https://tass.ru/politika/23678807
Voisko olla niinkin, että burjatit sun muut kirkiisit on jo katoava luononvara ja nyt on pakko rekrytä jo sieltä kaupungista auringonkukan siementä, vaikka sitä on koitettu välttää?Tuore artikkeli jonka mukaan ryssän rekrytointi Moskovassa on ollut viime aikoina onnistuneempaa kuin aikaisemmin - ELI useampi allekirjoittaa sopimuksen kuin aikaisemmin, tässä on kuva päiväkohtaisesta rekrytoinnista ja viime aikoina numero on yli 100 per päivä (artikkeli julkaistu 11.4.2025):
Similarly, @verstka_media reports that recruitment in Moscow increased in March and April.
Their sources say that financial motivations remain the driver, including those who want to receive the large signing bonus before the war ends.
https://verstka.media/v-moskve-rezko-vyroslo-chislo-zhelayushhih-podpisat-kontrakt-s-minoborony
https://verstka.media/v-moskve-rezko-vyroslo-chislo-zhelayushhih-podpisat-kontrakt-s-minoborony
"Apparently, we will fight until the end": the number of people wishing to sign a contract with the Ministry of Defense has sharply increased in Moscow
The city authorities plan to increase the volume of advertising and propaganda for contract service in the army
Editorial staff of "Layout"
Text
April 11, 2025
The number of people wishing to sign a contract with the Ministry of Defense is growing in Moscow, according to closed statistics from the Unified Selection Point , which Verstka studied. The growth began in the second half of March. In April, the number of new contract soldiers already exceeded similar figures for previous months. Nevertheless, Moscow authorities promise to further increase the flow of volunteers at the beginning of next week, Verstka's sources say. They plan to attract new contract soldiers through additional advertising and campaigning.
Every day more than a hundred people leave Moscow for war
The rate of recruitment of new contract soldiers in Moscow in the first week of April broke records for similar periods of the previous three months, Verstka found out. From April 1 to 10, 993 people signed contracts with the Ministry of Defense through the recruiting center on Yablochkova Street. For comparison: in the first ten days of March, 499 people signed them, in February - 503, and in January - 341 people.
The flow of people wishing to sign a contract in Moscow began to increase sharply on March 17, according to statistics from the Unified Selection Point. If in previous days several dozen people a day passed through the point, then since mid-March - more than a hundred. The increase in demand for service in the Russian army was preceded by news about the liberation of part of the territories of the Kursk region occupied by the Armed Forces of Ukraine and the negotiation process between Russia and Ukraine.
Since the beginning of the year, more than 6.3 thousand people have signed contracts with the Ministry of Defense in Moscow. According to a source of Verstka in the Moscow mayor's office, despite the continuing growth in the number of new contract soldiers, the authorities intend to increase the flow even more in the coming weeks.
"There's a movement that there's going to be a wave," says Verstka's source. "Although now 100+ people [sign contracts with the Defense Ministry] every day, and that's a lot, but there's information that even more will come starting Monday, because district standards, quotas, and some volunteers have been hired. It's clear that the typesetters who stand on the street have also become more active."
Number of people signed up for contract service in Moscow in 2025
People will be motivated with the help of patriotic propaganda
The Moscow authorities will not increase payments for signing a contract or motivate people with money, says a source at the mayor's office of Verstka. According to the source, they intend to compensate for the monetary motivation with patriotic appeals. "Budgets are not made of rubber," he says.
How much do contract soldiers get paid in Moscow and the regions?
Expand ↓
Another source of Verstka in the State Budgetary Institution “Zhilishnik” claims that the institution has already received orders from the mayor’s office to increase propaganda for sending people to war.
"At the end of [last] year, they suddenly started to curtail all the campaigning, banners and leaflets, but now they are ramping it up again," he says. "We will hang new banners, volunteers will go to the districts with leaflets and propaganda. Nobody is saying why. But, apparently, we will fight until the thaw."
A screen advertising contract military service, Omsk, October 28, 2024. Photo: Alexey Malgavko/Reuters.
An employee close to the Moscow Metro management also notes that campaign groups are ramping up their work at individual metro stations. According to him, new recruitment points for the war opened at the Lyublino, Savyolovskaya, Rimskaya, Kuzminki and Belorusskaya Koltsevaya stations on April 1. The points operate during the morning rush hour - from 9 to 11. The total passenger flow of the stations is estimated at more than 132.5 million people entering and leaving by the end of 2024, according to data from the Moscow government's open information portal.
"Every day in the morning [on the way to work], even several people ask me if I want to sign a contract. It's clear that they have become very active," says a source of Verstka in the Moscow mayor's office.
