Ukrainan NATO-jäsenyys 3-4 vuoden kuluttua tulisi olla Puolan strateginen tavoite, sanoo puolalainen diplomaatti ja entinen suurlähettiläs Tomasz Chłoń (Puolan suurlähettiläs Virossa (2005-2010) ja Slovakiassa (2013-2015), työskennellyt tämän jälkeen NATO:n konttorissa Moskovassa vuodesta 2017 alkaen, kiinnostavasti wikipedia-artikkelin mukaan hän puhuisi suomea sujuvasti):
"I imagine Ukraine and NATO in the perspective of 3-4 years. This should be a strategic goal for Poland" - he says @TomaszChlon, former head of the NATO Information Office in Moscow, in an interview with @virtual Poland
https://wiadomosci.wp.pl/tomasz-chl...i-ue-w-perspektywie-3-4-lat-6888818889640448a
Liian pitkä artikkeli tänne lainattavaksi, joten lainaan alusta pätkän (paljon hyvää asiaa monesta aiheesta, mutta hyvin pitkä haastattelu):
Łukasz Maziewski, Wirtualna Polska: Do you dream of NATO and EU flags over Kiev?
Tomasz Chłoń, former head of the NATO Information Office in Moscow: Yes. They're already flying there, but I understand the intent of the question.
Yes, I can imagine it. In the perspective of 3-4 years.
Ukraine in the EU and NATO in the perspective of 3-4 years? Surprising. After all, the war is going on.
Yes, but please remember that each month of this war is a weakening of Russia and the Putin regime. In my opinion, the Kremlin is not able to wage this war for more than 2-3 years. Of course, there are also huge losses on the side of Ukraine, but it is Russia that is threatened by war fatigue, which, moreover, will not be victorious.
Certainly not?
We are already in her second year. Those conscripts who will now be sent to it will prove to be even less motivated than those fighting today. And Ukraine is fighting backed by the West. What consequences does this have for European security? Well, that after all this, it will not be easy for Russia to continue to effectively block Ukraine's entry into NATO.
Russia is weakening. Despite the possibility of circumventing the sanctions, it also plays a smaller and smaller role in the post-Soviet area, in the so-called Commonwealth of Independent States. Contrary to the Kremlin's intentions, these states are becoming more independent of it.
Except for Belarus.
But especially those in Central Asia - Kazakhstan, Uzbekistan, Turkmenistan, Tajikistan, Kyrgyzstan - are subject to the growing influence of China. But Putin is unable to wage this war for more than the aforementioned 2-3 years, also due to Russia's domestic policy and his own dwindling support. He can lose power at any moment, although he seems to be in control of the situation. Let me remind you that a year before taking power in Russia, Lenin did not believe that his generation would deprive the tsar of the throne.