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Kyllä siellä aika karut oltavat ryssän vaunumiehillä varmasti on. Varsinkin paksummat vaunut ovat taistelukentällä ykköskohteita ukrainalaisille, ja torninheiton jäljiltä tuskin on kovin monta ukkoa vaunun sisällä enää elävien kirjoissa.Onkohan kukaan arvioinut esimerkiksi ryssän vaunumiehistöjen eloonjäämisprosentteja Ukrainan sodassa? Eiköhän noista aika liki 100% kuole taistelukentälle? Vai kuinka moni heistä enää palaa kotiinsa? Tai ainakin suurin osa heistä epäonnistuvat tehtävässään.
Taitaa ainoa tapa selviytyä hengissä olla hylätä vaunu ja luikkia pakoon. Vaunuja sieltä ei ilmeisesti ainakaan enää takaisin tule. Kaikki mitä sinne kärrätään, myös jää sinne. Tavalla tai toisella.
Oli miten oli, niin ei ole herkkua olla ryssänä Ukrainassa. Hehee.
Evgeny Prigozhin sees himself on the political Olympus of Russia, and is currently running a fairly successful PR campaign to shape and promote his own career as a politician. Prigozhin makes films, opens centers, gives interviews where he shares his vision of the situation, not only at the front, but also in Russia and the world, gives advice to the president and forces him to make personnel decisions. And most importantly, Prigozhin is the curator of the largest private army to date, numbering more than 37,000 people, including 11,452 criminals recruited in the colonies. He directly and indirectly controls the “common fund” entrusted to him by Putin, which today is a little short of $15 billion, while the Russian special services are not in a position to control its expenses, and they are not in the right. Greed and thirst for money, according to Patrushev, have faded into the background for Prigozhin, now he wants to get his share of power in Russia and will use maximum efforts to achieve his goal, using all available resources. The Secretary of the Security Council believes that next year Prigozhin will become almost the main factor in destabilizing the situation in Russia. Patrushev offered Putin not to delay the solution of this problem and provided his vision of neutralizing Prigogine.
A serious conflict is brewing among the elites. The security forces are extremely dissatisfied with the behavior of Prigozhin and his subordinates, at the front they behave boldly not only in battle, but also in resolving conflict situations with "their" military personnel of the Russian army, so at least 15 cases are known when representatives of PMCs killed Russian soldiers and officers, not receiving even minimal punishment for it. Putin's instruction to the power structures to assist Prigozhin everywhere and in everything makes the leadership of the power bloc nervous. Such a confrontation cannot continue for long. And Putin will have to choose with whom he is, with Prigozhin or with the security forces.
Olenko ymmärtänyt oikein, viimeisen viikon aikana 4 780 suorakoipista?
Sille tuo näyttää ja kuulostaa. Mobikithan tuota lukua kasvattaa, keskivertomobikkilauman (100kpl) elinkaari menee näin:Olenko ymmärtänyt oikein, viimeisen viikon aikana 4 780 suorakoipista?
Country of the day: Israel
Netanyahu's bloc won the elections to the Knesset.
@alexparkermedia A friend of Russia and Putin, Benjamin Netanyahu is back as prime minister of Israel. Second bonus after Brazil.
@logikamarkova Putin's friend Netanyahu wins the parliamentary elections and most likely will return to the post of head of Israel as the head of the coalition and will try to improve relations with Russia. Well, good.
@governorsjewNetanyahu is certainly not a "friend of Putin." Netanyahu is a narcissistic right-wing populist who, a couple of years ago, printed his photo with Putin on campaign posters to show that I was in the big leagues of world leaders.
@politgen Whether Israel's position on Russia will change is hard to say now. On the one hand, Netanyahu is at least not hostile to Vladimir Putin. But Israel also has good relations with the United States and Ukraine.
@malekdudakov Netanyahu himself probably hopes that Republicans will come to power in the United States in the foreseeable future, with whom it will be much easier to negotiate.
@neolginskie The victory of radical Netanyahu adds another factor in favor of a war in the Middle East against Iran.
@sevsealThe Israelis are an amazing people. For almost a year and a half, Bibi Netanyahu rotted them with the most severe lockdowns. Nevertheless, according to the results of the elections, Bibi will most likely be the next prime minister again
Grain deal.
@dmitrynikotin Moscow is ready for any contacts in the negotiation process on Ukraine, while proceeding from national interests, - Maria Zakharova.
