Razumkov Centre (Centrum Centre) julkaisi eilen mielipidetutkimuksen Ukrainalaisten mieliipiteistä koskien ajankohtaisia aiheita.
Public opinion on social and political situation in Ukraine,
electoral orientations of citizens
The results of sociological research
Research conducted by the Centre Sociological Service Centre from May 2 to 29April year 2014.Were interviewed December 2012 respondents aged 18 years in all regions of Ukraine except the Crimea with a sample representative of the adult population in key socio-demographic indicators.The sample survey was constructed as a multistage, random selection of respondents with quota at the last stage. Theoretical sampling error (without design effect) is less than 2.3% with a probability of 0.95.
The project is implemented with financial support of the Government of Canada provided through the Department of Foreign Affairs, Trade and Development (DFATD).
Its contents are solely the authors and do not necessarily reflect those of the Government of Canada.
Linkki putiikin sivuille tässä:
http://www.razumkov.org.ua/ukr/news.php?news_id=472
Googlen käännöstä voi lukea täältä:
https://translate.googleusercontent...le.doc&usg=ALkJrhgZwZteDZ3RXMdQpmAw-pMcwU6shg
Käännös osasta tutkimusta englanniksi on täällä:
http://www.reddit.com/r/UkrainianCo...rowd_source_important_political_poll_done_in/
Ja kopioin sen myös tähän alle:
2012 participants; all regions sans Crimea participated; held 25-29 April, 2.3% statistical error
IMPORTANT: funded by Canada government through DFATD
"Don't know" / "Hard to answer" percentages not included
Are pro-Ukrainian nationalists a threat?
19.7% (East - 39%; South - 28%) - yes
73.9% (West - 97%; East - 51%) - no
Is Ukrainian police a threat?
12.6% - yes
75.9% - no
Are pro-Russian extremists a threat?
49.3% (West - 61.4%, Central - 63.4%, South - 52.3%, East - 27%) - yes
41.5% (East - 59%) - no
Are Russian armed forces / agents a threat?
50.5% (West - 70.5%, Central - 65.1%, South - 47.9%, East - 24.8%) - yes
39.8% - no
Wish of Yanukovych back:
4.9% - yes
90.3% - no
Support of raising Russian flags above administrative buildings:
"1% West to 10% East" - yes
85.8% - no
Opinion on Russian involvement in Donetsk / Luhansk rebels:
57.2% - direct Russian involvement
18.5% - no Russian involvement
24.4% - mixed opinion
Opinion on capture of administrative buildings by rebels:
47% - terrorist act (23.8% East, 27.6% South)
16.6% - people's rebellion (34% East, 21.5% South)
21.4% - both
4.4% - none
Opinion of methods to be used by government when dealing with separatists:
38% - both diplomacy and force
28% - only diplomacy
22% - only force
2% - ignore the situation
How was your opinion on Russia impacted by Crimea annexation:
67.1% - opinion got worse after Crimea annexation
2.3% - got better
21.7% - unchanged
Opinion on Putin:
70.8% - negative
11.4% - positive
14.6% - neutral
Opinion on Russian government: 67.6% / 10.7% / 17.2%
Opinion on Russian Gosduma (parliament): 66.6% / 10.2% / 17.9%
Opinion on Russian citizens: 16.6% / 44.9% / 32.5%
Opinion on whether Ukraine and Russia are at war:
56.4% - agree
from those who agree:
- 77.1% blame Russia
- 4.5% blame Ukraine
- 14.5% blame both
28.5% - disagree
Probability of Russian invasion to mainland Ukraine:
6.6% - strongly believe
38.7% - probable
24.8% - unprobable
14.5% - strongly disbelieve
Actions in case of Russian invasion:
13.9% - will join Ukrainian army
0.6% - will join Russian army
10.3% - will join guerilla warfare against Russia
1.1% - ditto against Ukraine
39.3% - will support Ukrainian army
2.1% - will support Russian army
4.7% - will leave to calmer regions of Ukraine
2.4% - will leave Ukraine
25.5% - won't do anything
Electoral polls:
Presidential elections:
Participation:
52.6% - sure to participate
25.3% - will probably participate
Breakdown by candidate (left number - total percentage, right - percentage of those who are sure to participate):
Poroshenko 33.3% 47.7%
Tymoshenko 10% 14.8%
Tihipko 4.9% 6.7%
Grytsenko 4.0% 5.6%
Symonenko 4.1% 4.5%
Lyashko 3.7% 5.0%
Dobkin 3.4% 4.2%
Bogomolets 3.0% 4.0%
Tyahnybok 1.2% 1.9%
Tsaryov 1.2% 1.6% [editor's note: irrelevant since he's now off the campaign and hanging out in Separatist HQ]
Grynenko 1.2% 1.5%
Changes from early April: Poroshenko 28.2% -> 33.3%, Tymoshenko 13% -> 10%, others unchanged
Second tour: Poroshenko sure to win any possible opponents
Pariament elections:
Participation:
46.1% - sure to participate
28.6% - will probably participate
Breakdown by party:
Solidarnist' [Poroshenko] 21.7% 31.1%
Batkivschyna [Tymoshenko] 13.2% 20.3%
UDAR [Klytchko] 8.2% 12.2%
Strong Ukraine [Tihipko] 5.4% 7.6%
Communists [Symonenko] 5.5% 6.5%
Radical party [Lyashko] 3.9% 5.2%
Svoboda [Tyahnybok] 3.6% 5.2%
Party of Regions 2.9% 4.0%
Right Sector 1.0% 1.6%
