Eilisiltainen Aristovich. Hersonin alueella nyt 30 ryssän BTG, joista 22-25 joen oikealla puolella. UA odottaa hyökkäystä ja on valmis siihen. Huonompi vaihtoehto on jos ryssä asettuu siilipuolustukseen.
Battlefield update, Missiles, Video of destroying HIMARS, Drones, Taiwan, Kosovo -Serbia, Olenivka massacre, Mykolaiv bombings
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Arestovychin sanomisista on eri kommentoijat eri mieltä, mutta hänellä on ainakin teoriassa pääsy oikeaan tietoon (omalta puolen) - toki eri asia mitä on lupa jakaa ja missä muodossa, joskus voi olla järkevää myös liioitella tai vähätellä. Maskirovkaksi voisi sanoa. Poimin tuosta minua eniten kiinnostaneet kohdat alle, alleviivasin muutamat niistä
Kherson:
3
armies (about 30 BTGs) deployed, command posts on both sides. Right bank about 22-25 BTGs.
plans offensive on Kryvyi Rih and Mykolaiv. Citizens should not worry,
forces are not battle-ready – inflated personnel, many missing, low morale and bad equipment.
objective is to prepare until 6th of August, but offensive could be delayed. Expecting
to advance in 2 opposing directions, and get stopped. It would be more complicated, if
would choose not to attack, and only defend.
has enough forces to stop
. Enough weapons to stop
offensive, and create conditions for
offensive. Yesterday
train with 40 carts was destroyed.
has specific intent, the more arrives there, the better.
Missiles:
4 more M142 HIMARS,
MARS II MLRS.
next aid package contains of missiles and artillery ammo.
has obtained anti-radar missiles for aircraft.
ATACMS missiles with range of 300km promised
It would be nice to have all weapons in double amount. Currently
can launch 168 missiles in single volley. There are 200 operational level
targets
Missiles could be intercepted by Tor air defense system, but they have limited range and can’t be deployed everywhere.
is also using tricks to overcome such defenses. This is cat and mouse game, both sides changing methods, trying to guess other side methods. Possibly some have been intercepted, but that is very complicated task.
Drones:
has TB-2 Bayraktar and
Kamikaze drones. Rumors of
getting better with intercepting drones.
navy couldn’t protect it’s headquarters from home-built drone launched by partisans.
has radio jammers, that could stop some drones, however not all drones use radio, many are autonomous. There are different methods to overcome jamming.
War is not who shoots who, it’s who outsmarts who. Nobody sends drone in straight line, army is orchestra, where everyone is playing. Best results are from interaction of multiple resources, that need to be organized.
Simplest example: radio jammer is working at some location, suddenly there is artillery shelling – of course it will get turned off and hidden. Meanwhile a drone gets by.
Kosovo – 
Serbia:
Preliminary information of special services presence, involved in provocations from
. Everyone understands who is to blame.
