelleen, että hänet toivotettaisiin avosylin tervetulleeksi Ukrainassa.

Tällä viikolla sodankäynti on Ukrainassa kiihtynyt entisestään, kun Venäjä iski useisiin siviilikohteisiin.

Bidenin hallinto on pyrkinyt etsimään keinoa lieventää tilannetta ennen kuin Putin mahdollisesti saattaisi käyttää joukkotuhoaseita. Viime viikolla Biden varoitti epätavanomaisen suoraan Putinin ydinasevihjailun vaaroista.

Biden sanoi myös, ettei hänellä ole aikeita tavata Venäjän presidenttiä Vladimir Putinia G20-maiden johtajien kohdatessa Indonesian Balilla marraskuussa. Biden sanoi uskovansa Putinin syyllistyneen sotarikoksiin ja muistutti tämän toimineen brutaalisti.

 

[Pihkakoski]

https://twitter.com/x/status/1580107540851208192

 

[Myrskyhiiri]

Tiedoksi tämä. Unkari aikoo auttaa Serbiaa venäläisen öljyn saamisessa kiertäen EU:n sanktiot.

https://defenceredefined.com.cy/hungary-serbia-deal-on-new-pipeline-to-transport-russian-oil/

Hungary – Serbia | Deal on new pipeline to transport Russian oil
Defence Redefined
Published on 11/10/2022 at 13:05

Hungary and Serbia have agreed to build a pipeline to supply Serbia with Urals-type crude oil through the Druzhba (Friendship) oil pipeline, as cargo shipments to Belgrade via Croatia fall under European Union sanctions, the Hungarian government announced yesterday.

Last week the European Union agreed to impose new restrictions on Russia over its war in Ukraine, which include an oil price cap on Russian seaborne crude oil deliveries to third countries. Serbia gets its oil through the JANAF pipeline from Croatia.

Hungarian government spokesman, Zoltan Kovacs, tweeted that the new oil pipeline will be able to supply Serbia with cheaper Urals crude oil through its connection to the Druzhba oil pipeline.

He added that the supply of oil to Serbia is mainly through the pipeline that passes through Croatia, but this is unlikely to be possible in the future due to the sanctions that have been adopted.

Hungary, which is heavily dependent on Russian oil and gas, has been the most vocal critic of EU sanctions against Russia, saying the measures have driven energy prices up. Budapest backed last week’s sanctions package.

The southern branch of the Druzhba oil pipeline reaches through Ukraine to Hungary, Slovakia, and the Czech Republic and has been a primary source of supply for refineries in those three countries for years.

Serbia’s only oil company is NIS, in which Russia’s Gazprom Neft (SIBN.MM) and Gazprom (GAZP.MM) jointly own a majority stake.

Earlier this month, Hungary also said it would help Serbia, if needed, with natural gas supplies. As Prime Minister Viktor Orban said, Hungary has natural gas reserves to cover its needs for five to six months.

 

[Pihkakoski]

Spoiler: Etelä-Ukrainan taistelukentän alhaista motivaatiota etc. tarkasteleva NYT:n artikkeli

In Southern Ukraine, Signs of Low Russian Morale Amid Retreat

Spoiler: Etelä-Ukrainan taistelukentän alhaista motivaatiota etc. tarkasteleva NYT:n artikkeli

The Ukrainians are making gains in the south, an area where Russian soldiers are dug in more securely and where their retreat has been less chaotic than in the north.

• 
  

Ukrainian soldiers riding in a captured Russian military vehicle in Velyka Oleksandrivka last week.Credit...Nicole Tung for The New York Times

By Andrew E. Kramer
Published Oct. 10, 2022Updated Oct. 11, 2022

VELYKA OLEKSANDRIVKA, Ukraine — As Ukrainian soldiers patrolled the streets of a small village they had retaken from the Russian army just days earlier, they found messages scrawled on walls and fences so dark and cryptic they pointed at least to poor morale, and possibly more serious mental stress.
“Give us back our people killed by witches,” one note painted on a wall said. Another message read, “Whatever we do we won’t leave this life alive.”
Nearby there were more tangible signs of a Russian army under assault: a blown-up bridge on the edge of town, and the obliterated remains of an armored personnel carrier littered on the street, its chunks of metal scattered about and burned to a rich orange color.
The Russian military pulled out of Velyka Oleksandrivka, one of 29 towns and villages Ukraine has reclaimed in the southern Kherson region, last week; the few remaining older residents emerged from basements to greet Ukrainian soldiers.

