Ukrainan konflikti/sota

[ctg]

For the advocates of Ostpolitik – the new “eastern policy” of rapprochement towards the Soviet Union and its allies including East Germany, launched the previous year under chancellor Willy Brandt – this was a moment of supreme political consequence. Schiller, an economist by training, was to describe it as part of an effort at “political and human normalisation with our Eastern neighbours”.

The sentiment was laudable, but for some observers it was a potentially dangerous move. Before the signing, Nato had discreetly written to the German economics ministry to inquire about the security implications. Norbert Plesser, head of the gas department at the ministry, had assured Nato that there was no cause for alarm: Germany would never rely on Russia for even 10% of its gas supplies.

‘We were all wrong’: how Germany got hooked on Russian energy

The long read: Germany has been forced to admit it was a terrible mistake to become so dependent on Russian oil and gas. So why did it happen?

www.theguardian.com

The foreign minister, Annalena Baerbock, says Germany failed to listen to the warnings from countries that had once suffered under Russia’s occupation, such as Poland and the Baltic states. For Norbert Röttgen, a former environment minister and member of Angela Merkel’s Christian Democrat Union (CDU), the German government bowed to industry forces pressing for cheap gas “all too easily”, while “completely ignoring the geopolitical risks”.

In recent weeks even Frank-Walter Steinmeier, the German president, a totemic figure of the Social Democrats and greatest German advocate of the trade “bridge” between east and west, has recanted. He admits he misread Russia’s intentions as he pursued the construction of a new undersea gas pipeline. “My adherence to Nord Stream 2 was clearly a mistake,” he told German media in April. “We held on to bridges that Russia no longer believed in, and that our partners warned us about.”

Chancellor Schröder, with growing confidence, promoted the idea of a strategic partnership with Russia. He invited the new Russian president, Vladimir Putin, to address the Bundestag in 2001, where he won over his audience by giving the speech in fluent German and declaring “the cold war is over”.

In this favourable political climate, pro-Russian German lobbyists such as Klaus Mangold, chairman of the powerful German Committee on Eastern European Economic Relations, pursued the construction of yet another gas pipeline, this time taking gas from Vyborg under the Baltic Sea to Germany – the first Nord Stream.

Schröder has since been singled out for his role in creating Germany’s dependence on Russian energy, and getting very rich in the process. But the distinguished former German diplomat Wolfgang Ischinger recently argued that Schröder should not take the blame for giving the go-ahead to Nord Stream 20 years ago: most German politicians, he told the New York Times in April, did not question whether they were getting into an unhealthy dependence on Russian energy

Following the 2014 invasion, serious German media such as Frankfurter Allgemeine Zeitung published lengthy articles looking at the options for how Germany could wean itself off its dangerous dependency on Russian energy. Many of the proposals, such as new liquid gas terminals to allow Germany to import gas from other countries such as Qatar and the US, are the same ones under discussion now, which shows how little actual diversification was achieved. When I spoke to a Qatari energy official last month, he recounted how they spent five years trying to break into the German energy market, only to find their route blocked at every turn.

For, one way or another, a reckoning is still needed.

 

[proileri]

Mistäs nyt tuulee, ensin Iris- T ja nyt tämä?

https://twitter.com/x/status/1531957916420517888

Scholzin palli horjuu ja puolue ottaa miinusta gallupeissa niin vaikeampi pistää vastaan niille tahoille jotka haluavat tukea Ukrainaa.

Mutta veikkaan että myöskin kyseessä diili Yhdysvaltojen kanssa missä osa toimitettavista MLRS tulee Saksan varastoista. Telaversiot kestäisi kauemmin roudata jenkeistä. En tiedä tuleeko jenkeiltä jotain Saksaan korvaamaan.

 

[ctg]

The official Telegram channel of Ukraine’s Mariupol authority has again posted accusations of war crimes being committed by pro-Russian occupation forces since they took full control of the city after the surrender of Ukrainian troops at the Azovstal steel plant. They say:

In the Mariupol district, the occupiers imprison and shoot Ukrainian volunteers and officials. All of them refused to cooperate with collaborators and the occupation authorities.

The fake Donetsk People’s Republic court sentenced the head of one of the Azov villages to ten years in prison. At least one civil servant was executed by firing squad.

Dozens of volunteers are also being held in the Olenivka prison. In March-April, they helped evacuate Mariupol residents and tried to deliver food and water to the blocked city.

A Ukrainian judge, who has heard several high-profile separatist cases, is also awaiting the verdict of the fake republic. There are reports of torture.

Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelenskiy has claimed 243 children have been killed so far in the war and 200,000 children have been forcefully taken to Russia, including children from orphanages, children taken with their parents and those separated from their families.

Zelenskiy made note of International Children’s Day during his nightly video address to the nation on Wednesday, claiming 243 children have been killed, 446 have been wounded and 139 are missing.

Speaking in relation to the 200,000 children believed to have been forcefully taken to Russia, he said:

The purpose of this criminal policy is not just to steal people but to make those who are deported forget about Ukraine and unable to return.
“Ukraine cannot be conquered, that our people will not surrender and our children will not become the property of the occupiers.”

Russia-Ukraine war latest: Zelenskiy says 243 children so far killed in war; Russia claims latest US weapons package is ‘direct provocation’ – live

Ukraine’s president claims 200,000 children have been forcefully taken to Russia; the US will supply Ukraine with medium-range rocket systems

www.theguardian.com

 

[ctg]

Stuffed toys represent the 243 Ukrainian children killed during Russian attacks on Ukraine.

School buses with toys and badges with names on seats are seen in during a symbolic event to honour the 243 children killed in the war.

 

[rty19]

https://twitter.com/x/status/1532282866293518336

 

[Heikkiv]

Totta, mutta M30/M31:iä lähtee HIMARSista 6kpl ja M270:sta 12kpl hyvin nopeasti, ja yhden ison HE- mällin sijaan osa voi kantaa "haulikkolatausta", jossa on räjähteen kaverina on jumalaton määrä volframikuulia. Näillä peittää äkkiä ison alueen ja aiheuttaa isoja ongelmia pehmeille kohteille.

Tuollainen kasetillinen "haulikkolatauksia" örkkikeskittymään, drone osoittamassa ja kuvaamassa. ai ai aijaa... Menisi täysin K18 asepornon puolelle. Toki videon katsoisin, mutta en mässäilevään sävyyn, ihan jumalattoman kamala paikka tuollainen vastaanottaa. Mutta itsehän aloittivat.

 

[ctg]

In a game of diplomatic cat and mouse, Russia and the west are coming up with similar if sometimes competing ideas for how Ukraine’s badly needed grain can be given safe passage through the Black Sea and on to the world markets. They are also competing to win the battle for world opinion if the plans collapse.

Both sides are busy diplomatically across Africa and the Middle East trying to portray their adversary as the culprit for spiralling food and fertiliser prices. Russia and Ukraine export more than a quarter of the world’s wheat, while Russia is the world’s top fertiliser exporter. The World Bank’s Fertiliser Price Index rose nearly 10% in the first quarter of 2022, to an all-time high in nominal terms.

Ukraine’s backlog of 20m tonnes of grain needs to be exported quickly to avoid a further explosion of food prices, and also to preserve the next Ukrainian harvest that currently cannot be sent to already full storage facilities.

Russia and the west compete to secure safe passage for Ukraine’s grain

Analysis: both sides agree grain must reach world markets soon but each wants to decide how

www.theguardian.com

If none of the sea-route options works, the only alternative is to intensify the use of existing and much more expensive routes that take grain on trucks through Poland to Baltic and Polish ports, or on barges down the Dnieper River to Romanian ports and finally via train to Poland. The option of taking grain by train through Belarus looks impossible due to Minsk’s demands for sanctions on potash to be lifted.

At the main crossing point into Romania there is a 20km backlog of trucks waiting to be inspected. A queue of 100 barges were at the Dnieper River waiting to get to the Black Sea. Only seven vessels were being cleared a day.

Apart from the humanitarian necessity to avoid famine, Draghi regards the risks to the west of spiralling bread prices, in terms of migratory flows, terrorism and political instability, as real and imminent. As one Italian official put it: “We have two weeks left to sort this or we face something very grave.”

kaksi viikkoa aikaa hoitaa UAn villaralli taikka hyvä ei seuraa

 

[rty19]

https://twitter.com/x/status/1532272542672617472

 

[Coffee Man]

Taistelukentillä vaaditaan joskus kekseliäisyyttä ja luovuutta

https://www.reddit.com/r/ukraine/comments/v31qp9/russian_soldier_fakes_being_killed_by_ukrainian/

 

[AoE]

Jännä kuulla että perus-jampat kadulla pitää Bulgariaa tai Turkkia liittolaisinaan. Kiina, Valkovenäjä ja Intiakin mainittu, mutta kukaan ei mainitse Syyriaa.

Tuli räkänaurut videon loppupuoliskolla 4:55 mummelille

 

[Coffee Man]

Taas yksi kaato...