@regnum_na But can you be more specific from this place? After the "grain deal" I would like to know what is meant by national interests. Maybe they are now limited to the signature of the Nazi Zelensky on some piece of paper?
@vizioner_rf Turkey's interests in the trade in Russian-Ukrainian grain turned out to be a priority. Erdogan did not allow provocations in the humanitarian corridor, bending the "hawks". Another "red line" was dotted.
@riakatyshaThe "grain", but in fact the "arms deal" was resumed without the conditions of inspection, which were discussed in the Ministry of Defense. Sevastopol has been forgiven by the “flare” of Kyiv, where, according to the local mayor Klitschko, everything has almost been restored.
@skurlatovlive Imagine if during the Patriotic War of 1941-1945. Would Hitler have given guarantees of inviolability to the Soviet fleet in order to continue to receive weapons, explosives and mercenaries to destroy our country? And now the exact same thing is happening.
@grishkafilippov Berlin gave written guarantees to the Headquarters not to mine the Gulf of Finland during the Siege of Leningrad, the Soviet Information Bureau reports.
@regnum_naPoroshenko: “We have achieved what we wanted… we have built the power of the Armed Forces of Ukraine. This was the first task - and it was achieved. The Minsk agreements have fulfilled their task.” But now, will the “grain deal” fulfill the task?
@bulbe_de_trones Shake hands with Poroshenko, shake hands with Zelensky. They postponed the war for the sake of the Putin-Biden summit and ruined tens of thousands of Russian soldiers, thanks to the supply of weapons and communications from the United States - all the same, on the sidelines they will grovel and coy in front of the Americans.
@alexparkermedia It is also important to note here that a new "written contract" has been concluded with Zelensky. That is, it is again a reliable contractual partner with whom you can conclude deals and whose guarantees you can trust. In fact, the first separate agreement "on paper" Putin-Zelensky.
@rusbrief Alexander Bovdunov: So we believe in the written guarantees of the country, which we simultaneously accuse of creating a dirty bomb?
@abbasgallyamovpolitics By rushing back into the grain deal, Russia has shown that by exiting it, it took on an unbearable weight that it was unable to keep.
@v_pastukhov For a couple of months now, Putin has been persistently hinting that this shoe is too tight for him and he wants to change it to a larger size. They believe that they took too little, and the attack on Sevastopol was an excellent pretext for adjusting the conditions. The nature of St. Petersburg "effective managers" does not change over the years.
@Wek_ruOne gets the impression that the “grain deal” and the recent events accompanying it are “buying a ticket” for the G20 summit. With the hope that it will be possible to agree there in an informal setting somewhere on the sidelines or enlist the support of at least some of its participants.
@bbbreaking Are they crazy, are they sick? What to talk to them about if they attack us with 54 rockets in half a day? They seem to live on another planet - Zelensky about negotiations with Russia.
@nationconsunion All is not lost. Khokhols still do not intend to go to peace talks.
@sorok40russia - Vova, there the Russians are asking for guarantees for a grain deal. - Yes, give these crazy patients some paper, they don’t care, like small children, as long as they have something to amuse themselves with.
@bulbe_de_trones And noviops are talking about some kind of guarantees from a person who has just admitted the meaninglessness of any conversation with the Russian Federation and the nullity of any obligations. Therefore, attacks on Russian infrastructure using Odessa ports will be even earlier than you expect.
@chto_delat_2022 Kirill Loginov: No one will really negotiate with those whom the collective West has already sentenced to slaughter. Ahead are new provocations and terrorist attacks of the Kyiv regime, in which it will use not only the geographical window of approaches to the ports of Odessa and Nikolaev.
Myös tämmöstä huhua liikkeellä:Mobilization.
@rtvimain The State Duma is not currently considering the idea of introducing liability for military service evasion during the period of mobilization, assured the head of the Duma Defense Committee Kartapolov and the chairman of the Security Committee Piskarev.
@newizvestya United Russia has changed its mind about criminalizing evasion of mobilization. The party said that this initiative has lost its relevance, since "to date, partial mobilization has been completed."
@wisedruidd Obviously, if the partial mobilization is over, then now is clearly not the best time to pass such laws that will actualize rumors in the public mind that the mobilization will continue soon.
@thegraschenkov The voice of reason once again tells the authorities the right direction, the main thing is that the deputies from the EP again begin to trust.
@nsnfm The Gorizont-M military registration and enlistment office database will be connected to databases of other structures - in particular, the Federal Tax Service, the Pension Fund of the Russian Federation, the Civil Registry Office and the Elections GAS.