Ukraine may gain more advantage in the region if the strike on the bridge to Crimea on Saturday seriously disrupts the supply line to Russian forces. Their situation was already tenuous enough that Russian commanders had requested pulling back from the city of Kherson, American officials have said, but Russian President Vladimir V. Putin denied it.
On Monday Russia launched a series of missile strikes across Ukraine in what appeared to be retaliatory attacks for the blast that damaged the bridge to Crimea.
The Kherson region is one of two where Ukraine is pressing a counteroffensive against the Russians. The other, moving more swiftly, is in the northeast and east.

Image

The destroyed bridge over the Inhulets River last week.Credit...Nicole Tung for The New York Times

But there are distinct differences between the two theaters of war. In the north, the Russian retreat was unplanned and chaotic, as soldiers fled the Ukrainian advance, fleeing on stolen bicycles and leaving behind documents, laundry and, more chillingly, dead comrades on the side of the road. Ukraine’s forces met little resistance.

In the south, Russian soldiers are dug in more securely, and while there are signs of low morale, there are also indications of a determination to fight. In one spot in Velyka Oleksandrivka, Ukrainian troops discovered that Russian soldiers had fired anti-tank missiles, leaving a heap of about 20 empty launch tubes under a birch tree.

The State of the War​

• A Large-Scale Strike: President Vladimir V. Putin of Russia unleashed a series of missile strikes that hit at least 10 cities across Ukraine, including Kyiv, in a broad aerial assault against civilians and critical infrastructure that drew international condemnation and calls for de-escalation.
• Crimean Bridge Explosion: Mr. Putin said that the strikes were retaliation for a blast that hit a key Russian bridge over the weekend. The bridge, which links the Crimean Peninsula to Russia, is a primary supply route for Russian troops fighting in the south of Ukraine.
• Mounting Criticism: While Russian hard-liners celebrated the missile strikes, Moscow’s faltering invasion of Ukraine has produced a recent barrage of criticism from supporters of the war, creating a new challenge for Mr. Putin.
• The Southern Front: The Russian retreat from areas in the north of Ukraine was unplanned and chaotic. But in the south, Russian soldiers are dug in more securely, and while there are signs of low morale, there are also indications of a determination to fight.

And when retreats became the only option, they were apparently planned and much more orderly than in the north.
“It’s a different tempo here,” said Col. Roman Kostenko, the commander of a unit fighting in the south and chairman of the defense and intelligence committee in the Ukrainian Parliament, or Rada. “The front did not crumble. They are retreating step-by-step into new defensive positions.”
In a pale fall sunshine of late afternoon, Colonel Kostenko drove past several of these steps on a journey into the reclaimed areas to inspect what the Russians had left behind, bumping over dirt roads. Outside one abandoned village, the summer’s harvest of grain burned in a warehouse, sending tendrils of smoke wafting over the road.

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Continue reading the main story


Image

A heavily damaged building in Velyka Oleksandrivka, Ukraine, last week.Credit...Nicole Tung for The New York Times

Along the route, he zigzagged past acacia trees knocked onto the road by artillery explosions — and an unexploded Grad rocket, which looked like a fence post hammered into the asphalt near the road’s centerline.
Because the road bridge was blown up, Velyka Oleksandrivka is accessible now from the west only by foot, requiring a scramble over a partially destroyed footbridge crossing the Inhulets River.

The Russian army had used the village as a staging ground for tanks to reinforce a nearby town, Davydiv Brid. But when it fell to the Ukrainians earlier last week, the rationale for remaining apparently disappeared.

Ukraine Under Attack: Documenting the Russian Invasion
Photographers in and around Ukraine have captured the horrors of war.
They drove the tanks out before the Ukrainian soldiers arrived on Tuesday. They fired the anti-tank missiles at Ukrainian troops across the river. The Ukrainians dismounted, fanned out and entered the village on foot. The Russian soldiers who remained retreated after a brief gunfight, soldiers in Colonel Kostenko’s unit said. While it marked a retreat, it did not convey fear and desperation like in the north, he said.

Live Updates: Russia-Ukraine War​

Updated
Oct. 12, 2022, 2:15 a.m. ET2 hours ago
2 hours ago

• Defense officials are gathering in Brussels for talks on military assistance to Kyiv.
• Here are the latest developments in the war in Ukraine.
• Some Ukrainians brace for the possibility of a Russian nuclear strike.