Several recruiters who are recruiting for the war, who were contacted by Verstka, neither confirmed nor denied the increase in quotas for new contract soldiers. “We are not panicking, everything is in normal mode,” said one of them.
Two more recruiters confirmed that the flow of volunteers is at least not decreasing. "I stood there for two days, at the Timiryazevskaya [metro station], there were a lot of people, quite a few for sure," said the Mosmetro recruiter.
The potential growth of user interest in contract service is also shown by search query data. In March, the phrase "contract for SVO" was searched for in Yandex in Moscow about 31 thousand times. In February and January, this figure was lower - about 28 and 29 thousand search queries.
At the same time, as Verstka noted, since the end of March the volume of campaigning for contract service in Telegram chats and channels has also increased. In the first week of April alone, the phrase “recruitment for contract service” was mentioned in approximately 7 thousand publications. For comparison, this phrase was mentioned almost as many times in the full months of January and February — in 7.3 and 6.8 thousand messages in channels and chats, respectively.
In March, the number of mentions of "recruitment for a contract for the SVO" in Telegram became a record: it was found in 21.7 thousand publications. Moreover, the number of mentions began to grow closer to the end of the month: from the 20th of March on weekdays, their number did not fall below 700, and on March 24, the number of mentions became a record since the beginning of the year and was found in 1855 posts and messages. During the same period - from the second half of March - an increase in the number of new contract soldiers was recorded in the statistics of the Unified Selection Point in Moscow.
"Jump on the last train"
Discussing what motivates Moscow volunteers to join the army today, a source for Verstka who is involved in their selection notes that this includes, among other things, the successes of the Russian army on the battlefield, propaganda, and the desire for revenge. The selector attributes the liberation of the Kursk region to the first point, and the pro-government media reports of possible crimes by Ukrainian soldiers to the second.
An advertisement for contract military service in St. Petersburg on March 9, 2025. Photo: Artem Pryakhin/SOPA Images via Reuters Connect.
"They [volunteers] say a lot: 'Look at what they're doing,' 'Look there, look here,'" says a source for Verstka who is involved in the selection of contract soldiers. "The Russian media, which take the positions of the Russian state and support the president's main line, naturally demonstrate everything in such a way that they highlight these stories that have an effect."
Another reason, in his opinion, is the number of people in the circle of potential contract soldiers who have been to war: died or returned with injuries. This, as the interlocutor of "Verstka" says, also motivates people to go to "SVO".
“The number of candidates who say, literally, ‘everyone is there, I have a brother/in-law/friends there’ or ‘my brother/father/son died’ is very large, maybe 80 percent,” he claims.
However, according to the recruiter, the most common reason for signing a contract is still money.
"The vast majority of our candidates earn less than one hundred thousand rubles a month," he says. "About half earn around 50 thousand rubles a month. Almost every one of them says that they want to resolve financial issues, want new housing, and given the current structure of the economy in our country, it turns out that there are fewer and fewer options every day, and people choose the remaining option, although it is, of course, quite risky."
One of the recruiters, in a conversation with a Verstka correspondent, notes that some of the volunteers who have been signing contracts recently are trying to jump on the “last train” before the probable announcement of a truce and earn money.
“Well, the payments there are 1.9 million,” he says. “When you sign a contract, the Ministry of Defense gives you 400 thousand. Then another 210 thousand monthly, the Ministry of Defense allocates this. And another 50 thousand in addition to this money. I sent two people at the beginning of March, they were given tasks twice, they went somewhere, their [salary] was almost 600 thousand per month. There is interest here.”
Cover: Dmitry Osinnikov
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Janis Kluge on tehnyt saman havainnon, tosin hänen otantansa on laajempi: data on 37 alueelta (mukaanlukien tämä Verstkan tuore artikkeli) ja hän ekstrapoloi niiden perusteella millainen kokonaismäärä voisi olla koko Venäjän osalta:
Driven by high sign-on bonuses and speculation that the war will soon be over, more than 1,000 men join the Russian military every day.
Several independent reports from Russia point to this high recruitment rate.
My dataset of 37 Russian regions seems to confirm it.
(hän lisäsi kommenttina tämän: The year end / early year fluctuating is mostly due to budget seasonality, I should have marked it in the chart. LÄHDE)
Katso liite: 121259
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The method: I extract regional spending on sign-on bonuses (37 regions publish it) and use the size of regional bonuses to estimate the pace of recruitment.
The result appears to be consistent with a recent report by Vyorstka, which looked at actual recruitment data from Moscow.
Katso liite: 121260
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I estimate that total spending on sign-on bonuses alone is currently about 2 billion rubles per day ($24 million).