@Svoidanash Considering the frequency of common voting days in our country (at least once a year), GAS "Vybory", in theory, should be updated quite regularly, which will allow us to more accurately clean up the data array.
@regnum_na You can also form military units according to a political principle: a division who voted for Zhirinovsky, a platoon who voted for Navalny. It won't work out that way, it's fun.
@kuraifutlarThe databases will be updated, maybe, but where will they be loaded. It's like the pool joke. - Can I swim in the pool? - You can, just don't pour water there...
@kremlin_sekret Partial mobilization in Russia is over, but problems with those mobilized in St. Petersburg continue. More than a thousand complaints were received by the administration of Smolny and Governor Beglov from families mobilized due to delays in lump sum payments.
@kushtay Chuvash mobilized demand the promised 300 thousand rubles for the murder of Ukrainians.
@volgabrief Misunderstanding between the governors and the mobilized is a potentially explosive trend on the current regional agenda.
@russica2Dmitry Elovsky: I think the consequences of their inaction - a high level of anxiety and a drop in the ratings of power - the system will rake up for a long time.
@rian_ru Shoigu: 87,000 people out of 300,000 called up as part of partial mobilization were sent to combat areas.
@KremlinPeresmeshnik In the first nine months of this year, almost 11 million people in Russia became restricted to travel abroad. The FSSP explains that this is 2.2 million more than in the same period last year. Experts believe that against the backdrop of traveling excitement with partial mobilization, the bailiffs could "play it safe" and start a larger number of "travel restricted" cases.
@rusbriefOne Moscow: The Ministry of Defense explained that in the regions they themselves decide who and how to call up as part of partial mobilization. Some of the documents are confidential. There are no official criteria as such.
@antideza Does mobilization have a beginning, does mobilization have an end? The ubiquitous senator Klishas said that a separate decree on the end of mobilization is not needed.
@Scriptirum The absence of a decree by the head of state on the completion of partial mobilization and the statement of talking heads from the authorities that such a decree is not needed in principle is caused by uncertainty about the future prospects and the feasibility of holding similar events in the coming months.
@thegraschenkovJudging by how the first wave of mobilization went, it will be possible to start a similar second wave only as a last resort. Firstly, it will be much more difficult than the first one, since the volunteers and loyalists have gone to the first one. Secondly, it can take place under completely different conditions and background.
@rasstriga Mobilization is over. But it is not exactly. The State Duma is developing a bill on punishment of up to 5 years in prison for evading it.
@rtvimain "United Russia" offered for evaders from mobilization up to five years in prison.
@KremlinPeresmeshnik In the absence of a delay, sanctions for evaders are harsh: a fine of 200 thousand to 500 thousand rubles or in the amount of other income for a period of one to three years. Or forced labor for up to 5 years. That is, will there still be a second stage of mobilization?
@alexander_kynevSuch initiatives only: 1. Further increase the panic and activity of the alarmists. 2. point 1 automatically leads to the fact that there will be no return of those who left. Moreover, there will be further outflow. 3. Continued outflow will continue to kill demand and the economy.
@nsnfm Nina Ostanina: “If we have already missed the moment when people needed to be encouraged to love their homeland, then we will never motivate them with punitive measures. We will get crossbows in the literal sense, people will try everything.
@ShaltayBabay What does the legislative initiative say. If you call a spade a spade, about one thing. The "second wave" of conscription will not keep you waiting.
@master_peraThe shot sparrow hears calls even in distant claps, so the country perceives the forthcoming law as an announcement of a new mobilization season, which may not be long in coming.
@vizioner_rf The very fact of the "discussion" of the bill indicates the preparation of conditions for a new (winter) wave of mobilization, which will require a much more repressive legal "binding" than now.
@BFMnews As one of the authors of the bill, United Russia deputy Ernest Valeev pointed out, we are not talking about today's partial mobilization. But, according to him, although partial mobilization has been completed, "there are no guarantees that it will not be needed again someday."
@dirtytatarstanTwo main questions - how the initiative of deputies and senators from United Russia correlates with the words of the President of the Russian Federation that partial mobilization in the country has been completed, and also what parliamentarians from the ruling party mean when they say that mobilization "will be required someday again".
@rasstriga The Russian public is haunted by the question of whether the completion of the mobilization will be crowned by an official decree of the president who started it.
@redembankment All this does not bring clarity to the process at all, because in the public mind, if something is started by decree, then the decree must be stopped. Otherwise, the decree continues to operate.