Two days later, shell casings and shards of shrapnel from the battle remained scattered around the streets, tinkling as the Ukrainian soldiers walked over them. The village was abandoned save for stray dogs and elderly residents.

Image

Women pass destroyed vehicles in the village last week.Credit...Nicole Tung for The New York Times

Some people vented emotions that had long been bottled up. A retiree who identified herself only as Grandmother Nadya sat crying on a bench. “I want to see my children, I want to see my grandchildren,” she said. They had evacuated before the Russians captured the village in early March, she said.
Another woman watched the soldiers walk past and shouted, “Glory to Ukraine!” The soldiers yelled back the usual reply, “Glory to its heroes!”

Other residents shed light on the Russian soldiers’ morale problems. Viktor Pichkur, a retiree, said discipline had been breaking down.Soldiers had looted his mo-ped.
“They came and said, ‘We need your moped for the cause,’” Mr. Pichkur said. Later that day, he said, he saw Russian soldiers zipping around the village on his moped on what appeared to be joy rides.
A more sinister side of the occupation and a possible sign of an unraveling of the mental state of the Russian soldiers was seen in graffiti. Ukrainian soldiers were flummoxed by the cryptic message about witches.

Image

Graffiti that reads “No matter what we do, we can’t leave this life alive” in the town last week.Credit...Nicole Tung for The New York Times

And along the wall of an apartment building was written the phrase, “punishment medicine,” whose exact meaning was unclear. Some of the Ukrainians speculated that it could be a reference to forced psychiatric treatment in the Soviet era.
The cryptic graffiti left by Russian soldiers and found in liberated areas has been confusing enough that a nongovernmental group in Kyiv, Between the Ears, has set up a database of messages and is seeking to systematically analyze the meanings.
“Maybe it is mental problems, but it could also be that they don’t see any way out from this war, this situation” and write notes of desperation, said Anastasia Oleksiy, the project manager for Between the Ears. The group has collected photographs of about 200 messages left as graffiti or written on blackboards in schools.

Some say “I am sorry.” One in the Kyiv region said, “Mother of God, forgive us your sons.”
Crumbling morale on the Russian side played a role in Ukraine’s advances in the south but the decisive factor was weaponry, tactics and troop numbers, Colonel Kostenko said.
The Russian government instituted a draft only last month, after it began losing ground in the counteroffensives, he noted; Ukraine called up soldiers immediately after the Russian invasion in February and these troops, some of them trained in Britain, are now entering the fight.

Image

Discarded anti-tank missile tubes seen in Velyka Oleksandrivka last week.Credit...Nicole Tung for The New York Times

Ukraine now has a numerical advantage in soldiers in the fight on the western bank of the Dnipro River, where the village of Velyka Oleksandrivka is. This theater in the war is isolated from Russian supply lines by blown up bridges over the broad Dnipro River.
The Ukrainian army waited on its attack until it amassed sufficient artillery systems and armored vehicles donated by Western allies to shift the odds, Colonel Kostenko said. In its initial assault on Russian lines near here in late August, for example, the Ukrainian army sent American-supplied M113 tracked armored vehicles bouncing over fields to storm the village of Sukhy Stavok. The armored vehicles enabled this decisive breakthrough, he said.
But a full Russian retreat from the western bank of the Dnipro River remains unlikely, Colonel Kostenko said. The city of Kherson is the only regional capital the Russian army captured after its invasion in February and Mr. Putin has now claimed to have annexed Kherson region and made it part of Russia.
And yet local Russian commanders in Kherson are pulling back in organized retreats to secondary lines of defense, to save their soldiers’ lives.

“They are defending it only for political reasons,” Colonel Kostenko said. “They cannot leave because Putin will lose face.”

Image

A Ukrainian soldier outside a destroyed home in the village last week.Credit...Nicole Tung for The New York Times

Ukrainian officials have been trying to capitalize on poor Russian morale and promote the idea that Russian forces are pawns in the political messaging from Moscow.
Oleksiy Reznikov, the Ukrainian minister of defense, appealed on Thursday to Russian officers in a speech in Russian, saying they were deceived by their political leadership, in an apparent effort to exploit dissatisfaction in the Russian ranks and officers’ corps. He specifically addressed the officers operating in the Kherson region on the Dnipro’s western bank.
“You were promised an easy ride but sent into a trap,” Mr. Reznikov said. “Now they don’t listen to you because listening to you now means admitting mistakes.” He suggested they surrender.
Maria Varenikova contributed reporting from Kryvyi Rih, Ukraine.