Reddit - Dive into anything

www.reddit.com

 

[Coffee Man]

Valoa yön pimeyteen...

https://www.reddit.com/r/ukraine/comments/v2z5wf/ukraine_special_forces_ambushed_a_prorussian/

 

[ddude]

Pietarissa liikutellaan varastotason T80 vaunuja:

https://twitter.com/x/status/1532037720146694147

Nyt näkee jo päällepäin että on vanhaa varastoa liikkeellä.
Nää selkeästi enemmän ruosteessa kuin ne t-62:et mitkä oli viime viikolla junassa.
Näiden on pakko olla jostain ulkovarastosta.
Uskomatonta...

 

[ctg]

https://twitter.com/x/status/1532282866293518336

hieno modernisaatio

 

[ctg]

Denmark has voted overwhelmingly to join the EU’s common defence policy, becoming the last of the bloc’s members to sign up, as Russia’s invasion of Ukraine continues to reshape Europe’s security landscape.

The referendum on Wednesday, in which voters backed the government’s proposal by 66.9% to 33.1%, followed historic applications by Denmark’s previously non-aligned Nordic neighbours, Finland and Sweden, to join Nato last month.

Denmark votes overwhelmingly to join EU’s common defence policy

Government’s proposal to ditch opt-out backed by 66.9% to 33.1% in referendum following Russia’s invasion of Ukraine

www.theguardian.com

67 prossan kannatus EUn "puolustusliitolle"

“Tonight Denmark has sent a very important signal. To our allies in Europe and Nato, and to Putin,” she told cheering supporters on Wednesday evening after the result was published.

“We’re showing that when Putin invades a free country and threatens stability in Europe, we others pull together.

“Denmark now can partake in the European cooperation on defence and security. And for that I’m very, very happy.”

 

[ddude]

Ukrainalla pitäisi olla 700000 ukkoa rivissä oman ilmoituksen mukaan.
Silti Severodonetskissa usean lähteen mukaan ovat olleet selkeästi alakynnessä.
Ei pitäisi olla mahdollista vaikka joukkoja olisi keskitetty Khersoniin.
Mikähän mättää?

https://twitter.com/x/status/1532148603510210560

 

[runtik]

Silti Severodonetskissa usean lähteen mukaan ovat olleet selkeästi alakynnessä.
Ei pitäisi olla mahdollista vaikka joukkoja olisi keskitetty Khersoniin.
Mikähän mättää?

Näin nojatuolikenraalina en tapattaisi suurta määrää joukkoja alueella jossa on mottiuhka + vihollisen tykkitulta tulee kolmelta suunnalta.

Isompi joukko toisella puolella reservissä jos pitää avata mottia. Muuten vetäytyminen, mutta viholliselle tappioita aiheuttaen sekä vastustajan etenemistä viivyttäen.

Ajan käyttäisin uusien, taempien asemien valmisteluun ja viimeisenä vetäytyvät henkilöt sitten vähäksi aikaa huoltoon ja pois rintamalta etulinjavastuusta.

 

[Calcio15]

Ukrainalla pitäisi olla 700000 ukkoa rivissä oman ilmoituksen mukaan.
Silti Severodonetskissa usean lähteen mukaan ovat olleet selkeästi alakynnessä.
Ei pitäisi olla mahdollista vaikka joukkoja olisi keskitetty Khersoniin.
Mikähän mättää?

https://twitter.com/x/status/1532148603510210560

Aseiden puute. Tykistö ja tykiatön torjunta.

 

[aj77]

Jestas mikä Dejavu tulee tästä Himarskeskustelusta. Olenko ainoa jonka mielestä me kävimme tämän jo huhtikuun lopussa jolloin viimeksi (tuli) tai piti tulla kaiken muuttava asejärjestelmä? Viikko sitten piti tulla MLRS, mutta sitä ei tullutkaan joten nyt kaiken kääntävä asejärestelmä on Himars. Meidän media vetää aivan päätöntä juttua ja samalla ne kyllästyttää googlen hakutulokset että voisin hakea tietoa siitä kun edellisen kerran tuli tai piti tulla Himars. Täältä forumihaulla löytyy kyllä huhtikuun lopusta nämä samat jutut ja jopa linkkejä kuinka olisivat jo toiminnassakin olleet. Miten se nyt on?

 

[ctg]

Mikähän mättää?

Jotain alueita on vaikea pitää, mutta tämä sama ongelma ei ole yhtään sen helpompi kun toisinpäin mennään.