@rtvimainMilitary lawyer of the Committee of Soldiers' Mothers of Russia Alexander Latynin: “According to the law, the President [of Russia] announces partial mobilization and he cancels it. In the decree of September 21, the period for the partial mobilization is not specified.
@anatoly_nesmiyan Mobilization is an extremely rare and exclusive event. The previous one was held eighty years ago. Therefore, the current law is likely to apply in current events.
Russian state TV host Ruslan Ostashko just asked one of his panellists what the chances were of a "new Maidan against Zelensky"
It's incredible that after more than eight months these people still have such a poor understanding of Ukrainian society
Viljadiilin ydin on että ne muut osapuolet ovat taanneet sen kuljetuksen. Ryssä sitten antanut oman lupauksen näille muille. Esimerkiksi Turkille ei käynyt että heille annettu ryssän lupaus peruttiin. Varmaan tokaistu suoraan että asia on sovittu ja tarvittaessa sopimuksessa pysyminen pakotetaan ryssälle. Turkki on luvannut että vilja kulkee joten Turkki pitää lupauksestaan kiinni, vaikka ampumalla ne vastustelevat ryssät ja upottamalla ryssän paatit.Muissa ryssän grammeissa (heidän mielipiteitä):
Viljadiili:
Olen itse hieman hämmentynyt ryssän logiikasta. Luulevatko he, että heti kun eivät ole tarkastamassa viljalasteja, niin nämä viljalaivat shippaavat aseita nonstoppina mustalle merelle? Vai odottivatko että viljan kuljetuksia jatkamalla länsi lopettaa aseavun ukrainalle?
- Ryssä ei ymmärrä mitä saa irti viljadiilistä
- Ryssä ei myöskään ymmärrä mikä on rauhan ehtona
- Eikä ymmärrä miten kauttakulku toimii.
Mobilisaatio voi olla hallinnollisesti ohi, mutta niitä toimittamattomia lappusia on kirjoiteltu vinot pinot. Eli eiköhän niitä toimitella kun mobilisoitavat löydetään. Vähän kuin tuomio, ei se poistu tuomitun katoamisella vaan laitetaan toimeen kun tavoitetaan.
Mobilisaatio:
- Ryssä ruminttailee:
-> Tietokannat yhdistetään ja jaetaan valtion virastojen kesken
-> Käytetään hyödyksi mobilisaatiossa, vaikkapa poliittsen suuntaumuksen perusteella
- Se, että mobilisoiduilla ja poliitikoilla ei ole sama näkemys asioista on tulenarka asia.
- Putte sanonut että mobilisaatio suoritettu loppuun, mutta tästä ei ole mitään kirjallista lakitekstiä, ryssä hermoilee että putte huijaa-puijaa.
- Mietteitä, että porkkanan tarjoamisen tehokkuus meni jo, nyt rakennellaan raippaa.
Tämä on kyllä niin klassinen tapa saada valta katoamaan, noin kaikki diktaattorit sortuu tähän. Eli vallan kolmijaon murentamiseen. Kun Zaari keskittää itselleen poliittisen, tuomio ja täytäänpanovallan niin käy huonosti. Yleensä Zaari on kärsimätön joten kolmijaon perusteet ohitetaan ja jokainen kolmesta oppii tekemään mita nyt Zaaria huvittaa käskyttää. Häiriötilanteissa nuo kolme tahoa yleenäs myös sitten huomaavat että sitä Zaaria tarvita, voi ihan itte keksiä mitä tekee. Raja-aidat on jo aikaisemmin kaadettu Zaarin toimesta niin kukas niitä nyt sitten pystyttäisi. Näin Zaarin käsikassaroista tuleekin Zaarin syöjät kun tulee vähän huonommat ajat.Rajua RUMINTtiä.
Päänostot:
- Wagneriiteistä tämän mukaan hieman päälle 31% on vankilasta viimeaikoina rekryttyjä.
- Armeijan ja PMC:n/Prigorzhinin välinen konflikti käy edelleen kuumana. Prigo PR-kamppanjoi kovasti.
- Wagnerin tunnettu tapa ratkaista riitoja asevoimien edustajien kanssa on vain ampua nämä, ei jälkiseuraumuksia. Asevoimat eivät tästä tykkää.
- Arvellaan, että Putte ei pysty enää kauaa tasapainoilla armeijan edustajien ja Prigorzhin/Kadyrov liittouman välillä.
Twitterissä kerrotaan myös autioituneistq venäläisten tiesulu(i)sta Hersonissa, joten jotain lienee nyt menossa: