Kahden ryssäläisen Telegram OSINT-kanavan kirjoitukset Snake Islandin iskuista. Lainaan tekstin kokonaisuudessaan, vaikka onkin pitkä (jottei ole pakko klikata Twitteriin ja tihrustaa tuosta kuvasta):
RUS TG Source #1:
The topic of confrontation for Serpent Island still requires serious attention. For the past few days, the Armed Forces of Ukraine have been conducting systematic fire attacks on the objects of the RF Armed Forces located on the island. One ZPRK "Pantsir" was shot down. At the same time, there are a number of tactical features:
- For example, the priority use of cannon artillery and MLRS against targets previously explored by NATO means, which provokes the consumption of anti-aircraft guided missiles, after which an air raid can be carried out, including on nearby gas producing installations, and its own Bayraktar UAV is also unhindered.
- In turn, these actions provoke the Black Sea Fleet to carry out a regular supply of ammunition to the garrison of the island, as well as to keep a certain number of ships under cover.
By this time, the latter are already in the zone of destruction of the reconnaissance and strike contour of the Bayraktar UAV - anti-ship missiles "Harpoon" or "Neptune", which has already shown a certain effectiveness.
RUS TG Source #2:
We would like to add a few words to our colleague (Analyst #1) on Zmijny Island:
- If we evaluate the nature of the shelling in recent days, it can be noted that the Armed Forces of Ukraine are acting according to proven tactics against the Russian garrison on the island.
- At night, at least one Bayraktar drone begins to operate outside the reach of air defense systems. It monitors what is happening on the island and marks targets, primarily anti-aircraft missile systems.
- After that, cannon artillery and MLRS begin to methodically strike. For the most part, this is non-aimed fire. But the task of the first strikes is not to hit objects, but to force air defense units to spend ammunition on flying projectiles.
- The next stage, which begins closer to the morning, already includes targeted strikes in the hope that the Russian military personnel on the island will be tired due to constant tension at night. And this can take up to several hours. And "Bayraktar" visually observes this all the time, noticing the nature of the actions of the RF Armed Forces and looking for weaknesses in the defense.
- At the same time, the activity of using artillery systems and MLRS in this direction has changed for everyone. If a couple of days ago shelling was carried out with a low frequency (residents of the Odessa region spoke about breaks of 30 minutes), now the fire is more intense with shorter intervals (up to 5 minutes).
- The initial 30-minute gap could be attributed to an outdated version of the American M777 howitzers, which takes quite a long time to reload. Now there is an opinion, including in the Ukrainian information field, about the use of newer weapons systems, including the British M270 MLRS or the French CAESAR self-propelled guns.
Be that as it may, the shelling will continue, and they will increase incrementally. The goal of the Ukrainian forces is to deprive the garrison of air defense and ammunition, and only after that to carry out the landing. And in order to prevent the replenishment of warehouses on the island, next strikes on gas production platforms at the Odessa field are possible.
Uri Kikaski kommentoi tuota 30 minuutin taukoa tätä viestiä seuraavassa viestissään tällä tavalla:
The reference to a 30-minute interlude between artillery volleys is most likely due to "shoot and move" tactics to avoid counterbattery fire from RUS precision weapons.
yle.fi
