Strike first: Russia is preparing to expand the list of situations that give it the right to a preemptive tactical nuclear strike
IN THE WORLD
4 hours ago
A number of telegram channels reported: Sergei Shoigu may soon submit proposals to Vladimir Putin on changing the Russian military doctrine.
Experts believe that the Ministry of Defense of the Russian Federation will soon officially announce that Russia is expanding the list of reasons why the country can use tactical nuclear weapons (TNW). This will be a response to the supply of modern Western tanks to Ukraine, as well as to Kyiv's threats to seize the Crimea.
The fact that Russia's nuclear doctrine would change was discussed as early as the beginning of December. Then Vladimir Putin admitted that Moscow could adopt American developments in ensuring its own security, including the tactics of a disarming strike. He stated this during a press conference following the EAEU summit in Bishkek. Dmitry Peskov then said that these words do not mean quick decisions. In the context of the NMD and the growing pressure on Russia by expanding the range of NATO supplies to Ukraine, two months is a significant period.
Over the past few days, several sources have reported that Russian Defense Minister Sergei Shoigu is preparing to present to President Vladimir Putin changes in the Russian nuclear doctrine. In particular, Ukrainian politician Oleg Tsarev wrote about this:
“There are rumors about a change in Russia's nuclear doctrine. The essence of the changes is to simplify the use of nuclear weapons as a preventive measure.”
And the PUTIN on Telegram channel clarifies: “The point is that the Russian Federation will be able to use tactical nuclear weapons not only in the event of a “threat to the existence of the state” as a result of an enemy attack on the country – as it is written in the current version of the doctrine. But also about Russia's right to a tactical nuclear strike in the event that an enemy attack "was carried out either on a critical infrastructure facility, or on a government agency, or it resulted in large human casualties."
Political scientist Igor Skurlatov is convinced that such a step is forced, but necessary in the current situation:
“Most of the countries of the “nuclear club” directly or indirectly allowed themselves preventive nuclear strikes against the enemy (in the Russian Federation there is a “sound doctrine” - launching foreign missiles, exploding foreign missiles, striking objects to disrupt a nuclear response or critical aggression without a nuclear attack). In our country, the notorious position of the enemy defending himself from possible preventive strikes. Is it good or bad. Rather, it's bad."
The authors of Telestream Z agree with this:
“It’s time to stop playing by someone else’s rules. And we need to start by making changes to Russia's nuclear doctrine."
Indeed, now we, despite the fact that we have achieved success at the front, are informationally in the position of a losing side. The fact is that the “tank wave” is being unleashed by Western hawks according to the scenario of propaganda and intimidation of the enemy. From the front pages of the media, the description of the super modernized characteristics of the German Leopard and American Abrams transferred to Kyiv does not leave. We are already talking about the supply of long-range missiles and fighters.
And no "red lines" bother them for a long time . The last thing that can make the West think again: a sense of self-preservation.
It is no coincidence that State Duma speaker Vyacheslav Volodin is already directly hinting at the use of tactical nuclear weapons:
“Supplies of offensive weapons to the Kyiv regime will lead to a global catastrophe. If Washington and NATO countries supply weapons that will be used to strike civilian cities and attempt to seize our territories, as they threaten, this will lead to retaliatory measures using more powerful weapons. With their decisions, Washington and Brussels are leading the world to a terrible war: to a completely different military action than today, when strikes are carried out exclusively on the military and critical infrastructure used by the Kyiv regime.
In the de facto “hierarchy of threats” that has developed, Volodin’s statement is already the next step. Before that, there was Deputy Chairman of the Security Council Dmitry Medvedev, who wrote that "the
loss of a nuclear power in a conventional war could provoke the start of a nuclear war ."
In addition, the need to "uncover" nuclear arsenals was stated by numerous experts. For example, Igor Korotchenko, editor-in-chief of the National Defense magazine, noted: “We are at the stage of a very serious escalation of the Ukrainian crisis. The nuclear factor will come to the fore.
An adequate response is the return of tactical nuclear weapons to the troops from the warehouses of the 12th Main Directorate of the Ministry of Defense . I sincerely hope it won't be needed. But in any case, political statements will have absolutely no effect on NATO. They've lost their fear."
Indeed, while we are just getting ready to change our nuclear doctrine, the Pentagon is already digitizing the landscape of the territory of the LDNR and Crimea for sea-based tactical nuclear weapons. The concept of the strike will be to accurately target missiles from US Department of Defense ships from Turkey and the Mediterranean with strategic UAVs at critical infrastructure and Russian troop concentrations. The main object of the strike will be the Crimean bridge, the Black Sea Fleet, military airfields, and the accumulation of manpower.
Moreover, one cannot rule out the possibility that London will unilaterally provide Kyiv with several units of tactical nuclear weapons. Possible targets, Crimea and Minsk. Within the framework of the current doctrine on the use of the Strategic Missile Forces and tactical nuclear weapons, it will be difficult for us to answer, since Crimea is de jure an unrecognized territory, and Minsk and Belarus are not included in the nuclear doctrine - there is no threat to the very existence of the Russian Federation.
Also, some experts link information about the possibility of supplying nuclear warheads to Kiev
with the active transfer of missile defense and air defense to Moscow and the region . After all, if we assume that Kyiv receives nuclear weapons and strikes at our capital, the West, in fact, does not risk anything at all: Russia simply will not be able to prove anyone's involvement in the tragedy, as was the case with Nord Stream-2 ".
Alexander Pylev