If this continues for a year, it would be 0.4% of GDP (!).
On average, regions spend ~2.7% of their total budget on these bonuses.
Katso liite: 121261
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Here is the link to the full analysis:
https://janiskluge.substack.com/p/treacherous-hope-peace-talks-and
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Tämä ei ole uusi tieto, sinänsä, vaan samaa on nähty koko alkuvuoden 2025 ajan ELI kuvitelma siitä että sota olisi loppumassa "pian" saa hätäiset kiirehtimään ja allekirjoittamaan sopimuksen, koska kuvittelevat että alkaa olla viimeiset hetket käsillä "tehdä helppoa rahaa tämän sodan kustannuksella".
Näin ainakin on perusteltu tätä rekrytointinumeroiden kasvua.
Mietin aikaisemmin kun tästä oli puhetta tässä ketjussa että mitenhän pitkään tämä meno jatkuu, varsinkin kun "rauhanneuvottelut" sakkaavat ja sota jatkaa samoilla raiteilla kuin tähänkin mennessä. ELI missä vaiheessa nämä "tienaajat" tulevat toisiin ajatuksiin ja rekrytoinnin numerot kääntyvät laskuun.
Selvästi näin ei ole vielä käynyt.
Janis Klugen ekstrapoloinnin perusteella rekrytointimäärä voisi olla tällä hetkellä 1200-1400 per päivä, mikä tarkoittaisi 36000 - 42000 kpl per kuukausi (jos lasketaan 30 päivää per kuukausi). HUOM: kuten kuvaajasta nähdään, tämä ei ole mitenkään poikkeuksellinen määrä vaan ollaan oltu vastaavalla tasolla jo loppukesästä 2024 alkaen.
Hyvä liksa sekä allekirjoituspalkkio ja oletus sodan nopeasta loppumisesta on tainnut nostaa värväysnumeroita monenkin lukemani uutisen mukaan. Katsotaan, jos Trump ei saakaan pakotettua Ukrainaa pakkorauhaan, että mitä sen jälkeen tapahtuu. Kun sota ei olekaan taas loppumassa, ja cargo 200 luvut pysyvät nykyisillä tasoilla.Voisko olla niinkin, että burjatit sun muut kirkiisit on jo katoava luononvara ja nyt on pakko rekrytä jo sieltä kaupungista auringonkukan siementä, vaikka sitä on koitettu välttää?
www.iltalehti.fi
www.verkkouutiset.fi
Ainoa herutetuista uutuuksista, mitä sodan alkupuolella vissiin nähtiin oli vissiin BMPT-72 ja sitäkin tyyliin muutama kpl. Siinäkin T-72 alustana eli uutta lähinnä tornin osalta. Tuhottu nekin.
BYYURI ZORIA
Shipments of industrial lubricants to Russia in 2022-2024. Source: dekleptocracy.substack.com
zenäjällä lienee paljon miehiä joiden elämässä ei ole oikein minkäänlaista näköalaa parempaan. Eletään jossain läävässä, käydään töissä jossain perslävessä paskalla palkalla jonka senkin maksu tökkii. Sitten tulee mahdollisuus saada monen vuoden palkka hetkessä jne. Kiusaus muodostuu suureksi.
Niin luulisi, mutta ryssä on mitokondriotasolle asti fatalistinen. Ja systeemi on tehokkaasti jakanut porukan niihin, joilla on jonkun verran sanottavaa ja niihin, joilla on vain toteltavaa.
... ja propaganda toitottaa kuin myö niin vapautetaan millon natsejen tai kapitalismin ikeestä kaikki, nekin jotka ei sitä halua ... kansa uskoo ja pakkaa reppujaan... Joskus Viipurissa käyneenä käyny mummoni asuntoa kattomassa, siellä Irina igorinsa kanssa onnellisena eleli mummon kämpässä, ku se heille oli vapautettu...Kertovatten kuin ihanat tapetit löyty seinästä remontin yhteydessä... Minä valokuvan näytin, kuin mummoni nuorena neitinä halus uudet tapetit.... no se siitä...
Eikö meidän kannattaisi mielummin laittaa pieni lisätilaus Davids Slingistä ja samalla seurailla nyt miten tuo Eurooppalainen SAMP/T menestyy Ukrainassa? Ukrainalle toki järkevää laittaa lisätilauksia nyt Patriotteihin.Ukraina valmis ostamaan 10 Patriot-järjestelmää 15 miljardilla dollarilla | Verkkouutiset
Ukraina valmis ostamaan 10 Patriot-järjestelmää 15 miljardilla dollarilla | Verkkouutiset
Kelpais meillekin
No juu. En minäkään Patriota ehdottaisi jos niitä pitäisi ostaa omalla rahalla (Ukraina saanee nuo rahat). Sikäli juuri niin kuin kirjoitit.