 

[Tiedustelija]

Vaikea saada kamoja kuivaksi ilman lämmön lähdettä. Eipä sitä tosiaan jatkuvasti tarvitse.

Talvella kastumisongelmaa ei isommin ole. Varsikengät heitetään helvettiin ja tilalle kumisaappaat kaksilla lämpövuorilla. Kun varpaat ei jäädy niin sitä kyllä pärjää.

Voisi kuvitella että Ukrainassa kumisaappailla olisi talvella erityisen paljon käyttöä kun talvi on lauhempi kuin Suomessa. Olisi melkoisen luksusta verrattuna maihareihin tai edes (vuotaviin) goretex kenkiin jos poterot tulvii. Mitähän nämä ukrainaan lähetettävät talvivarusteet sisältää? Meillä oli tiedustelukompanjassa ainakin huopavuori kumpparit mitkä ovat vielä tänäkin päivänä erittäin toimivat.

 

[FinnNSF]

Jenkkihallinnolle olen kiitollinen kun ovat Ukrainan puolella. Tavalliset jenkit (en tiedä onko suurin osa), on hyvin pihalla Ukrainan tapahtumista ja syyttävät NATOa sodasta. Lisäksi Ukrainan tukeminen on heille vastenmielistä. Ihmetellään että miksi Ukraina saa jatkuvasti avustuspaketteja, mutta jenkkilässä esimerkiksi nyt kun hurrikaanit tekivät tuhoja, ihmetellään että Ukrainaan kyllä löytyy rahaa muttei oman maan rakentamiseen.

Twitterissä sitä näkee, eikä näiden mielipiteiden kannattajat ole mitään NWO QAnon -porukkaa.

Ja juuri tämän takia 100+ miljoonan seuraajan twitter-tili toistamassa Kremlin Ukraina-propagandaa on vaarallinen asia.

CNN-jutun mukaan Musk on pyöritellyt Ukraina-ehdotustaan ennen twiittausta ajatushautomoissa, ja usea muu osanottaja on saanut hänen puheistaan sen käsityksen että kommunikaatiota itään on ollut.

Elon Musk denies claim he spoke to Vladimir Putin about the war in Ukraine | CNN Business

Tesla CEO Elon Musk has denied a claim that he spoke directly to Russian President Vladimir Putin in recent weeks about the war in Ukraine and a proposed "peace plan" to end the conflict.

edition.cnn.com

 

[Pihkakoski]

Tiedoksi; siirrän noita New York Timesin artikkeleita tänne omalta tililtäni. Tässä tilanteessa maksumuurin kiertäminen on paitsi oikein, niin myös oikein. Joudun noita jossakin määrin muotoilemaan, esim. foorumin rajoitettujen kuvamäärien per viesti suhteen. Joten saattavat osin oudoilta näyttää. Teksti-osioista, ei mitään pitäisi puuttua.

 

[ctg]

A senior Ukrainian official dismissed as “nonsense” on Wednesday Russia’s investigation into an explosion last weekend that badly damaged a bridge linking the Russian mainland to the Crimea peninsula that Moscow annexed from Ukraine in 2014.

Russian President Vladimir Putin has blamed Ukraine’s security forces for the explosion, and earlier today Russia’s Federal Security Service (FSB) said it had detained five Russians and three citizens of Ukraine and Armenia over the blast.

“The whole activity of the FSB and Investigative Committee is nonsense,” Ukraine’s public broadcaster Suspilne cited interior minister spokesman Andriy Yusov as saying when asked about Moscow’s allegations on the Crimea Bridge blast.

Reuters reports Yusov described the FSB and Investigative Committee as “fake structures that serve the Putin regime, so we will definitely not comment on their next statements”.

Russia-Ukraine war live: eight arrests reported after Crimea bridge attack; Russia sustains losses in southern Ukraine

Five Russian citizens among arrests, according to local media; Ukraine military reports damage to Russian weapons and personnel

www.theguardian.com

The head of the International Atomic Energy Agency has described developments at the Zaporizhzhia nuclear power plant (ZNPP), which has lost off-site power, as “deeply worrying”.

Rafael Grossi tweeted:

Our team at the ZNPP informed me this morning that the plant has lost all of its external power for the second time in five days. Its back-up diesel generators are now providing electricity for its nuclear safety and security functions. This repeated loss of the ZNPP’s off-site power is a deeply worrying development and it underlines the urgent need for a nuclear safety and security protection zone around the site.

The ZNPP has been occupied by Russian forces but operated by Ukrainian staff since early in Russia’s latest invasion of Ukraine. Russia has claimed to have “annexed” Zaporizhzhia, and stated it intends to take the plant under its own operational framework.

You can understand there being jitters about Europe’s power infrastructure after the Nord Stream pipeline incident, but Poland’s top official in charge of energy infrastructure, Mateusz Berger, has told Reuters by telephone that there are no grounds to believe the leak in the Polish section of the Druzhba oil pipeline was caused by sabotage.

“Here we can talk about accidental damage,” he said.

Russia’s state-owned news agency RIA Novosti is carrying some more details of the plot to damage the Crimea bridge which Russian security forces claim to have revealed today.

It reports:

In early August, the cargo was sent from the seaport of Odesa to the Bulgarian Ruse [port] … From Bulgaria it proceeded to the Georgian port of Poti , and then to Armenia. From 29 September to 3 October, at the Transalliance terminal in Yerevan, the cargo was cleared … On a DAF truck registered in Georgia, the cargo crossed the Russian-Georgian border on 4 October at the Upper Lars checkpoint, two days later it was delivered and unloaded at a wholesale base in Armavir.

On 7 October … the documents for the cargo were again changed. TEK-34 LLC from Ulyanovsk was indicated as the sender , and a non-existent company in the Crimea was indicated as the recipient.

The movement of cargo along the entire route was controlled by an employee of the main intelligence directorate of the ministry of defence of Ukraine, who introduced himself to the participants in the scheme as “Ivan Ivanovich”. To coordinate actions, he used a virtual anonymous number, as well as a phone registered to a resident of Kremenchug.

RIA reminds us that the explosion occurred on 8 October, and that the official account is “a truck exploded on the Crimean bridge after which seven tanks with fuel of a passing train caught fire. Two car spans partially collapsed, but the bridge arch supports were not damaged. Four people were killed, including a judge from Moscow.”

More than 20 Russians have sailed in yachts from North Pacific ports to South Korea, Reuters reports, as they flee to avoid military call-up to fight in Ukraine. Most have reportedly been refused entry.

There has been an exodus of conscription-age men from Russia since President Vladimir Putin ordered a partial mobilisation on 21 September, but most fled by road, rail and air to Europe, and neighbouring former Soviet Union countries, like Georgia, Azerbaijan and Kazakhstan.

On Tuesday, South Korean broadcaster KBS reported that at least 21 Russians had arrived aboard yachts at ports in the south of the country, but only two had been granted entry, while others were refused as authorities deemed their purpose “ambiguous”.

KBS reported that three yachts had docked in the southeastern port city of Pohang over the past several days, mostly carrying Russian men in their 20-30s.

An official at Pohang’s coast guard declined to comment when contacted by Reuters.
A justice ministry official said he did not have details about the yacht cases, but Russians are in general allowed to enter the country without a visa as long as they obtain prior approval via South Korea’s electronic travel authorisation system.

 

[ctg]

The Ukrainian president, Volodymyr Zelenskiy, sounded the alarm during a meeting of the G7 on Tuesday, proposing to send UN peacekeepers to the border between Ukraine and Belarus to prevent Lukashenko from launching a “provocation”.

Despite the warning signs, there is considerable doubt that Lukashenko is ready to throw his own forces into a war that Russia is losing in Ukraine, even if he is under pressure from Putin.

“Of course Putin has a lot of leverage. But he cannot compel Lukashenko to commit political suicide,” said Artyom Shraibman, a Belarusian political analyst and non-resident scholar at the Carnegie Endowment for International Peace. “That is why I think Lukashenko will definitely try to resist any push into a full war.”

“On the other hand, I cannot bet that he will be successful in this for ever,” he continued. “There are ways that Russia can act that would provoke Belarus into the fighting.”

Short of sending troops his own troops into battle, Lukashenko could allow Russian troops to be deployed to Belarus’ borders in order to stretch Ukrainian defences or possibly allow Russia to use Belarus as a training ground for some of the tens of thousands of Russians mobilised to serve in the army.

Would Lukashenko really throw Belarus into a war Russia is losing?

Experts are sceptical about the chance of Belaurusian troops fighting against Ukraine, even if Putin is pushing for it

www.theguardian.com

“He does not want to be dragged into war because of so many risks it can create for him,” said Shraibman, noting that polling showed that less than 10% of Belarusians supported direct involvement in the war in Ukraine.

And with Russia now in retreat, joining the war could tie his fate to an invasion that will probably end in failure.

“Authoritarians are not very good at surviving military defeats,” he said.

 

[Pihkakoski]

 

[Hairysteed]

Jenkkihallinnolle olen kiitollinen kun ovat Ukrainan puolella. Tavalliset jenkit (en tiedä onko suurin osa), on hyvin pihalla Ukrainan tapahtumista ja syyttävät NATOa sodasta. Lisäksi Ukrainan tukeminen on heille vastenmielistä. Ihmetellään että miksi Ukraina saa jatkuvasti avustuspaketteja, mutta jenkkilässä esimerkiksi nyt kun hurrikaanit tekivät tuhoja, ihmetellään että Ukrainaan kyllä löytyy rahaa muttei oman maan rakentamiseen.

Twitterissä sitä näkee, eikä näiden mielipiteiden kannattajat ole mitään NWO QAnon -porukkaa.

Tavalliset jenkit syyttävät NATOa sodasta?! Ehkä pihalla saattaa tavallinen tallaaja olla, mutta ainakin valtionjohdossa on Ukrainan tukeminen ja Putinin tuomitseminen ollut niitä harvoja asioita, joista molemmat puolueet ovat samaa mieltä kourallista trumpioita lukuunottamatta.

 

[ctg]

The EU’s foreign policy chief has accused his top diplomats of being slow, ineffective and patronising towards the countries they work in, also berating them for failing to anticipate Russia’s invasion of Ukraine.

“This is not a moment when we are going to send flowers to all of you saying that you are beautiful, you work very well and we are very happy,” Josep Borrell, the EU’s high representative for foreign policy, told ambassadors who work for the EU’s external action service.

Borrell, a Spanish former foreign minister, who has a reputation for bluntness, lamented that the EU’s global diplomatic network was less informative than reading the papers. “Sometimes, I knew more of what was happening somewhere by reading the newspapers than reading your reports,” he said.

“I should be the best-informed guy in the world,” Borrell complained, instructing them to be more reactive to unfolding crises. “Behave as you would behave if you were an embassy: send a telegram, a cable, a mail – quickly. Quickly, please, react.”

EU foreign policy chief says diplomats are slow, ineffective and patronising

Josep Borrell criticises staff for not anticipating Ukraine invasion, and says he sometimes learns more ‘by reading newspapers’

www.theguardian.com

 

[Pihkakoski]

https://twitter.com/x/status/1580096748843720704

Ukraine-Russia war latest: Ukraine reclaims five settlements in key region of Kherson

Ukraine said it had reclaimed five more settlements in the key southern region of Kherson as Kyiv continues its counteroffensive drive in the face of mass Russian missile strikes.

www.telegraph.co.uk

 

[ctg]

Anthony Albanese is considering offering training to Ukrainian troops after telling Volodymyr Zelenskiy in a phone call that Australia stands “with the courageous people of Ukraine”.

The Australian defence force would not carry out the training on Ukrainian soil. A number of countries including New Zealand, Sweden and Finland have sent trainers to the UK, where new Ukrainian troops have travelled for training.

The Australian prime minister spoke to Ukraine’s president late on Tuesday and Zelenskiy described the conversation as “fruitful”.

Australia is considering offering training to Ukraine troops, Anthony Albanese says

PM conveys condolences for Russia’s ‘horrific’ targeting of civilians in call to Volodymyr Zelenskiy

www.theguardian.com

“Well, the request is about training, and we’ll give consideration to that and make an announcement at an appropriate time,” Albanese told ABC Radio National on Wednesday.

“But what we know is that the Ukrainian people are not going to give up. I regarded it as a great honour to speak with [Zelenskiy] at this very difficult time for his country.”

Later, on ABC News Breakfast, Albanese made clear Australian troops would not be going into Ukraine. “The suggestion is whether Australians could provide support for training outside of Ukraine in Europe, and we’ll give consideration to that as we’ll give consideration to the other requests,” he said.