Epäilen että kyseessä on isolta osin ajan ostaminen neuvotteluihin, tuo on niin massiivinen osto että sillä on varmasti vaikutusta businessmieheen.
Kun lukee raportin läpi niin tämä kiinalainen Richfull haisee hyvin pahasti Kiinan valtion toiminnalle, eli varmistetaan omavaraisuus voiteluaineissa. Nyt vain tuota käytetään myös kahteen muuhun eli länsimarkkinoiden valtaukseen ja ryssän pakotteiden kiertoon. Epäilen vahvasti että Richfull olisi mitenkään pakoteherkkä millään tapaa. Lisäksihän kinkeillä on jo täysi kauppasota USA:n kanssa, tullit on mätkitty satoihin prosentteihin.Mielenkiintoista: tämän tutkimuksen mukaan ryssän sotakone on hyvin suuresti riippuvainen yhdestä voiteluaineiden toimittajasta (joka on kiinalainen ja hyvin suuri yhtiö):
Dekleptocracy identifies key vulnerability in Russia's military supply chain: lubricants
Russia heavily depends on a single Chinese company for industrial lubricant additives vital for military equipment.
Dekleptocracy identifies key vulnerability in Russia’s military supply chain: lubricants
Russia heavily depends on a single Chinese company for industrial lubricant additives vital for military equipment.
14/04/2025
5 MINUTE READ
Russian major tank producer Uralvagonzavod plant’s production line. Photo via news.dialog.ua
Dekleptocracy identifies key vulnerability in Russia’s military supply chain: lubricants
Last month, Kristofer Harrison of the Dekleptocracy Alliance, announced that his project identified a powerful but unused sanction that could significantly impact Russia’s military capabilities in Ukraine. According to the report, Russia’s critical industrial vulnerability is its dependence on specialized lubricant additives essential for military and industrial equipment. While Russia has abundant oil resources, it lacks the chemical industry sophistication to produce these crucial additives domestically.
This comes amid the ongoing Russian invasion of Ukraine, as the US President Donald Trump pivots towards Russia. Currently, Trump pushes Kyiv to enter talks with Moscow – allegedly to end the war, while pressuring Ukraine to accept a colonial-style minerals deal granting the US exclusive access to the country’s natural resources.
The report notes that if US President Donald Trump truly aimed to bring Russia to the negotiating table, he has leverage available.
Dekleptocracy researchers discovered that when Western companies withdrew from Russia in 2022, the country experienced “a long-lasting and severe shortage of industrial lubricant precursor chemicals.” The report reveals that currently a single Chinese producer, Xinxiang Richful Lubricant Additive Company, stepped in to fill this gap and now serves as Russia’s primary supplier.
Chinese company vulnerability creates leverage
The report identifies that only four companies dominate the global industrial lubricant additives market – three American (Chevron Oronite, Lubrizol, Afton) and one British (Infineum). When these companies left Russia, Richful seized the opportunity.
Shipments of industrial lubricants to Russia in 2022-2024. Source: dekleptocracy.substack.com
Importantly, Richful operates within US jurisdiction, making it vulnerable to sanctions.
The Chinese firm reportedly secured Shell Marine Oil as a client in January 2024 and aims to add ExxonMobil to its portfolio.
Limited alternatives for Russia
The report addresses whether Russia could simply source these additives elsewhere, concluding there’s “no quick fix.” It highlights that lubricant formulations must be precisely matched to specific base oils and engines, making substitution time-consuming.
While Belarus-based EddieTek produces similar additives, its capacity of 40,000 metric tons annually falls far short of Russia’s import needs of approximately 82,679 tons. The report suggests Russia likely already includes EddieTek’s production in its domestic consumption figures.
Report offers four-step strategy to Trump
The Dekleptocracy Alliance outlines a four-point strategy that Trump could implement:
- Sanction Richful to cut off its US expansion, blocking Western business opportunities and access to capital markets.
- Pressure China to stop supporting Richful’s exports to Russia, suggesting Beijing “won’t risk a broader trade war over a single company.”
- Expose Richful’s deals with Iran, as records indicate the company also supplies the Iranian market.
- Target Richful’s supply chain by disrupting the flow of key raw materials needed for producing chemical additives.
Significance for Russia’s war machine
The report emphasizes this approach could effectively pressure Putin without direct military confrontation.
The author suggests this leverage would be more effective than “vague claims about ending the war overnight” and question why Trump hasn’t utilized this option despite his administration allegedly being aware of it.
